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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
ProverB
#1 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 12:45:43 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander

For the year ended 31st March 2010, Kenya Airways Ltd recorded Total revenue of Kshs 70,743,000,000.00, and the company’s
Operating Profit amounted to Kshs 1,839,000,000.00

Operating margin = (Operating Profit /Revenues) x 100.
= (1,839,000,000.00 / 70,743,000,000.00) x 100 = 2.6%

Out of every Kshs1.00 Kenya Airways collected as revenue in the year, it retained only Kshs 0.03, as operating profit after paying for the operational expenses incurred in getting that Kshs 1.00
It is out of that 3Cents that Kenya Airways is to pay out financial costs as well as taxes and the balance retained as profits for share holders.

Should we choose to focus only on the company’s core business operations, Kenya Airways operational performance for the just ended period is rather dismal compared to the previous periodsSad
 For 2010, Kenya Airways had an operating margin of 2.6%
 For 2009, the operating margin was 5.6%
 For 2008, the operating margin was 11.6%
 For 2007, the operating margin was 13.1%
Declining operating margins over time should be a warning sign to any investor. d'oh!

On average, out of every kshs1 in revenues that Kenya Airways collects annually, it has overtime paid more and more in operational costs. It could imply that the company is having difficulty in bringing in revenues considering that it registered slightly declined revenues compared to the previous year, or that the management is facing increasing challenges in improving the company’s Operational Efficiency.
The 54.5% decline in Operating Profits might explain why despite reporting 148% improvement in earnings, the share registered a 8% decline in trading price as soon as results were published.

A lot is learnt by observing Operating profits trend over time, but it should not be the only factor one considers when planning whether or not the Kenya Airways shares are a viable investment.smile

Ceteris paribus.Pray
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
sheep
#2 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 1:06:23 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
wait till @VVS sees this...utakipata! He is married to the stock!
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
StatMeister
#3 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 1:17:21 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/23/2010
Posts: 868
Location: La Islas Galápagos
ProverB, very interesting math - miles ahead in ahead in fundamentals
A bad day fishing is better than a good day at work
StatMeister
#4 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 1:18:16 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/23/2010
Posts: 868
Location: La Islas Galápagos
ProverB, very interesting math - miles ahead in ahead in fundamentals
A bad day fishing is better than a good day at work
sheep
#5 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 1:36:16 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
statMeister=ProverB...tooting his own horn!
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
qw25041985
#6 Posted : Tuesday, June 08, 2010 1:51:38 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
Thanx God not all of us are maths genius. Coz if every kenya airways shareholder knew that operatin margin is massively down like this then the share wld be tradin at ksh 1.00. I side with @proverb. And i willnt get suprised if this share breaks its downward support level of ksh 50.00. Trappin those who bought at ksh 54.00 in losses. This is the time most of u will regret the herd mentallity at wazua.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
VituVingiSana
#7 Posted : Wednesday, June 09, 2010 5:01:11 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
The poor margins at KQ are depressing... and the lower margins from year to year as well... BUT there are not apples to apples...

KQ has changed the way it accounted for hedges (according to some IAS rule)...

However you slice & dice it... KQ needs to put up some serious 1Q 2010-11 passenger numbers as well as awesome 1H 2010-11 financial figures!

When is the AGM?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
qw25041985
#8 Posted : Wednesday, June 09, 2010 5:29:20 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 5/9/2010
Posts: 1,418
Location: Nai
I dont see why people are panicin about kQ's weak margins.If they posted weak magrins in very robust economies then there might be a reason to be concernd.But that isnot clearly the case.a couple of few years back the economy wasnt in the greatest shape so KQ shld be pardond.Atleast it didnt post record losses like BA.

Let all those who are panic sellin do just that.Six months down the line they'll be rushin back for the shares.I love gulliable inevstors.They make me rich with the slightest effort.
Your future depends on your dreams so go to sleep !
Big will
#9 Posted : Wednesday, June 09, 2010 5:54:08 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/18/2010
Posts: 1
Well said
Govmusili
#10 Posted : Wednesday, June 09, 2010 6:13:38 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/13/2010
Posts: 85
Location: Nairobi
@proverb interesting way to look at it. im still optimistic it can turn around thursday/friday but god help us if it drops past 50 today, itll be a freefall
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