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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Angelica _ann
#2221 Posted : Tuesday, August 18, 2020 10:07:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#2222 Posted : Tuesday, August 18, 2020 10:14:06 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


That statement has been sung since 2012 but yet to materialise.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Metch
#2223 Posted : Tuesday, August 18, 2020 11:48:04 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/22/2015
Posts: 224
Location: Mombasa, Kenya
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


That statement has been sung since 2012 but yet to materialise.


Looks like Equity will weather COVID better than KCB. That should be the equalizer
Start!
mlennyma
#2224 Posted : Tuesday, August 18, 2020 12:06:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,175
Location: nairobi
Metch wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


That statement has been sung since 2012 but yet to materialise.


Looks like Equity will weather COVID better than KCB. That should be the equalizer

.
equity stalls in Q3 and Q4
[
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#2225 Posted : Wednesday, August 19, 2020 1:34:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Metch wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


That statement has been sung since 2012 but yet to materialise.


Looks like Equity will weather COVID better than KCB. That should be the equalizer

.
equity stalls in Q3 and Q4
[

Small banks will continue to fold

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#2226 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2020 7:29:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Metch wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


That statement has been sung since 2012 but yet to materialise.


Looks like Equity will weather COVID better than KCB. That should be the equalizer

.
equity stalls in Q3 and Q4
[

Small banks will continue to fold

Next small bank to fold is which one.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2227 Posted : Thursday, August 20, 2020 1:57:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2
EQTY 14
COOP 10.2
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2
HFCK 0.042


HFCK projected loss of ksh.293mn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
young
#2228 Posted : Sunday, August 23, 2020 11:06:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
HY EARNING REPORT THIS WEEK

ABSA.......Mon 24th Aug
**SCBK.....Fri 28th Aug

** Estimated
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Ericsson
#2229 Posted : Monday, August 24, 2020 9:32:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
young wrote:
HY EARNING REPORT THIS WEEK

ABSA.......Mon 24th Aug
**SCBK.....Fri 28th Aug

** Estimated


ABSA Kenya parent released HY 2020 results today with a 93% drop in Profit before tax
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
young
#2230 Posted : Monday, August 24, 2020 11:49:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
young wrote:
HY EARNING REPORT THIS WEEK

ABSA.......Mon 24th Aug
**SCBK.....Fri 28th Aug

** Estimated



UPDATE

ABSA...on/before Fri 28th Aug
SCBK...on/Before Fri 28th Aug
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Ericsson
#2231 Posted : Tuesday, August 25, 2020 9:36:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


Stanchart ksh.5.1bn
No interim dividend
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2232 Posted : Wednesday, August 26, 2020 9:17:57 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


Stanchart ksh.5.1bn
No interim dividend


DTB Ksh.4.48bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2233 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 9:45:28 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


Stanchart ksh.5.1bn
No interim dividend


DTB Ksh.4.48bn


I&M ksh.4.5bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
young
#2234 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 10:19:27 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8 Actual 3.91
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


Stanchart ksh.5.1bn
No interim dividend


DTB Ksh.4.48bn


I&M ksh.4.5bn



NCBA. Ksh 3.91bn

Outstanding ..ABSA & HFCK
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Ericsson
#2235 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 4:22:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
young wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2 Actual 3.3
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8 Actual 3.91
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042 Actual -0.296



Equity is catching up with KCB smile .


Stanchart ksh.5.1bn
No interim dividend


DTB Ksh.4.48bn


I&M ksh.4.5bn



NCBA. Ksh 3.91bn

Outstanding ..ABSA & HFCK


HFCK Loss of Ksh.296mn
ABSA ksh.3.3bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#2236 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 4:31:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2
EQTY 14
COOP 10.2
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2
HFCK 0.042


HFCK projected loss of ksh.293mn


Looks like you had heads up, that's too close.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#2237 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 7:33:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2 Actual 3.3
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8 Actual 3.91
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042 Actual -0.296

A tragedy at ABSA.. Expect worse results in Q3 for all banks as the restructuring denies core interest income and provisions rise

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Queen
#2238 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 8:38:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 561
Location: Britain
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2 Actual 3.3
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8 Actual 3.91
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042 Actual -0.296

A tragedy at ABSA.. Expect worse results in Q3 for all banks as the restructuring denies core interest income and provisions rise


Except for Coop Bank, everything else is a total disaster.
young
#2239 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 8:51:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Queen wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2 Actual 12.8
EQTY 14 Actual 11.9
COOP 10.2 Actual 9.6
I&M 6.9 Actual 4.5
ABSA 6.2 Actual 3.3
SCBK 6.1 Actual 5.1
DTB 5.8 Actual 4.48
NCBA 4.8 Actual 3.91
STANB 4.2 Actual 4.1
HFCK 0.042 Actual -0.296

A tragedy at ABSA.. Expect worse results in Q3 for all banks as the restructuring denies core interest income and provisions rise


Except for Coop Bank, everything else is a total disaster.


Not exactly . Some others are still manageable based on current covid situation .
Take a look further on the details like PAT, EPS etc you will realize that in addition to COOP, then KCB, EQITY, NCBA are fairly ok but on discounted price of 10% of the current price which is achievable when market correction sets in occasioned by short term taking of profits by investors .
Remember provision for delayed interest income due to deferred loans as per covid is a one off operation .
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Queen
#2240 Posted : Thursday, August 27, 2020 8:52:11 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 561
Location: Britain
Let us just say these Bank stocks will kill people one day.
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