January 2015 stock picks - Source: NIC
EQUITY BANK
BUY at TP of KES 59.41 Current Price KES 49.50
♦ Equity Bank recently received KES 5.6bn from the European Investment Bank to support lending to SMEs. This should help support stronger loan growth to this highly lucrative segment.
♦ Equitel, Equity’s MVNO, is finally being rolled out. Already, approximately 200,000 SIM Cards have been issued. Money transfer charges will be set at 1% of transaction amount but capped at KES 25. Key near term benefits of MVNO include increased efficiency and increased non funded income .
♦ Equity’s PBT 3Q14 growth of 26%y/y was the highest in the last 7 quarters. We note an improvement in cost of risk (CoR) and NIR/total revenue as key drivers.
♦ Loan impairment charges declined by 62% to KES 900m, driving down Cost of risk (CoR) by 150bps y/y to 0.6% which augmented earnings. Despite increased lending, asset quality improved, as seen in the NPL ratio declining by 30bps q/q and 120bps y/y to 4.3%. Of note is that impairments from subsidiaries now account for 30% of total impairments, against 21% a year earlier.
♦ Strong loan growth to anchor earnings. Loans grew at 30% y/y in 3Q14. This was particularly strong in Q3, growing by an absolute KES 20bn increase representing 40% of loans issued in the last 12 months.
♦ Strong growths in non funded income to adequately compensate for interest margin contraction. Revenue channels include diaspora remittances, merchant banking and mobile payments.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.