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directional forecast
Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:MSC  Trade what you see Technically going up... so far 18%. Fundamental gurus bring in the other side It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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mufasa wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:@Karasinga Look at the supply of HFCK. Is it an insider exiting at a loss to avert a major haircut apparently looming large? @ spikes. I doubt if I got you question. All in all, HFCK broke above the upside resistance level of 10.15, 1 trading day ago. This is a bullish sign. This previous resistance level of 10.15 may now provide downside support. Volume on the day of the breakout was quite heavy--38% above average. This makes the breakout even more significant. If you decide to trade HFCK, you may want to place a stop loss just below the resistance level, in case the breakout is premature. hope this helps.... disclaimer  HF was to sell some shares @ 14.35/- (Not sure on the price but its around this figure) or thereabouts. when will this happen and who was the buyer.  as discussed in another thread, it is important to evaluate what insiders want to achieve by releasing news It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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lochaz-index wrote:karasinga wrote:lochaz-index wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:bartum wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:bartum wrote:@karasinga do for stanbic In the mean time check here Will update us when I get time. keep those post coming here we go...!  Trade what you see Over 1M shares just traded at 58, love this... and no one is paying me a dime! no kidding what happened on 13th April is what they call this price volume disharmony... >1 million shares for 2 consecutive days. printing facts as they unveil. Within my price range. Now if I get enough cash to add to my position... I would prefer an overshoot towards the 40s to lengthen the buying window. hope you scooped some. 40...??? PA is the king I am not exactly in a hurry to buy any financial stock. I figure the bear isn't done with them yet. These short-term plays (less than one year) are not my thing but neither do I shy away if I spot an opportunity - mostly tends to be a selling opportunity not a buying one. I get you mate. stick to what works for you. best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Waiting for the monthly close to review the trends. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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hisah wrote:Waiting for the monthly close to review the trends. Affirmative... Kindly post your reviews here. Would really appreciate. happy hunting It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:HAFR: Am I stretching my imagination too far... time will tell. An all time low of 0.7-0.6 might print any time from today 13th March then: 1. first target 1.6
2. second target 2.1 best wishes DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis so far >1.6 M shares....  An analysis on HAFR.. Surely?? @Obiero very soon utameza mate watu wakila nyama. haiyaiya....! 37.5% It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:HAFR: Am I stretching my imagination too far... time will tell. An all time low of 0.7-0.6 might print any time from today 13th March then: 1. first target 1.6
2. second target 2.1best wishes DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis so far >1.6 M shares.... An analysis on HAFR.. Surely?? @Obiero very soon utameza mate watu wakila nyama. haiyaiya....! 37.5% I don't like the vapour volume manipulation that happened on the FY news. The price spiked 243% on 100 shares traded at 2.75 from open at 0.80. Within two hours of those 3 trades (500 shares with VWAP up 61.1% at 1.45) the price has now crashed back from a high of 2.75 to market open at 0.80. Those 3 trades were pure manipulation which Mr. Market has refused to accept
But clearly the makers are up to something.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:
Also consider doing TA for ARM!!!
Hello Angelica _ann. Have a look at what I am seeing and my thought process on the chart. I concur with sparkly. Fundamental gurus are highly welcome to bring their side of the story.  hope this will help. note: remember disclaimer best wishes think market marker and insiders have something here up their sleeves  due you do diligence and remember disclaimer best wishes A month later price action still stuck here. Dojis continue forming on the weekly and monthly chart. Accumulation? Loaded some this week. Aggressive play. 
Tough obstacle starts from 24 all the way to 30 handle. My expectation is the bear has overcooked the bad news so if FY comes out are burnt food the price will edge up! Any positive news will boost the resistance breakout. Pray for positive FY news. If negative a new breakout south is most likely to demote your expectations. @ spikes. You are right on that a false break out south is a possibility.Technically, bulls have had a laboured move north which tells me bears are still present. But on "praying".... NO NO NO. We don't hope/pray in this business. It is either there are reasons to engage or not. @ hisah. quoting Mark douglas "You must learn to trust your edge. The edge means there is a higher probability of one outcome than another out of 100 trades. The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades"... you are doing well mate as long as you are following your trading plan. happy hunting @karasinga, this is an aggressive play (risky). Not recommended as an investment move, but as a trading the news front running speculative move.
@spikes, NMG went to the pits as it crashed towards 70 handle. A nice risky play from that pit. I see the same with ARM since the bears have been struggling with lower lows since Feb. Waiting for that upside run 2 weeks later the news front running is playing out as expected as the first barrier at 24 handle is blown away. April 30th is almost here where is the FY news? I still expect bad news to be bought based on the monthly doji candles on the monthly chart which had the highest volume in a decade that appeared in February this year!$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:HAFR: Am I stretching my imagination too far... time will tell. An all time low of 0.7-0.6 might print any time from today 13th March then: 1. first target 1.6
2. second target 2.1best wishes DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis so far >1.6 M shares.... An analysis on HAFR.. Surely?? @Obiero very soon utameza mate watu wakila nyama. haiyaiya....! 37.5% I don't like the vapour volume manipulation that happened on the FY news. The price spiked 243% on 100 shares traded at 2.75 from open at 0.80. Within two hours of those 3 trades (500 shares with VWAP up 61.1% at 1.45) the price has now crashed back from a high of 2.75 to market open at 0.80. Those 3 trades were pure manipulation which Mr. Market has refused to accept
But clearly the makers are up to something.
HAL closes the day @ 1.20/- 50% increase. It appears the huge volume @ 0.8 was for somebody desperately in need of cash. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:HAFR: Am I stretching my imagination too far... time will tell. An all time low of 0.7-0.6 might print any time from today 13th March then: 1. first target 1.6
2. second target 2.1best wishes DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis so far >1.6 M shares.... An analysis on HAFR.. Surely?? @Obiero very soon utameza mate watu wakila nyama. haiyaiya....! 37.5% I don't like the vapour volume manipulation that happened on the FY news. The price spiked 243% on 100 shares traded at 2.75 from open at 0.80. Within two hours of those 3 trades (500 shares with VWAP up 61.1% at 1.45) the price has now crashed back from a high of 2.75 to market open at 0.80. Those 3 trades were pure manipulation which Mr. Market has refused to accept
But clearly the makers are up to something.
HAL closes the day @ 1.20/- 50% increase. It appears the huge volume @ 0.8 was for somebody desperately in need of cash. Last trade was at 1.20. VWAP closed at 0.80. Next week we get to see what the makers are up to.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/26/2015 Posts: 1,147
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karasinga wrote:Waoh... loving this. 1123 post and 57 pages and going... and getting better. Surprisingly, > 2000 views from 21st April to today 24th 8am. 149,704.... tracking We are just scratching the surface here. I'm taking us to a very special place. Who is coming? 1 week later, over 6000 views.  We must first learn to walk before we run. best wishes It's not over until I winskype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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hisah wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:
Also consider doing TA for ARM!!!
Hello Angelica _ann. Have a look at what I am seeing and my thought process on the chart. I concur with sparkly. Fundamental gurus are highly welcome to bring their side of the story. hope this will help. note: remember disclaimer best wishes think market marker and insiders have something here up their sleeves due you do diligence and remember disclaimer best wishes A month later price action still stuck here. Dojis continue forming on the weekly and monthly chart. Accumulation? Loaded some this week. Aggressive play.
Tough obstacle starts from 24 all the way to 30 handle. My expectation is the bear has overcooked the bad news so if FY comes out are burnt food the price will edge up! Any positive news will boost the resistance breakout. Pray for positive FY news. If negative a new breakout south is most likely to demote your expectations. @ spikes. You are right on that a false break out south is a possibility.Technically, bulls have had a laboured move north which tells me bears are still present. But on "praying".... NO NO NO. We don't hope/pray in this business. It is either there are reasons to engage or not. @ hisah. quoting Mark douglas "You must learn to trust your edge. The edge means there is a higher probability of one outcome than another out of 100 trades. The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades"... you are doing well mate as long as you are following your trading plan. happy hunting @karasinga, this is an aggressive play (risky). Not recommended as an investment move, but as a trading the news front running speculative move.
@spikes, NMG went to the pits as it crashed towards 70 handle. A nice risky play from that pit. I see the same with ARM since the bears have been struggling with lower lows since Feb. Waiting for that upside run 2 weeks later the news front running is playing out as expected as the first barrier at 24 handle is blown away. April 30th is almost here where is the FY news? I still expect bad news to be bought based on the monthly doji candles on the monthly chart which had the highest volume in a decade that appeared in February this year! Let's wait and see if market makers wanna swim north against the current . John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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karasinga wrote:SCOM: not happy with what bulls have been able to achieve so far. (MHO as on 25th April 2017 at 2pm) Firstly around 20.5. but can SCOM print 14.5 or lower? time will tell. Where next? Is it 20.50
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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karasinga wrote:ARAP CHARLES wrote:Pesa Nane wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:What happened technically to KCB today? was the biggest losser(-8.76%)! Will review later  pull back is imminent @karasinga did you take note of the 'event'? KCB went Ex-Dividend (Div. was Ksh.3.00) Mmmmmmh!!! Announced a First & Final dividend of Kes.3.00 on 09-Mar-Feb-2017; Books Closure 24-Apr-2017. Payment 26-May-2017. Horton wrote:
Ermmmm it went xd 😇
Look who are here... Hello Horton, Pesa Nane and Charles's son. Welcome guys to directional forecast and thanks for your comments on KCB. It was not in my knowledge fundamentally what was happening but technically I expected a pullback. I think time has come for us to merge all aspects of analysis... all are important. Take an example of KENO and KNRE; fundamentally sound but due to how market moves, the charts have to achieve something. One may try to look for any other reason but this is what it is. Feel free to bring in the other part of the story. learning continues. best wishes Is KENO headed 10
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:karasinga wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:
Also consider doing TA for ARM!!!
Hello Angelica _ann. Have a look at what I am seeing and my thought process on the chart. I concur with sparkly. Fundamental gurus are highly welcome to bring their side of the story. hope this will help. note: remember disclaimer best wishes think market marker and insiders have something here up their sleeves due you do diligence and remember disclaimer best wishes A month later price action still stuck here. Dojis continue forming on the weekly and monthly chart. Accumulation? Loaded some this week. Aggressive play.
Tough obstacle starts from 24 all the way to 30 handle. My expectation is the bear has overcooked the bad news so if FY comes out are burnt food the price will edge up! Any positive news will boost the resistance breakout. Pray for positive FY news. If negative a new breakout south is most likely to demote your expectations. @ spikes. You are right on that a false break out south is a possibility.Technically, bulls have had a laboured move north which tells me bears are still present. But on "praying".... NO NO NO. We don't hope/pray in this business. It is either there are reasons to engage or not. @ hisah. quoting Mark douglas "You must learn to trust your edge. The edge means there is a higher probability of one outcome than another out of 100 trades. The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades"... you are doing well mate as long as you are following your trading plan. happy hunting @karasinga, this is an aggressive play (risky). Not recommended as an investment move, but as a trading the news front running speculative move.
@spikes, NMG went to the pits as it crashed towards 70 handle. A nice risky play from that pit. I see the same with ARM since the bears have been struggling with lower lows since Feb. Waiting for that upside run 2 weeks later the news front running is playing out as expected as the first barrier at 24 handle is blown away. April 30th is almost here where is the FY news? I still expect bad news to be bought based on the monthly doji candles on the monthly chart which had the highest volume in a decade that appeared in February this year! Let's wait and see if market makers wanna swim north against the current . The news is out and Mr market has interesting price action. The huge gap down (on thin vol) still respected the 18 - 20 level where we got the huge vol spike in February. In a few weeks we will see if this is a shake test before 30 handle can be tested! I know this will fly against the FY news, but Mr market is one weird character $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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karasinga wrote:hisah wrote:Waiting for the monthly close to review the trends. Affirmative... Kindly post your reviews here. Would really appreciate. happy hunting @karasinga, all the banks except KCB have been unable to retrace prices above the pre rate cap shock level With this observation KCB and Coop are the only counters showing strength vs the bank bears - KCB being the stronger since it's trading exdiv. CFC vol spike at 58 handle last month finished off the lows with an interesting monthly pattern (bullish doji). This is a zone that got huge vol spike back in May 2013 which made price to rally to around 150 before the current bear struck.
Mpesa bank (SCOM) is spotting a morning star candle on the monthly, still bullish against the 16 handle pin bar low. A monthly close below 16 will mean the bears are regaining control. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/15/2015 Posts: 817
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not trying to give false hopes here but i think the only way fr mumias price is up! hehhe!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,639 Location: NAIROBI
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@Karasinga where are the charts. I see NMG has crossed the 100 mark and Pan Africa/Sanlam at 27. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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hisah wrote:karasinga wrote:hisah wrote:Waiting for the monthly close to review the trends. Affirmative... Kindly post your reviews here. Would really appreciate. happy hunting @karasinga, all the banks except KCB have been unable to retrace prices above the pre rate cap shock level With this observation KCB and Coop are the only counters showing strength vs the bank bears - KCB being the stronger since it's trading exdiv. CFC vol spike at 58 handle last month finished off the lows with an interesting monthly pattern (bullish doji). This is a zone that got huge vol spike back in May 2013 which made price to rally to around 150 before the current bear struck.
Mpesa bank (SCOM) is spotting a morning star candle on the monthly, still bullish against the 16 handle pin bar low. A monthly close below 16 will mean the bears are regaining control. Interesting observations. I expect equity to miss previous Q1 numbers by quite a stretch. Coop is more of a defensive bank stock and should fare better than its peers. As for Kcb the jury is still out there - very curious this one. The market has been on shallow retracements currently...waiting to see if it dips below 3000 by mid May to give the new found bulls something to ponder regarding the recent mini rally. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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NMG vol spike after 100 handle psychological resistance is retested. Will the resistance hold $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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