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KenolKobil, KPLC or KCB?
earthvoice
#81 Posted : Saturday, February 12, 2011 11:45:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
mwanahisa wrote:
Demand has been building up on KCB since the low of 22 last week. Supply is also beginning to retreat to a higher level with trades currently at 22.75. Makes me begin to wonder - Will this be the year for the Lion to roar?


let's hope so!!!!
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
PKoli
#82 Posted : Sunday, February 13, 2011 8:21:56 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
I am not so sure about KK, but KPLC and KCB are both good companies. I expect KCB to give higher returns in the short and medium term.KPLC on the other hand is likely to follow the path of the GDP, possibly growing at a slightly higher rate that the GDP. I therefore expect medium to long term returns for KPLC. I would split my capital in the ratio of 7:3 for KCB and KPLC respectively.
earthvoice
#83 Posted : Thursday, February 24, 2011 6:35:48 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
With the results announced by KCB leo, I'm glad I opted for KCB!! Applause Applause
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
mwanahisa
#84 Posted : Thursday, February 24, 2011 7:07:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
mwanahisa wrote:
I daresay I expect 22 to be the resistance level. At any rate that's what I hope having bought a huge chunk today at that price. I also added to my holdings in Equity Bank at 27.50. Tomorrow, I will buy more if I can get them below the 27.50 mark. Then, I will wait!


With the results KCB has released, I am happy to have added onto KCB making it the largest financial stock in my portfolio. What's even more interesting is that these results point to the fact that KCB is quite capable of increasing its EPS to Kshs 5 within the next 2-3 years given the inefficiences that are still so apparent. Can you imagine where that will take the KCB price to?

If BBK can make 10.8 billion PBT with a balance sheet of 172 B, it should be possible for KCB to make over 15 billion with its 251 B.

BTW, I also hold KK but have not added any for a while. I sold off all my Kshs 19.50 KPLC rights a while ago and walked away with 20% gains. I am not convinced that KPLC will move much until the rights story becomes a distant memory just like happened with KCB. There is always the possibility that KK will surprise us BIG one of these fine days, but with the oil price moving all over the place, the uncertainty on this is higher. This leaves me with the conclusion that if I had to choose just one of the 3, I would stick with KCB.
earthvoice
#85 Posted : Thursday, February 24, 2011 10:44:17 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/29/2011
Posts: 257
mwanahisa wrote:
With the results KCB has released, I am happy to have added onto KCB making it the largest financial stock in my portfolio. What's even more interesting is that these results point to the fact that KCB is quite capable of increasing its EPS to Kshs 5 within the next 2-3 years given the inefficiences that are still so apparent. Can you imagine where that will take the KCB price to?

If BBK can make 10.8 billion PBT with a balance sheet of 172 B, it should be possible for KCB to make over 15 billion with its 251 B.

BTW, I also hold KK but have not added any for a while. I sold off all my Kshs 19.50 KPLC rights a while ago and walked away with 20% gains. I am not convinced that KPLC will move much until the rights story becomes a distant memory just like happened with KCB. There is always the possibility that KK will surprise us BIG one of these fine days, but with the oil price moving all over the place, the uncertainty on this is higher. This leaves me with the conclusion that if I had to choose just one of the 3, I would stick with KCB.



Applause Applause Applause
Pray
"All intelligent investing is value investing -- acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock." - Charlie Munger.
Cde Monomotapa
#86 Posted : Friday, February 25, 2011 8:45:40 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
So can we revisit KCB hitting 60 bob this year?
ProverB
#87 Posted : Friday, February 25, 2011 8:58:44 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
So can we revisit KCB hitting 60 bob this year?


mwanahisa's sentiments are largely fundamental..all other factors (meaning behavioral..especially retail traders) remaining constant..which is unlikely..if overall perception to investing in stocks turns positive..and economy loosens up liquidity in a way nse is major beneficiary.., then yes.. KCB will be a popular stock and assuming demand outstrips supply..no telling where price will get..

But alas..NSE is affected more so by emotions/perception than fundamentals.. most cash is heading to bonds...(safe)..and seeking quick buck schemes..(greed)..hence counters with splits/bonuss/rights issue see upward in prices compared to those without... bonds and upcoming placements compete for same cash entering the nse..

so NO... kcb won't see 60 this year...
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
Cde Monomotapa
#88 Posted : Friday, February 25, 2011 9:19:07 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@Proverb..cool then it's accumilation till NSE comes around. Equity is given a p/e of 20. With KCBs 2.7 eps..what's the math?
ProverB
#89 Posted : Friday, February 25, 2011 9:33:50 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
@CDE... normal approach i've found on kcb from all manner of people is .. " You never go wrong with KCB.." ..which has done it well over the years.. kcb is safe and really nice for the risk averse.. instutitutional backing helps mop up "turbulence" on the counter smile

Equity is fancied by "aggressive" and "risk" oriented buyers..i know of institutions that by "decree" will not touch equity! Tehehehehehe!
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
Cde Monomotapa
#90 Posted : Friday, February 25, 2011 9:45:20 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@Proverb..he he..I appreciate and respect what Equity does in terms of financial inclusion & empowerment and for that reason I prefer KCB where the real owners of industry might bank coz at the end of the day they retain the most of mwananchi money smile
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