[quote=a4architect.com]By factoring in the % turnout, the excel documents give a pretty good idea of who will win the elections. Download here below

http://www.a4architect.c...c/elections-2013-excel/[/quote]


Jubille oyee!

Where are those ODM die-hards? Utawaona saa hii.

@amores. The pollstars do not factor in % turnout and also 47 counties. With turnout and counties in the mix, this is how things will pan out. You can tweak the docs to reflect your assumptions to see the overall winner.

kiambu county will cancel out nairobi being home ground of UK turnout will be over 90%

I agree Jubilee will win round 1 but not with 50+1 as this excel worksheet portrays. there are instances where the potential candidates between OAR and UMK will lose votes to the smaller guys thereby shrinking their overall percentage. tik tok tik tok 4th March here we come to end this debate!

@a4architect, no doubt where your vote leans because your spreadsheet RANDOMLY:

1) gives average of 80% voter turnout in zones where Jubilee carries favour as opposed to 64% for CORD

2) gives Jubilee a majority tally in 42% of the counties in Kenya

3) in the counties where Jubilee leads, you've skewed the vote difference an average 67 percentage points as compared to only 56 points where CORD leads