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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Angelica _ann
#1761 Posted : Thursday, November 22, 2018 9:59:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#1762 Posted : Thursday, November 22, 2018 10:39:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#1763 Posted : Thursday, November 22, 2018 11:41:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

Samehea ni mkongwe
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#1764 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2018 12:07:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

Samehea ni mkongwe


I know what I wrote. BBK presented vert poor results therefore I hope ABSA is cleaning the inherited poor perfourming loans. While other Banks are cooks cc. You know I yourselves.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#1765 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2018 6:15:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

Samehea ni mkongwe


I know what I wrote. BBK presented vert poor results therefore I hope ABSA is cleaning the inherited poor perfourming loans. While other Banks are cooks cc. You know I yourselves.

Cleaning up of a bank's bad book would involve write off that would reduce the NPL. In this case of BBK, we see a rise in the non performing portion of their loan book to KES 3.2B

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
lochaz-index
#1766 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2018 11:39:26 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

Samehea ni mkongwe


I know what I wrote. BBK presented vert poor results therefore I hope ABSA is cleaning the inherited poor perfourming loans. While other Banks are cooks cc. You know I yourselves.

That wasn't a book cleaning exercise. Rather they ramped up lending in Q2 and got burned. Macros don't support retail lending.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
obiero
#1767 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2018 12:58:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
lochaz-index wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Stanchart Pre-tax profits up 35%.
Interest income from government Securities up 15%
Interest income from loans and advances down 2%

Bad loans up 11%


Clearly shows ABSA is cleaning books. Great!!!

ABSA? On SCBK?

Samehea ni mkongwe


I know what I wrote. BBK presented vert poor results therefore I hope ABSA is cleaning the inherited poor perfourming loans. While other Banks are cooks cc. You know I yourselves.

That wasn't a book cleaning exercise. Rather they ramped up lending in Q2 and got burned. Macros don't support retail lending.

My thoughts exactly.. They underrated the impact of layoffs in retail lending..

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#1768 Posted : Saturday, November 24, 2018 8:19:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#1769 Posted : Saturday, November 24, 2018 12:22:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071


@Obiero
What happened to Stanbic bank.
Half year 2018 they made a profit of ksh.5.2bn and Q3 6.7bn
Means in the 3 months of Q3 they made a profit of ksh.1.5bn.
And this is a vvs holding
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
obiero
#1770 Posted : Saturday, November 24, 2018 12:37:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071


@Obiero
What happened to Stanbic bank.
Half year 2018 they made a profit of ksh.5.2bn and Q3 6.7bn
Means in the 3 months of Q3 they made a profit of ksh.1.5bn.
And this is a vvs holding

Pure voodoo.. They got hit hard in South Sudan but didn't expect such a result

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#1771 Posted : Saturday, November 24, 2018 12:47:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071


@Obiero
What happened to Stanbic bank.
Half year 2018 they made a profit of ksh.5.2bn and Q3 6.7bn
Means in the 3 months of Q3 they made a profit of ksh.1.5bn.
And this is a vvs holding

Pure voodoo.. They got hit hard in South Sudan but didn't expect such a result


And there is still exposure in ARM and Karuturi flowers
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#1772 Posted : Saturday, November 24, 2018 9:49:08 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,056
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071


@Obiero
What happened to Stanbic bank.
Half year 2018 they made a profit of ksh.5.2bn and Q3 6.7bn
Means in the 3 months of Q3 they made a profit of ksh.1.5bn.
And this is a vvs holding

Kabisa! Applause Applause Applause SAHL wants it all for itself. It's a matter of time before they make another bid.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#1773 Posted : Monday, November 26, 2018 5:45:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Bank of Baroda holding 101B in customer deposits as at Q3 2018

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#1774 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2018 2:50:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Bank of Baroda holding 101B in customer deposits as at Q3 2018


That bank is huge;it's a Tier 2 category.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
obiero
#1775 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2018 5:41:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Bank of Baroda holding 101B in customer deposits as at Q3 2018


That bank is huge;it's a Tier 2 category.

It's very small in branch size, customer count but healthy in pound per punch because it serves the highest Kenya-Asian caste, the Shah family, whose wealth runs a large portion of our economy

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#1776 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2018 3:29:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9 Actual 7.6
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
mlennyma
#1777 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2018 3:57:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,175
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9 Actual 7.6
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

Has Nic joined this bottom 2,by behaviour YEs but by results let me wait.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#1778 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2018 5:14:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9 Actual 7.6
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

Has Nic joined this bottom 2,by behaviour YEs but by results let me wait.

Meanwhile, year on year; I&M totally redefines its raise in NPL percentage, outshining BBK in the negative..

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
the deal
#1779 Posted : Wednesday, November 28, 2018 8:51:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9 Actual 7.6
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

Has Nic joined this bottom 2,by behaviour YEs but by results let me wait.

Meanwhile, year on year; I&M totally redefines its raise in NPL percentage, outshining BBK in the negative..


Only problem here is the sharp fall in the core capital /TRWA ratio amid a surge in NPL's... It looks like loan write offs are starting to eat into core capital . I&M bank needs to raise capital soon otherwise trouble is brewing!
VituVingiSana
#1780 Posted : Wednesday, November 28, 2018 9:51:25 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,056
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
The Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2018, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 24.9 Actual 25.6
EQTY 23.7 Actual 22.4
COOP 15.2 Actual 14.65
SCBK 8.9 Actual 9.2
DTB 8.4 Actual 8.208
BBK 7.9 Actual 7.72
STBC 7.7 Actual 6.7
I&M 6.9 Actual 7.6
NIC 3.9
NBK 0.33
HFCK 0.071

Has Nic joined this bottom 2,by behaviour YEs but by results let me wait.

Meanwhile, year on year; I&M totally redefines its raise in NPL percentage, outshining BBK in the negative..

The surge in NPLs was done in the 4Q 2017 just before IFRS 9 kicked in.
I wonder how much of the increase in NPLs are due to a bone-headed decision to lend to KQ.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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