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Presidential Vote Tally - Live from Bomas of Kenya
mukiha
#801 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:02:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
PROJECTION PREDICTION

The ratios have remained almost constant since 9pm last night. Average turnout is 70%. Therefore I project the following result:

Uhuru: 5.51m
Raila: 4.10m
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
muganda
#802 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:02:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,908
Jaina
#803 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:03:53 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/13/2008
Posts: 558
Kibai voted @ Munaini Primary School.
RAO didnt get a single vote in that station.
Ndukatavye mundu!.

Lapta alichakua Rejected.
digitek1
#804 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:06:19 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 1,797
Location: Kenya
McReggae wrote:
No results from Siaya so far!

vote counting in siaya has just started ..all indications of 99.9 turnout, no spoilt votes smile
I may be wrong..but then I could be right
alma
#805 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:06:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/20/2007
Posts: 4,432
Jaina wrote:
Kibai voted @ Munaini Primary School.
RAO didnt get a single vote in that station.
Ndukatavye mundu!.

Lapta alichakua Rejected.


Now that's newsLaughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Jose: If I make it through this thug life, I'll see you one day. The Lord is the only way to stop the hurt.
xyzee
#806 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:08:04 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
Jaina wrote:
Kibai voted @ Munaini Primary School.
RAO didnt get a single vote in that station.
Ndukatavye mundu!.

Lapta alichakua Rejected.


Rumour has it that he wrote mavi ya kuku against one of the candidates.
Laughing out loudly
Jus Blazin
#807 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:08:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/23/2008
Posts: 3,966
Looking at it from a different angle, the KTN guys were probably using the over 70% turnout told by IEBC, then used the polls that were giving RAO 44% and UK 40% at one point to determine what votes they would have garnered. That was an error to show in public TV.
Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity. ~ Lucius Annaeus Seneca
McReggae
#808 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:09:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Official resultd too slow yawa.
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
IT'd
#809 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:10:25 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/25/2010
Posts: 111
Location: Nairobi
was working on something till some CORDed guy raided me with pints.

the below is numbers as they stood as @ Uhuru 2,534,019 and Rao @ 1,939,597.
I have made the assumption that voter turn out is 100% and that the particular candidate is going to win 100% of the remaining vote wherever they are leading by 75%+.Where they are neck to neck I have applied simple arithmetic to determine what % of the remaining vote they are going to gunner.
For anyone interested in finishing it up here you go:

baringo 174,708 uk 65,664
bomet 253,703 uk 98,703
bungoma 413,040 rao 54,731 madvd 28,841
busia 252,655 rao 83,480
elgeyo 135,111 uk 15,953
embu 228,332 uk 99,949
garissa 109,147 rao 17,813 uk 17,713
homabay 328,832 rao 80,832
isiolo 54,822 uk 5389 rao 3291
kajiado 304,294 uk 60,589 rao 43,432
kakamega 570,620 rao 92,467 madvd 39,000
kericho 291,915 uk 181,569
kiambu 862,253 uk 365,039
kilifi 332,671 rao 52,961
kirinyaga 266,097 uk 65,155
kisii 414,193 rao 81,193
kisumu 388,250 rao 98,223
kitui 326,178 rao 104,798
kwale 166,718 rao 4,004
laikipia 174,841 uk 64,370
lamu 44,755 rao 17,015 uk 13,068
machakos 446,805 rao 244,321
makueni 300,666 rao 96,406
mandera 120,611 uk 3,367
marsabit 105,269 rao 2,519 uk 1,861
meru 488,578 uk 82,831
migori 285,629 rao 82,629
mombasa 408,707 rao 19,038
muranga 453,991 uk 229,287
nairobi 1,730,201 rao 295,067 uk 274,908
nakuru 697,655 uk 215,673
nandi 264,445 uk 67,845
narok 263,609 rao 42,805 uk 35,477
nyamira 221,112 rao 62,960
nyandarua 256,256 uk 105,721
nyeri 357,309 uk 138,810
samburu 61,551 rao 16,461
siaya 314,265 rao 104,522
taita 109,984 rao 15,650
tana river 75,105 rao 23,358
tharaka-nithi 155,936 uk 72,268
trans-nzoia 245,770 rao 9,729 uk 9,521
turkana 134,222 rao 9,885
uasin gishu 331,372 uk 29,882
vihiga 204,454 rao 17,806 mdvd 14,668
west pokot 121,535 uk 20,728
wajir 114,261 uk 3,536 rao 3,016

The final data after doing the arithmetic:
baringo uk 109,044
bomet uk 155,000
bungoma rao 219,645
busia rao 169,175
elgeyo uk 119,158
embu uk 128,383
garissa uk 54,573
garissa rao 54,573
homabay rao 248,000
isiolo uk 27,411
isiolo rao 27,411
kajiado uk 202,862
kajiado rao 101,431
kakamega rao 380,413
kericho uk 110,346
kiambu uk 497,214
kilifi rao 279,710
kirinyaga uk 200,942
kisii rao 333,000
kisumu rao 290,027
kitui rao 221,380
kwale rao 162,714
laikipia uk 110,741
lamu uk 22,377
lamu rao 22,377
machakos rao 202,484
makueni rao 204,260
mandera uk 117,244
marsabit rao 52,634
marsabit uk 52,634
meru uk 405,727
migori rao 203,000
nairobi rao 636,180
931247
nairobi uk 580,113
nakuru uk 481,982
narok rao 144,984
narok uk 118,624
nyamira 158,152

Required:
Continue with what is left after Nyamira.Add up the numbers for each of the candidates and find out what % each of the two candidates is going to gunner.



mnandii
#810 Posted : Tuesday, March 05, 2013 5:10:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Charles Onyango-Obbo ‏@cobbo3
So far lawyer & Safina's Paul Muite seems to have got fewer votes than clients he's ever represented. Interesting. #KenyaDecides
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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