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voter registration and impact on 2012
callaspade
#1 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 6:15:40 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/12/2009
Posts: 925

Rift valley 2.9 million
central 2.7million
Nyanza 1.7 million
western 1.3 million
Nairobi 1.2 million
Eastern 1.1 million
coast 0.9 million
N Eastern 0.22 million



.... figures exclude electronic registration in 18 constituencies.
d'oh!
nanfor1
#2 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 6:29:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/30/2009
Posts: 141
this is where the no vote really surprises me. It's in the numbers.

call nyanza, western, and central to more than 70% Yes and coast and NE more than 90% and you can forget about the rest of the country.
Hata wakizima taa
Obi 1 Kanobi
#3 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 6:34:38 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
Rift valley will go 60;40 for yes vote, don't forget Maasai, Luhya, kikuyu make up upto half of that 2.9m
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
B.Timer
#4 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 7:39:18 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/31/2008
Posts: 1,076

Something is the matter with the Eastern tally!!!

In respect to RV what everybody seem to be saying in regard to referundum outcome is largely true.

Question is, how about 2012!!!!
Dunia ni msongamano..
Njung'e
#5 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 8:15:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
aiiiih!!.....Eastern ought to be right behind RV while there shouldn't be much difference between Nyanza,western and Central......Hiyo gap!!....anyway,if the figures don't change (lol),Yes wins hands down.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
poundfoolish
#6 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 8:32:31 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/2/2009
Posts: 2,458
Location: Nairobi
By the time the referendum is due....

Im forecasting a 54% NO vote country wide.
Brewer
#7 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 9:55:50 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/24/2008
Posts: 238
B.Timer wrote:

Something is the matter with the Eastern tally!!!


Yes. See today's Standard p.7 which gives the figures for lower, upper and central eastern total of over 2m.
B.Timer
#8 Posted : Thursday, May 13, 2010 3:03:45 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/31/2008
Posts: 1,076

@Brewer,
Thanks.
Thats reassuring, oooph.
Dunia ni msongamano..
callaspade
#9 Posted : Thursday, June 03, 2010 6:13:11 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/12/2009
Posts: 925



Mutahi ngunyi's analysis of the figures on the results to be released later today is mischievous.

....I think he is voting NO because of the general election 2012 NOT the katiba.He knows the katiba is going through.......it is a serious analytical gamble.
...i dont hold brief for anyone but the figures will determine the next president of Kenya !!! Period.

DonBen
#10 Posted : Thursday, June 03, 2010 7:58:40 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/4/2009
Posts: 144
poundfoolish wrote:
By the time the referendum is due....

Im forecasting a 54% NO vote country wide.


Utopian forecast, widely off the mark.

I think the YES will win this by a super majority, ie. more than 2/3rds of the votes cast. You can take that to the bank.
wa P
#11 Posted : Thursday, June 03, 2010 3:15:49 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/26/2009
Posts: 326
Location: Nairobi
I have smoked the Yes fag, and drunk in it like Raila himself, but lets not dismiss @poud... prediction.

Mutahi Ngunyi did quite some damage to my psyche last Sunday - he thinks the courts, AG, provincial administration and some key politicians are in conspiracy. I am afraid it may be true.

Lets hope for yes, but prepare for the unlikely event of a NO win.
Jump-steady
#12 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:13:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/1/2008
Posts: 1,098
True that, anything can happen. I wonder what the results were with Wazua? They were conducting their poll the other day...
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