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Kenya to start exporting oil in 2016
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Kenyanhustler
#1 Posted : Tuesday, August 20, 2013 12:25:12 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/7/2010
Posts: 20
Location: Nairobi
10 billion barrels.. Is that too optimistic or can be realized..

http://mobile.bloomberg....oil-exports-energy.html

Time to accumulate total and kk
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hisah
#2 Posted : Tuesday, August 20, 2013 12:48:57 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Read this read - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...aspx?g=posts&t=14926
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Impunity
#3 Posted : Tuesday, August 20, 2013 3:20:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,328
Location: Masada
Too optimistic going by the TAT we've heard from our peers...UG, Ghana etc.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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Realtreaty
#4 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 10:08:02 AM
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Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,297
Wewe wacha zako, kwani kuchimba mafuta ni kama kulay mfereji ya maji? We may be up to that game after 2018.
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VituVingiSana
#5 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 10:54:17 AM
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Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,101
Location: Nairobi
LMAO... Unless the oil is offshore, the chances of producing commercial quantities let along exporting oil by 2016 are zero to none.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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jaggernaut
#6 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 11:19:31 AM
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Joined: 10/9/2008
Posts: 5,389
So who should we believe regarding this issue? The optimistic company which is doing the drilling in Turkana or the pessimistic wazua arm chair analysts?
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VituVingiSana
#7 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 2:01:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,101
Location: Nairobi
jaggernaut wrote:
So who should we believe regarding this issue? The optimistic company which is doing the drilling in Turkana or the pessimistic wazua arm chair analysts?
Compare notes on 31st December 2016.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Tokyo
#8 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 3:26:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/9/2006
Posts: 1,502
jaggernaut wrote:
So who should we believe regarding this issue? The optimistic company which is doing the drilling in Turkana or the pessimistic wazua arm chair analysts?


Believe in reality
work to prosper
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murchr
#9 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 4:25:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Read this read - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...spx?g=posts&t=14926

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Obi 1 Kanobi
#10 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2013 4:45:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
VituVingiSana wrote:
LMAO... Unless the oil is offshore, the chances of producing commercial quantities let along exporting oil by 2016 are zero to none.


2016 is very doable, for crying out loud, we are in 2013, 3 years is enough time to dig out the damn thing.But I could be mistaken, do you have a timeline of how long it takes to get oil to market.

I think in the short term they are targeting making a quick buck substituting our current imports of 80,000 BPD with the Turkana crude, which is a cool usd 8M per day turnover. Makes sense to me.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
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