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Investor Education: How to Analyse Stocks 1
the deal
#1 Posted : Sunday, April 10, 2011 1:32:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Investor Education: How to Analyse Stocks 1
So you are a newbie in this investing game? You have been reading your brokers research reports ended up getting perplexed by all those figures and jargon your broker presented to you or you have been watching those sharp analysts on financial TV programmes like Nation's PM live and never quiet understood what they said? Look no further in this series of posts i'm going to show you how to analyse a stock like a proffessional using the simplest of all metrics.

We are going to start with the Price to Earnings multiple, commonly known as the PE.

Whats the PE and how is it calculated?

PE stands for price to earnings multiple, its calculated by dividing the trading price by the earnings per share(EPS) i.e Jubilee Holdings is trading at a price of 215 and its EPS is 37 its PE will therefore be 5.8. EPS is the companies profit after tax divided by the number of issued of shares i.e Safaricom has 10 billion outstanding shares.

There are two types of PE's

1. Trailing PE ratio like the one we have just calculated
2. Forward PE-normally its used to focast the trailing PE, its calculated the same way as the trailing PE but here you use quarterly or interim financial statements.

Rest of the article here http://contrarianinvesti...tion-how-to-analyse.html
Gadaffi
#2 Posted : Sunday, April 10, 2011 2:38:33 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
P/E conti..
The price earnings ratio (P/E) anomaly refers to the observation that stocks
with extremely low P/E ratios (i.e., lowest decile) earn larger risk-adjusted returns
than high P/E stocks..An alternative behavioral explanation for the anomaly based on investor
overreaction is called the "price-ratio"hypothesis.Companies with very low P/E's are thought to be temporarily "undervalued" because investors become excessively pessimistic after a series of bad earnings reports or other bad news. Once future earnings turn out to be better than the unreasonably gloomy forecasts, the price adjusts Similarly, the equity of companies with very high P/E's is thought to be "overvalued,"before (predictably)
falling in price.
holycow
#3 Posted : Sunday, April 10, 2011 2:39:47 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
Its never too late to enrol for gumbaro. My investing decisions been based on low P/E, high dividend yield and somehow having an idea what the company does.
My questions are listed below.
I have an idea(from google) how to calculate ROE, but whats the significance of ROCE and ROE??
Why is an increase in shareholders equity good for the shareholder?
Basic and diluted EPS(difference and which is used in computing P/E)?

http://www.wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&t=11254

http://www.wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&t=7638

ProverB wrote:
understanding Kenya Airways?
..comparing 2010 to 2009
Average Price March 2010 Kshs 58.50
Revenues 2010 Kshs 70,743,000,000
Revenue Growth -1.51%
Price-to-sales March 2010 0.38
Operating Income Growth -54.50
Operating Margin 2010 2.60
Operating Margin 2009 5.63
PBT Growth (paper loss in 09) -147.16%
PBT Margin 2010 3.78
PAT Growth 2010 -149.84
ROE (Return on Equity) 10.96
ROCE(Return on Capital Employed) 2.78

P/E @ price of 58.50 13.33
Price to Book 1.46
Div Yield 1.71

before i buy, i ensure;
1. Financial Statements;
*Revenues are growing over time
*Profits are increasing (operating, before tax, and after tax) and better than peers//and atleast 3 year improving averages
*Improving Profit margins over 3 years
*Profits as percentage of Assets, Shareholders’ equity better than that of peers..ROA and ROE and ROCE..higher than 15%..over three years


2. Investment Valuation
*Low price-to-sales ratio (PSR); preferably below 1..but compared to peers
*Low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio
*Low price-to-book value especially if company is heavily reliant on physical assets e.g. manufacturing companies or companies operating within heavy capitalization industries.


3. Technical analysis
*Share is liquid enough to be easily available or easily sold but also scarce enough to prevent value dilution.
*Demand and supply volumes during trading periods.


Githiari
#4 Posted : Sunday, April 10, 2011 3:00:37 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 4/6/2011
Posts: 6
Been at the NSE for arnd 4 years now...bt i must say i have learnd a thing or two here..Pray
I have always been contented, but never satisfied.
Henry M Flagler.
the deal
#5 Posted : Monday, April 11, 2011 7:36:06 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@holycow diluted EPS includes other outstanding shares i.e preffered shares, stock options and esops...diluted EPS is used to calculate the PE...an increase in shareholder equity is desirable bcos it increases the book value of the company.
Memmy
#6 Posted : Monday, April 11, 2011 11:28:42 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/21/2009
Posts: 34
Asante @the deal
the deal
#7 Posted : Tuesday, April 12, 2011 11:35:58 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Memmy wrote:
Asante @the deal

u r welcome...part 2 coming soon...the Wazua Spirit lives on.
holycow
#8 Posted : Tuesday, April 12, 2011 11:53:16 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
@ the deal
I do read your blog, unfortunately, you don't allow comments from anonymous users.
Cde Monomotapa
#9 Posted : Tuesday, April 12, 2011 3:35:14 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
holycow wrote:
@ the deal
I do read your blog, unfortunately, you don't allow comments from anonymous users.

Kwani wewe ni whistle blower? Mscheew!
holycow
#10 Posted : Tuesday, April 12, 2011 3:43:13 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
holycow wrote:
@ the deal
I do read your blog, unfortunately, you don't allow comments from anonymous users.

Kwani wewe ni whistle blower? Mscheew!


This is not a fish market, i love remaining anonymous to an extent.
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