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Uchumi - A value play?
a_abbass
#1 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 10:44:31 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 9/13/2014
Posts: 10
Location: Kenya
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than successful speculation - Robert Rhea
jawgey
#2 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 10:52:17 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/13/2014
Posts: 398
Location: Denmark
a_abbass wrote:
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?


Because they are not yet out of the woods. They have numerous debts to settle, and a rights issue in the offing probably to expand and get their stores in 'shopable' condition.. Until then, guys are keeping away
Seeing is believing
Akenyan2014
#3 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 10:53:52 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/6/2014
Posts: 268
Location: Nairobi, Kenya
a_abbass wrote:
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?


On the contrary it looks like a value trap with a heavy burden of expensive loans and increasing staff costs across the industry. I won't mind having it at sub 10 though
mkonomtupu
#4 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 11:43:38 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
a_abbass wrote:
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?



you can get it sub 10 from next week. Price is what you pay, value is what you get
a_abbass
#5 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 11:59:31 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 9/13/2014
Posts: 10
Location: Kenya
mkonomtupu wrote:
a_abbass wrote:
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?



you can get it sub 10 from next week. Price is what you pay, value is what you get


That seems likely, considering the fact that it goes ex-div on Monday.
I still like the prospects, especially inthe wake of a reducing debt burden. Moderate growth in EPS and book value.
I think this counter will shine once people wake up to the overstretched valuations in some of the key financials.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than successful speculation - Robert Rhea
mkonomtupu
#6 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 12:11:40 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
a_abbass wrote:
mkonomtupu wrote:
a_abbass wrote:
What do you guys think about Uchumi?

The counter looks good and is a highly successful turnaround story, so why is the share price not going up?



you can get it sub 10 from next week. Price is what you pay, value is what you get


That seems likely, considering the fact that it goes ex-div on Monday.
I still like the prospects, especially inthe wake of a reducing debt burden. Moderate growth in EPS and book value.
I think this counter will shine once people wake up to the overstretched valuations in some of the key financials.


Yes but the management is not aggressive or innovative, there were some issues with suppliers not been paid on time in the last month as result the shelves were empty. They took loans from COOP, KCB and ICDC so finance costs are going up. The company then goes ahead to pay dividends and ask shareholders for a rights issue when the price is down.d'oh! d'oh! Why not pay bonus share and retain earnings?
I keep it on my watch list though
the deal
#7 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 12:21:52 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The CEO looks bored or has run out of ideas.....maybe turn around CEO's are just good at turnarounds not driving a growth agenda.
Cde Monomotapa
#8 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 12:30:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
“The journey has started. We are not opening branches to please anybody, but in line with the economic growth in the region,” said Ciano.
the deal
#9 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 12:44:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
“The journey has started. We are not opening branches to please anybody, but in line with the economic growth in the region,” said Ciano.

They been opening branches in wrong places thus average sales per store has not been increasing...competition has locked them out of all the prime spots in the CBD i.e those next to busy bus terminals...If I'm going to Kikuyu and my bus terminal is at Odeon you don't expect me to walk all the way to Aga Khan walk to shop at Uchumi and leave Tuskys near by...look at what happened to them in Westlands...Naivas just opened a branch next to the stage...since that branch opened i have never stepped in the Uchumi across the road smile
Cde Monomotapa
#10 Posted : Thursday, September 25, 2014 12:56:13 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
the deal wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
“The journey has started. We are not opening branches to please anybody, but in line with the economic growth in the region,” said Ciano.

They been opening branches in wrong places thus average sales per store has not been increasing...competition has locked them out of all the prime spots in the CBD i.e those next to busy bus terminals...If I'm going to Kikuyu and my bus terminal is at Odeon you don't expect me to walk all the way to Aga Khan walk to shop at Uchumi and leave Tuskys near by...look at what happened to them in Westlands...Naivas just opened a branch next to the stage...since that branch opened i have never stepped in the Uchumi across the road smile


You've been lost smile Karibu. I'd say there is safer/easier parking at the Westlands branch and the Aga Khan one is mostly busy during lunch hours.

+ the value adds like booze, Cigs, Easy Coach (travel & courier) & Mpesa (ask Safcom how Uchumi drives numbers) attract/retain.

Security concerns aside, the KU branch should be a hit!
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