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3rd Quarter Rally........What to buy
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Kirika
#21 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 10:41:15 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/26/2011
Posts: 211
Location: Nairobi

Feels like a fat kid in a candy shop. Everywhere I look my mouth waters..But i'm abit fearful given the greed i'm witnessing.
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young
#22 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:04:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Kirika wrote:

Feels like a fat kid in a candy shop. Everywhere I look my mouth waters..But i'm abit fearful given the greed i'm witnessing.


In that case stick to the blue chips when they loose during market correction which can happen any time, they always rebound quick with high velocity, most cases to new highs.
Here is the basket to choose from.

Safcom,KCB,Equity,NMG,EABL,Bamburi,Jubilee, Panafric.
While waiting you pick up good dividends.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
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the deal
#23 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 1:19:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I can see euphoria has taken over...ati SCOM at Ksh15...it looks like folks have thrown reason out of the window...SCOM at Ksh15 means it will trade on a PE of 15 even if it announces an EPS of Ksh1...now that's a PAT of Ksh50Bn folks...Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly ....no way in the next 3 years is SCOM reporting a PAT of Ksh50Bn in the next 3 years.
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The Associate
#24 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 3:05:37 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/2/2013
Posts: 22
With such greed....I think it is time to leave the market and wait to buy when there is blood in the street...the only person who will make money here is a short term speculator with a stop loss and targets...if you have any other strategy...you will lose money
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guru267
#25 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 3:56:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
I can see euphoria has taken over...ati SCOM at Ksh15...it looks like folks have thrown reason out of the window...SCOM at Ksh15 means it will trade on a PE of 15 even if it announces an EPS of Ksh1...now that's a PAT of Ksh50Bn folks...Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly ....no way in the next 3 years is SCOM reporting a PAT of Ksh50Bn in the next 3 years.


@the deal I heard Scom is planning for 0 debt in 3 years... I wonder what PAT will be then??
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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young
#26 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 4:21:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Safaricom Debt Free story.

Anyone that buy Safcom now and wait 3 to 4 years will have a handsome reward (handsome dividend and capital gains). No wonder the high demand for this super brand blue chip.


http://www.businessdaily...2/-/vgwyj8z/-/index.html
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
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the deal
#27 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 6:40:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
guru267 wrote:
the deal wrote:
I can see euphoria has taken over...ati SCOM at Ksh15...it looks like folks have thrown reason out of the window...SCOM at Ksh15 means it will trade on a PE of 15 even if it announces an EPS of Ksh1...now that's a PAT of Ksh50Bn folks...Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly ....no way in the next 3 years is SCOM reporting a PAT of Ksh50Bn in the next 3 years.


@the deal I heard Scom is planning for 0 debt in 3 years... I wonder what PAT will be then??

SCOM being debt free...wont make any difference...in FY2013 SCOM only paid Ksh1.65Bn in finance costs...

Dividends are subject of cash flows...if SCOM's cashflow continue to improve then expect dividends to rise...

Overall SCOM is a fattenned cash cow..rather an overvalued cash cow...there will be a slaughter here.
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mwekez@ji
#28 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 6:40:42 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Kenyan Stocks Rally as Oil Prospects Lure Frontier Investors >>> http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2...-frontier-investors.html
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mwekez@ji
#29 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 6:49:25 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
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obiero
#30 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 8:21:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
The Associate wrote:
With such greed....I think it is time to leave the market and wait to buy when there is blood in the street...the only person who will make money here is a short term speculator with a stop loss and targets...if you have any other strategy...you will lose money

This guy seems sober

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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cnn
#31 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 8:41:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,616
obiero wrote:
The Associate wrote:
With such greed....I think it is time to leave the market and wait to buy when there is blood in the street...the only person who will make money here is a short term speculator with a stop loss and targets...if you have any other strategy...you will lose money

This guy seems sober

And i too hope he was sober to buy KCB @37 ,when it was called to the 30's in some quarters,his leaving with a quick 20% gain i would understand.Nobody can predict which way the market will go.He could leave now and the market does another 15% up or it could sharply turn the other way,30% down,it all boils down to ones risk appetite,for my long term portfolio i will still buy my chosen stocks.
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Angelica _ann
#32 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 8:52:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
Let
us all participate in this; real willing seller, willing buyer
scenario. Market will do well coz some dont look at current fundamentals
but operating macro environment.

@obiero March 2014 you wont believe!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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obiero
#33 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 9:42:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
Let
us all participate in this; real willing seller, willing buyer
scenario. Market will do well coz some dont look at current fundamentals
but operating macro environment.

@obiero March 2014 you wont believe!!!

@angel.. atleast i am one of the few people from nyanza who fully understands the securities exchange.. :)

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Aguytrying
#34 Posted : Tuesday, October 08, 2013 9:46:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
finally the euphoria has started carrying people with it. after over one year off continuous rally it has happened. the high pe's are a headache. since its clear the oil discovery is exciting investors. id stay put till the oil rally is fever pitch
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Mukiri
#35 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 1:36:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
stocksmaster wrote:
The market seems to be bullish on the expectations of good 3rd quarter results.

My rating of some stocks at current prices is as follows:
1. KCB - As price approaches Ksh 50 - Hold
2. CFC - At current prices; Accumulate on price dips below Ksh 80.
3. Coop Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 19
4. Equity Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 40
5. HFCK - Buy with target price Ksh 29
6. Safaricom - Accumulate at price dips below Ksh 9.00

Happy Hunting.

Tentative short-term target prices?

Proverbs 19:21
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murchr
#36 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 3:04:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,979
Mukiri wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
The market seems to be bullish on the expectations of good 3rd quarter results.

My rating of some stocks at current prices is as follows:
1. KCB - As price approaches Ksh 50 - Hold
2. CFC - At current prices; Accumulate on price dips below Ksh 80.
3. Coop Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 19
4. Equity Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 40
5. HFCK - Buy with target price Ksh 29
6. Safaricom - Accumulate at price dips below Ksh 9.00

Happy Hunting.

Tentative short-term target prices?


Mukiri no one know what Mr Mkt thinks...buy the company you like
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Mukiri
#37 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 9:48:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
murchr wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
The market seems to be bullish on the expectations of good 3rd quarter results.

My rating of some stocks at current prices is as follows:
1. KCB - As price approaches Ksh 50 - Hold
2. CFC - At current prices; Accumulate on price dips below Ksh 80.
3. Coop Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 19
4. Equity Bank - Buy with target price of Ksh 40
5. HFCK - Buy with target price Ksh 29
6. Safaricom - Accumulate at price dips below Ksh 9.00

Happy Hunting.

Tentative short-term target prices?


Mukiri no one know what Mr Mkt thinks...buy the company you like

The Associate wrote:
With such greed....I think it is time to leave the market and wait to buy when there is blood in the street...the only person who will make money here is a short term speculator with a stop loss and targets...if you have any other strategy...you will lose money

Proverbs 19:21
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streetwise
#38 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 10:06:49 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
which is the cheapest bank to buy at this rate.
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ngapat
#39 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 10:42:49 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 874
streetwise wrote:
which is the cheapest bank to buy at this rate.

cfc
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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Metasploit
#40 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2013 12:24:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Metasploit wrote:
you have left behind Britam (Good volumes and increased foreign interest for last 4 trading sessions;plus a bullish chart breakout on price above 8.7) and Kengen (Bullish chart)

Exit volumes on Kenya Re and Kenol kobil


Seems Britam is finally breaking above its all time High of 9.45 today.Foreigners are accelerating this thing like crazy

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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