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Nairobi Rains
Kili
#101 Posted : Sunday, February 25, 2018 8:26:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/10/2015
Posts: 103
hardwood wrote:
Rains come in the 3rd week of March. Like they have done for the last 1000yrs.

Not quite,last year they started on the 2nd of April in Nairobi & surrounding areas.Climate change is for real.
Julie
#102 Posted : Sunday, February 25, 2018 8:33:18 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/2/2006
Posts: 658
Rains start around 20th March on the Equinox when the sun is directly above the Equator.
Third week of March
hardwood
#103 Posted : Sunday, February 25, 2018 4:22:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
Julie wrote:
Rains start around 20th March on the Equinox when the sun is directly above the Equator.
Third week of March


You are right. The rains come about 1 week after the equinox.


https://www.nation.co.ke...55134-gjtcn3z/index.html
majimaji
#104 Posted : Monday, February 26, 2018 9:41:49 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2007
Posts: 1,162
http://nairobinews.natio...ing-continue-till-2026/

HAYA!! No water in Nairobi until 2030.
hardwood
#105 Posted : Monday, February 26, 2018 10:08:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
majimaji wrote:
http://nairobinews.nation.co.ke/news/nairobi-water-rationing-continue-till-2026/

HAYA!! No water in Nairobi until 2030.


And this will be the situation in nairobi next month...as usual. Everyone will be crying sirkal saidia coz of too much water.

murchr
#106 Posted : Monday, February 26, 2018 6:17:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
kawi254
#107 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 2:04:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/20/2015
Posts: 465
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..



murchr
#108 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 5:28:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





They need to stop copy&pasting last years weather reports and give proper forecasts. And the clustering "Sunny intervals expected over a few places" Yet weather stations exist. Anyway!

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hardwood
#109 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 5:53:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





I am looking at the current real time satellite image showing current rainfall status in the region and there is no way rains will start today or tmr or 1st march as the met guy is saying. The only places currently raining as per the satellite image as I am typing this are malaba and kisii, and their rain is mostly convectional rain from lake victoria. The long rains are due to the south easterly monsoon winds and hakuna dalili ya mvua any time soon.

hardwood
#110 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 6:08:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
This is the current real time world rainfall satellite image and as you can see, the ITCZ is still moving north and hasn't reached kenya. It will reach kenya maybe the next 2 or 3 weeks thus my prediction that rains will start proper in 2-3rd week of march. The weatherman should contact me for advice on matters rainsmile.

For those who do not know what the beast ITCZ is, they can be schooled here:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/ed...guides/z9yssbk/revision

https://en.wikipedia.org...opical_Convergence_Zone


hardwood
#111 Posted : Tuesday, February 27, 2018 6:15:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
hardwood wrote:
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





I am looking at the current real time satellite image showing current rainfall status in the region and there is no way rains will start today or tmr or 1st march as the met guy is saying. The only places currently raining as per the satellite image as I am typing this are malaba and kisii, and their rain is mostly convectional rain from lake victoria. The long rains are due to the south easterly monsoon winds and hakuna dalili ya mvua any time soon.



Can any wazuan in malaba or kisii (suneka, nyangusu, even neighboring kilgoris) confirm that it's currently raining as per my satellite image?
majimaji
#112 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 8:53:34 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2007
Posts: 1,162
hardwood wrote:
hardwood wrote:
kawi254 wrote:
murchr wrote:
Kili wrote:
Yes AccuWeather says beginning of March will be wet.Our met guys are talking of 3rd-4th week of March.Pray that the latter's prediction is more accurate.We are starring at a looming draught


Still a 90% chance of rain on 1/3/2018




Our Met guys have revised their prediction..





I am looking at the current real time satellite image showing current rainfall status in the region and there is no way rains will start today or tmr or 1st march as the met guy is saying. The only places currently raining as per the satellite image as I am typing this are malaba and kisii, and their rain is mostly convectional rain from lake victoria. The long rains are due to the south easterly monsoon winds and hakuna dalili ya mvua any time soon.



Can any wazuan in malaba or kisii (suneka, nyangusu, even neighboring kilgoris) confirm that it's currently raining as per my satellite image?



There was heavy rain overnight in Embakasi, Nairobi
Much Know
#113 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 1:12:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,548
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause
A New Kenya
Angelica _ann
#114 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:39:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause


Also beat @hardwood & @ Julie wa Guka smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
murchr
#115 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:58:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
Nairobi, Mombasa bado

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
masukuma
#116 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 5:58:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,821
Location: Nairobi
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause

science!!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
Ash Ock
#117 Posted : Thursday, March 01, 2018 10:29:03 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/27/2010
Posts: 495
Location: Nairobi
masukuma wrote:
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause

science!!


For a better understanding, have a look at this article. Explains quite a bit of how weather prediction works.

Here's What a Chance of Rain Really Means




Sent from my Black Nokia 3310
hardwood
#118 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 9:21:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/28/2015
Posts: 9,562
Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
Angelica _ann wrote:
Much Know wrote:
Accuweather beats met department hands down! Applause


Also beat @hardwood & @ Julie wa Guka smile


Nope. I am not wrong. So have farmers planted now that it has rained?

These are just the early rains that occur for a few days then stop before the real rains begins. They are what Mugabe and zimbabweans call gukurahundi i.e "the early rain which washes away the chaff before the spring rains".
murchr
#119 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 3:26:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
Another day to watch March 10. I think it will be foolish to imagine that the weather forecast is only important for farmers. Those met guys should be giving that 7 or 10 day forecast everyday now that they have a twitter and facebook account. Just as farmers need to know when to plant, travellers need to know how and if they should travel etc. So March 10 is forecasted to be another rainy night in Nairobi. If you are a farmer mbegu I kuwe chini on that day you will not regret.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#120 Posted : Friday, March 02, 2018 5:05:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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