I was expecting some cashflow dip as the Equitel squaring happens as well as the Yu acquisition. That's a huge pile of cash to fight off the expected Equitel onslaught. This will be an interesting fight.
Full highlights
Cashflow guidance for full year is between 25 - 25.5B. If the div payout rate as last year is maintained it means the div pay will be between 51 - 52cts or a 8-10% div pay increase. Div investors won't like this. Div yield on the div estimate at current price (12.20) is 4.18%.
Div yield history
08/09 DPS - 0.10
09/10 DPS - 0.20 - 100%
10/11 DPS - 0.20 - 0%
11/12 DPS - 0.22 - 10%
12/13 DPS - 0.31 - 40.9%
13/14 DPS - 0.47 - 51.6%
14/15 DPS - estimate 0.51/0.52 - 8.51%/10.63%
If you follow the DPS revisions, the years when there was a hike the share has rallied.
The acquisition bit may create some excitement, but 13.50 is a solid barrier. Once broken top side target is 15.50 - 16.00, but will need a huge push to achieve. At which point NSE20 5500 barrier will likely be tested or letting go!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!