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Wai!! it is a blood bath, kcb, coop, equity down 9%
mlennyma
#261 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:03:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,176
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

and some mps are very bitter about banks to even pay free legal fees to any complainants
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Impunity
#262 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:04:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,325
Location: Masada
penkon wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court


buyouts then and top ups


Zero sum equation for banks!

smile Applause
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

Metch
#263 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:04:52 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/22/2015
Posts: 224
Location: Mombasa, Kenya
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

It won't be arbitrary. Review terms or lose your accounts to the competition. No need for the courts.. Market forces will sort it out
Start!
Metasploit
#264 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:15:44 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
This is quick money..

U can still get equity at 26.75 (Yesterday closing) and make quick money

β€œThe pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
obiero
#265 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:28:06 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Metch wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

It won't be arbitrary. Review terms or lose your accounts to the competition. No need for the courts.. Market forces will sort it out

So you are saying that banks will compete to buy off existing contracts.. That cannot happen and if it does then KCB shall trade at KES 7.5, COOP at KES 4

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Goldilocks Reloaded
#266 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:29:45 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/14/2014
Posts: 178
I am not a prophet like @Obiero but as i said yesterday the bottom is nigh. The banks may still experience selling pressure as the bears especially the foreigners rush to sell to the new bulls but the price should stabilise here before heading up (depending on the results of course).

On another note; someone educate me (not a guru in this), in UK and other such countries where interest rate margins are very small, how do the likes of BBK and SCBK make their profits?
Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot is probably going to run it – Peter Lynch
KulaRaha
#267 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:48:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Goldilocks Reloaded wrote:
I am not a prophet like @Obiero but as i said yesterday the bottom is nigh. The banks may still experience selling pressure as the bears especially the foreigners rush to sell to the new bulls but the price should stabilise here before heading up (depending on the results of course).

On another note; someone educate me (not a guru in this), in UK and other such countries where interest rate margins are very small, how do the likes of BBK and SCBK make their profits?


Seems to be a 50-50 split between NFI and NIM. In Kenya most banks max 30%ish for NFI. This law is going to hurt!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
maka
#268 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 11:55:09 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?
possunt quia posse videntur
obiero
#269 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:03:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?

What on earth would make a bank renegotiate a 25 year mortgage to a lower rate.. Trust me that will not happen without a big fight and international industrial law has sufficient citations contrary.. It will not happen

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
KulaRaha
#270 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:08:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
obiero wrote:
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?

What on earth would make a bank renegotiate a 25 year mortgage to a lower rate.. Trust me that will not happen without a big fight and international industrial law has sufficient citations contrary.. It will not happen


I dont support this bill, but it will happen. Just watch. Everything must get repriced. I think BBK and co are trying to avoid that by showing new loans will be at prescribed pricing, but EVERYTHING will be repriced. If not, it will move.

Expect KBA to go to court for an interpretation next.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
maka
#271 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:18:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?

What on earth would make a bank renegotiate a 25 year mortgage to a lower rate.. Trust me that will not happen without a big fight and international industrial law has sufficient citations contrary.. It will not happen


Does the standard loan agreement have a clause that deals with what happens in case the law changes substantially altering material clauses of the loan?

possunt quia posse videntur
obiero
#272 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:36:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?

What on earth would make a bank renegotiate a 25 year mortgage to a lower rate.. Trust me that will not happen without a big fight and international industrial law has sufficient citations contrary.. It will not happen


Does the standard loan agreement have a clause that deals with what happens in case the law changes substantially altering material clauses of the loan?


It does.. The bank has discretion to call up the debt at once in case of material deviation in initial sums/interest owed.. This will imply shorter tenors at best which may lead to higher NPLs..

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#273 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:38:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,176
Location: nairobi
Equity bado kuna vita the buyers and seller's are yet to settle on a deal
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Impunity
#274 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:40:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,325
Location: Masada
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court



What are you smoking?

What on earth would make a bank renegotiate a 25 year mortgage to a lower rate.. Trust me that will not happen without a big fight and international industrial law has sufficient citations contrary.. It will not happen


Does the standard loan agreement have a clause that deals with what happens in case the law changes substantially altering material clauses of the loan?



No.
I have never seen one.
But terms and conditions apply.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

obiero
#275 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:43:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

and some mps are very bitter about banks to even pay free legal fees to any complainants

LOL. Which MP are you referring to.. The Kenyan ones are broke and have loose morals.. Can't challenge banks incase they decided to buy them off

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#276 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:51:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,176
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

and some mps are very bitter about banks to even pay free legal fees to any complainants

LOL. Which MP are you referring to.. The Kenyan ones are broke and have loose morals.. Can't challenge banks incase they decided to buy them off

that gem brother is smoking fire
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
watesh
#277 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:51:57 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 955
Location: Kenya
Goldilocks Reloaded wrote:
I am not a prophet like @Obiero but as i said yesterday the bottom is nigh. The banks may still experience selling pressure as the bears especially the foreigners rush to sell to the new bulls but the price should stabilise here before heading up (depending on the results of course).

On another note; someone educate me (not a guru in this), in UK and other such countries where interest rate margins are very small, how do the likes of BBK and SCBK make their profits?

CREDIT CARDS thats where the margins are. 242 million credit card purchase were made in the UK in just November. 45% of the amount spend incurred interest. Average interest rates are 10.4%.
In the US the most profitable banks Jp Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup have a large portion of income from investment banking.
Lets look at JP Morgan & Chase which owns the Chase brand in the US which big in retail banking and credit cards. Over 60 million households.
45% of their revenue was from retail banking (general mwananchi products like credit cards, loans, mortgages etc)
35% from investment banking
13% from asset management
7% from commercial and corporate banking

Generally in terms of income 46% is from net interest income while 54% is from non interest income (fees)
In Wells Fargo (biggest in retail) 53% net interest income while 47% non interest income
35%
watesh
#278 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:58:56 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 955
Location: Kenya
obiero wrote:
watesh wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
watesh wrote:
The demand has shot up massively. Supply drying up

Signs were clear yesterday, many wazuans have no intention of buying anything, however this reverse will depend on the banks Q3 and Q4 we might see a second adjustment if the effect is steep

Q3 will be solid results. Q4 and H1 2017 will be a taste of the new law if old loans are repriced to 14.5%

This will not happen. Old loans cannot be renegotiated arbitrarily. It will be challenged in court

If they dont reprice the old loans, the customer will move to another bank get a cheaper loan and pay off that expensive one.
Impunity
#279 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 12:59:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,325
Location: Masada
watesh wrote:
Goldilocks Reloaded wrote:
I am not a prophet like @Obiero but as i said yesterday the bottom is nigh. The banks may still experience selling pressure as the bears especially the foreigners rush to sell to the new bulls but the price should stabilise here before heading up (depending on the results of course).

On another note; someone educate me (not a guru in this), in UK and other such countries where interest rate margins are very small, how do the likes of BBK and SCBK make their profits?

CREDIT CARDS thats where the margins are. 242 million credit card purchase were made in the UK in just November. 45% of the amount spend incurred interest. Average interest rates are 10.4%.
In the US the most profitable banks Jp Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup have a large portion of income from investment banking.
Lets look at JP Morgan & Chase which owns the Chase brand in the US which big in retail banking and credit cards. Over 60 million households.
45% of their revenue was from retail banking (general mwananchi products like credit cards, loans, mortgages etc)
35% from investment banking
13% from asset management
7% from commercial and corporate banking

Generally in terms of income 46% is from net interest income while 54% is from non interest income (fees)
In Wells Fargo (biggest in retail) 53% net interest income while 47% non interest income
35%


How many Kenyans with bank account have CREDIT cards?

MEAGER!!!!!!!!


Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

tmatekwa
#280 Posted : Tuesday, August 30, 2016 1:13:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/1/2007
Posts: 232
http://live.rich.co.ke/w...DBO%7C%1E%F8%0E%5CE%811

Very strong demand for bank shares....
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