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Riek is Back
kaka2za
#1 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2016 12:46:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/3/2008
Posts: 4,058
Location: Gwitu
Back as Vice President but at what cost?
Will the peace deal hold?
Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
shocks
#2 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2016 3:41:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/15/2009
Posts: 362
kaka2za wrote:
Back as Vice President but at what cost?
Will the peace deal hold?

as long as oil prices are low, the government will have no money to fight rebels, so they will go out of their way to keep the machar crew happy. As long as Sudan retains the favourable crude oil transit deal, they have no motivation to give machar a sack of dollars every month with his only instruction being cause mayhem in the oil rich regions
sitaki.kujulikana
#3 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2016 3:43:27 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/25/2012
Posts: 1,826
shocks wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Back as Vice President but at what cost?
Will the peace deal hold?

as long as oil prices are low, the government will have no money to fight rebels, so they will go out of their way to keep the machar crew happy. As long as Sudan retains the favourable crude oil transit deal, they have no motivation to give machar a sack of dollars every month with his only instruction being cause mayhem in the oil rich regions

interesting, but its amazing the lengths some will go just to get power, hata is it means screwing their country and its people.
Wakanyugi
#4 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2016 5:47:47 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,635
sitaki.kujulikana wrote:
shocks wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Back as Vice President but at what cost?
Will the peace deal hold?

as long as oil prices are low, the government will have no money to fight rebels, so they will go out of their way to keep the machar crew happy. As long as Sudan retains the favourable crude oil transit deal, they have no motivation to give machar a sack of dollars every month with his only instruction being cause mayhem in the oil rich regions

interesting, but its amazing the lengths some will go just to get power, hata is it means screwing their country and its people.


2 things:

1. Both sides are broke and there is nothing left to fight for. The collapse of the oil industry may yet be a blessing to the people and nation of South Sudan. It buys them peace and finally they can start utilizing there other abudant resources - like the ample fertile land and water

2. You may hate Riek, and God knows he has more faults than moldy flour brewed beer, but he did not start the latest round of madness. For that blame Salva Kiir who, probably acting in an alcoholic stupor, overreacted to an empty bit of Nilotic chest thumping by going to war.

I hope both sides have learned their lesson

"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
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