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Banks & Rights issues
Horton
#1 Posted : Thursday, July 08, 2010 6:34:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
First KCB, then Stanchart...only difference is KCB's rights was mammoth, whereas, stanchart's is miniscual.

I predict Stanchart rights will be at 68Bob a piece.

I doubt stanchart will take a turn and hit the rocks like KCB to reflect the rights as the issue is a mere 10%, most of which will be picked up by PLC(about 22.8M shares), while the remaining 7.2M or so will be picked up by the rest.

Thoughts? comments?
cnn
#2 Posted : Thursday, July 08, 2010 7:56:28 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
i will gladly take mine in stanchart and bid for more as i see them being offered cheaply.
astute
#3 Posted : Thursday, July 08, 2010 8:56:50 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 101
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:


I predict Stanchart rights will be at 68Bob a piece.

Thoughts? comments?


How did you come to this price???quite cheap!!!
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 1:16:21 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Wow... 68/- would be very cheap... I think it will be between 150 - 175 thus a 20-30% 'discount'...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Horton
#5 Posted : Friday, July 09, 2010 10:20:36 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow... 68/- would be very cheap... I think it will be between 150 - 175 thus a 20-30% 'discount'...


IM SORRY, MY BAD, ITS 93BOB!!!

They want to raise Kshs2.5B, with a new creation of 27M shares, that give u 92.569 or something of the sort...
Horton
#6 Posted : Monday, August 02, 2010 2:28:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Look at this guy go!! 16bob up already...no supply!!
cnn
#7 Posted : Monday, August 02, 2010 3:31:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
I have tempted fate with half of my holding at 270,the rest is history.Cash is not a position to be at the moment,so tomorrow i have to find a home for the proceeds.
Horton
#8 Posted : Monday, August 02, 2010 3:48:05 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
cnn wrote:
I have tempted fate with half of my holding at 270,the rest is history.Cash is not a position to be at the moment,so tomorrow i have to find a home for the proceeds.


Well done!! However I would still hold on, still at +5% Div yield (future), trailing at 4.45%. Growth rate is similar to Equity's but is much cheaper. I thin 300 levels should be about right(pe 15 at estimated 2010 eps of 21 after rights)
stocksmaster
#9 Posted : Monday, August 02, 2010 4:19:18 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
@ Horton:

I agree with your assessment.

The bank is about to announce the Half year results (last year it was on August 5th). I expect the announcement to include the following:
I)Details of the rights issue - A price of Ksh 93 and a rights issue of 1:10 is what you arrive at if the bank still aims to raise Ksh 2.5B from 27M new shares.
II)The half year results with at least above 30% growth y-o-y. This would make its growth trajectory almost similar to equity bank with much better per share pricing at current market price.
III)A half year dividend as is the tradition of the bank.

If all the above expectations come to pass, then the SCBK share will be trading at the Ksh 300-320 range as investors rush to buy the share so as to qualify for the rights issue.

It is the share to watch post referendum, especially for the month of August 2010.

Happy hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
cnn
#10 Posted : Monday, August 02, 2010 4:37:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
@horton and stocksmaster,i am in agreement.I saw the potential in this counter immediately they announced first quarter results and got in at 200.I felt having come up 31% net of commissions at 270 i could as well take profits of half the shares ,that way any downward risk if any will not be a concern.I will hold the other half to the rights announcement.
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