wazua Thu, May 2, 2024
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In | Register

131 Pages«<6061626364>»
Kenya Economy Watch
snipermnoma
#1221 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2016 11:08:05 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
KulaRaha wrote:
obiero wrote:
Swenani wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
KenyanEconomist wrote:
obiero wrote:
MPC meets today. I will not be surprised if CBR is adjusted to 11%


With slowing private sector credit growth, shouldn't they be thinking about adjusting downwards (to stimulate economic activity)? Why would they consider raising rates at this point in time?


Dropping rates would hurt the shilling...they have been propping it up all month long.

Retained at 10%

More depression for SMEs


Rate cap was nail in SME coffin. They're too high risk to lend at 14%.


This seems to echo those sentiments: http://www.businessdaily...539546-3466874-p4d82hz/
Swenani
#1222 Posted : Saturday, December 03, 2016 7:52:31 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,236
Location: Vacuum
shainese loans hit Shs. 1 Trillion
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
Angelica _ann
#1223 Posted : Saturday, December 03, 2016 8:12:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901

These Chinese are real terminates ... Sad Sad Sad
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#1224 Posted : Saturday, December 03, 2016 8:36:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
President Elect Donald Trump described shinese as very aggressive and ruthless
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
streetwise
#1225 Posted : Sunday, December 04, 2016 8:01:55 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
We may have to pay them by giving them our land. Here I agree with drump

Read Drump
Ericsson
#1226 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 5:13:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Who wants Kenya’s Central Bank Governor out? Why?

http://www.theeastafrica...475238-trogd7/index.html
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#1227 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 6:57:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
[quote=Ericsson]Who wants Kenya’s Central Bank Governor out? Why?

http://www.theeastafrica...75238-trogd7/index.html[/quote]
Can only be Mafia .....
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
maka
#1228 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 7:15:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
[quote=Ericsson]Who wants Kenya’s Central Bank Governor out? Why?

http://www.theeastafrica...75238-trogd7/index.html[/quote]
Can only be Mafia .....


This guy will resign soon....
possunt quia posse videntur
Angelica _ann
#1229 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2016 8:17:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
maka wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
[quote=Ericsson]Who wants Kenya’s Central Bank Governor out? Why?

http://www.theeastafrica...75238-trogd7/index.html[/quote]
Can only be Mafia .....


This guy will resign soon....

Why? I think he is level headed. This guy and Matiangi should be PORK and DPORK in any order.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#1230 Posted : Tuesday, December 06, 2016 7:48:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.businessdaily...176-10xcr2hz/index.html

President Elect Donald Trump effect.
Dollar strengthening globally
US interest rates to rise faster than expected
Stocks are at 9 year high
Bond yields are rising due to anticipated economic stimulus by Trump



Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
lochaz-index
#1231 Posted : Tuesday, December 06, 2016 6:09:41 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Ericsson wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Treasury-cuts-development-spending-by-Sh213-5bn/539546-3476176-10xcr2hz/index.html

President Elect Donald Trump effect.
Dollar strengthening globally
US interest rates to rise faster than expected
Stocks are at 9 year high
Bond yields are rising due to anticipated economic stimulus by Trump




Yields 'bottomed out' around June of this year when there was about $13 trillion worth of bonds in negative territory. They have been rising ever since. That figure now stands at about $9.7 trillion.

USTs were among the last batch to change trend though the bunds are still not budging. Interest rates were bound to move up whether Trump won or lost. The fact that some of his proposed policies fit into the market script is but a happy coincidence. A catalyst it sure is but the cause? Absolutely not.

A trend shift was on the cards and KE will not be left behind.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Ericsson
#1232 Posted : Sunday, December 11, 2016 9:12:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
In the supplementary budget Rotich says budget for SGR has been cut by sh.43.5bn
Budget ya ministry of energy imekuwa halved to sh.60.25bn from 117bn
State department of petroleum budget has been reduced by 1.2bn
Allocation for geothermal development will go down to sh.10.5bn from 21.9bn
Number of new wells to be drilled reduced to 5 from 10
KETRACO budget for transmission and distribution has been cut to sh.47.76bn from 93.45bn
Rural electrification programme slashed to 13bn from 25bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
wukan
#1233 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 7:12:25 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,569
Ericsson wrote:
In the supplementary budget Rotich says budget for SGR has been cut by sh.43.5bn
Budget ya ministry of energy imekuwa halved to sh.60.25bn from 117bn
State department of petroleum budget has been reduced by 1.2bn
Allocation for geothermal development will go down to sh.10.5bn from 21.9bn
Number of new wells to be drilled reduced to 5 from 10
KETRACO budget for transmission and distribution has been cut to sh.47.76bn from 93.45bn
Rural electrification programme slashed to 13bn from 25bn


Too little too late. If they had done this kind of budget cuts 2 years back, private sector would not be in recession. Tax and spend has not worked out very well.
sparkly
#1234 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 9:08:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Ericsson wrote:
In the supplementary budget Rotich says budget for SGR has been cut by sh.43.5bn
Budget ya ministry of energy imekuwa halved to sh.60.25bn from 117bn
State department of petroleum budget has been reduced by 1.2bn
Allocation for geothermal development will go down to sh.10.5bn from 21.9bn
Number of new wells to be drilled reduced to 5 from 10
KETRACO budget for transmission and distribution has been cut to sh.47.76bn from 93.45bn
Rural electrification programme slashed to 13bn from 25bn


Money needed to service debts.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Ericsson
#1235 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 10:59:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Brent crude up 5% on oil production cuts to $56.75
Analysts project oil prices could close the year at $65
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
muandiwambeu
#1236 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 1:15:33 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
sparkly wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
In the supplementary budget Rotich says budget for SGR has been cut by sh.43.5bn
Budget ya ministry of energy imekuwa halved to sh.60.25bn from 117bn
State department of petroleum budget has been reduced by 1.2bn
Allocation for geothermal development will go down to sh.10.5bn from 21.9bn
Number of new wells to be drilled reduced to 5 from 10
KETRACO budget for transmission and distribution has been cut to sh.47.76bn from 93.45bn
Rural electrification programme slashed to 13bn from 25bn


Money needed to service debts.

And so you answer a question have been struggling with, or the moni goes to compaign budget. Just thinking around. Will campaign moni changes the metrics of economy positively?
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
alutacontinua
#1237 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 1:31:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Ericsson wrote:
Brent crude up 5% on oil production cuts to $56.75
Analysts project oil prices could close the year at $65


Strong USD and Higher Oil Prices will see an uptick inflation. It will be interesting to see how CBK reacts to prevent slide of Ksh.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
Ericsson
#1238 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 1:46:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Kenya's budget in 2016 was bigger than Nigeria '.
How????
Nigeria budget was $20bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
muandiwambeu
#1239 Posted : Monday, December 12, 2016 5:03:32 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
alutacontinua wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Brent crude up 5% on oil production cuts to $56.75
Analysts project oil prices could close the year at $65


Strong USD and a higher Oil Prices will see and uptick inflation. It will be interesting to see how CBK reacts to prevent slide of Ksh.

That's a thriller in the making. And you will have a horror if it crosses $70. Petrol and dollar courting. Petrodolla unions looking for a red rose to consumate the partnership.
Somebody must stop this.
Caveat. Oil flows in Kenya by end of 2017. Am I dreaming hard or its true?d'oh! Sad Pray
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
lochaz-index
#1240 Posted : Thursday, December 15, 2016 12:09:45 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Total KE debt now stands at 3.7T that puts it at about 56% of the rebased GDP. Fiscal funding is already proving problematic as exemplified by supplementary budget cuts especially for development expenditure.

KRA revenue target is 1.5T with about 600b or 40% of it expected to service debt in 2017/2018. In my opinion, KRA will struggle to beat this year's 1.3T revenue. That means we could very well use more than 50% of our revenues to service debt.
http://www.businessdaily...6440-cl9kj8z/index.html

The govt is still mulling over where to source external funds(euro bond etc) seeing as domestic borrowing has regularly exceeded the proposed ceilings. One major problem to this plan is that any substantial KES weakness will blow up both our debt burden and our debt service ratio. This is even before any more external borrowing is sourced for current budgetary support.

Adding on to that pile of misery is that global and local interest rates are bound to rise and rise astronomically at that. Treasury has a tough decision to make and they had better do it fast. At 70% debt to GDP ratio and a greater than 50% debt service ratio in the face of dwindling revenues, KE economy will be in excruciating pain. This horror show could play out as soon as next year.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Users browsing this topic
Guest (2)
131 Pages«<6061626364>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2024 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.