As soon as tomorrow if the Greek bailout drama continues with IMF & EU throwing tomatoes at each other or Bungestag deciced on Sept 7th that it is not Germany's taxpayers biz to bailout a fiscally indisciplined greek political fat-cats or as soon as Greece says it can't find cash to pay for the maturing greek bonds on Sept 22nd... Then Italy/Spain/Portugal CDS will go crackers with their interest rates going on a parabolic just like greek's 1yr note is now at 70%... At that moment, I'd expect a lot of euro banks to see liquidity drought esp for USD funds and that panic will see another upleg on gold & silver...
As it is, I expect by Nov 2011 when the rubber in Euroland and US meets the road, gold could be above $2500 and silver at $60...
Let us wait and see what the tape will read like by Dec 2011...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!