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The KenolKobil 2015 pendulum

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mkate_nusu		#791 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 12:01:51 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole		The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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mlennyma		#792 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 12:32:42 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,194 Location: nairobi		mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Aguytrying		#793 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 5:25:44 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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VituVingiSana		#794 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 5:28:49 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,349 Location: Nairobi		Aguytrying wrote: mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering [Though I think it will happen in 2018 coz the election is a damp squib after PEV2008 and buyers would rather wait to see if we will destroy our country first] Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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Aguytrying		#795 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 8:12:15 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering [Though I think it will happen in 2018 coz the election is a damp squib after PEV2008 and buyers would rather wait to see if we will destroy our country first] In that case she will go for a premium. If KK is churning an eps of 2.00 now. The valuation should have caught up with the performance and intrinsic value then. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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VituVingiSana		#796 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 8:55:25 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,349 Location: Nairobi		Aguytrying wrote: VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering [Though I think it will happen in 2018 coz the election is a damp squib after PEV2008 and buyers would rather wait to see if we will destroy our country first] In that case she will go for a premium. If KK is churning an eps of 2.00 now. The valuation should have caught up with the performance and intrinsic value then. I don't want to make the error I made earlier but 20+ sounds plausible in 2018 as profitability increases. I have estimated 2/- for FY 2016 ceteris paribus. BTW, with oil at $50, I don't think Ohana's prediction of zero debt will happen by June 2016. With OTS cargoes and $50 oil the debt may be reduced but not eliminated even at Dec 2016. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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Aguytrying		#797 Posted : Tuesday, May 31, 2016 9:48:07 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering [Though I think it will happen in 2018 coz the election is a damp squib after PEV2008 and buyers would rather wait to see if we will destroy our country first] In that case she will go for a premium. If KK is churning an eps of 2.00 now. The valuation should have caught up with the performance and intrinsic value then. I don't want to make the error I made earlier but 20+ sounds plausible in 2018 as profitability increases. I have estimated 2/- for FY 2016 ceteris paribus. BTW, with oil at $50, I don't think Ohana's prediction of zero debt will happen by June 2016. With OTS cargoes and $50 oil the debt may be reduced but not eliminated even at Dec 2016. As long as he's at the helm I sleep easy The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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VituVingiSana		#798 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2016 4:20:17 AM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,349 Location: Nairobi		Aguytrying wrote: VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: VituVingiSana wrote: Aguytrying wrote: mlennyma wrote: mkate_nusu wrote: The big boys are back. Huge trades taking place well calculated not to make any price change It will be sad when this company is sold. But the prospects of getting that windfall during a bear market is mouth watering [Though I think it will happen in 2018 coz the election is a damp squib after PEV2008 and buyers would rather wait to see if we will destroy our country first] In that case she will go for a premium. If KK is churning an eps of 2.00 now. The valuation should have caught up with the performance and intrinsic value then. I don't want to make the error I made earlier but 20+ sounds plausible in 2018 as profitability increases. I have estimated 2/- for FY 2016 ceteris paribus. BTW, with oil at $50, I don't think Ohana's prediction of zero debt will happen by June 2016. With OTS cargoes and $50 oil the debt may be reduced but not eliminated even at Dec 2016. As long as he's at the helm I sleep easy ex-IDF = Israel Defense Forces Google Iron Dome. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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whiteowl		#799 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2016 9:56:26 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/16/2014 Posts: 1,420 Location: Bohemian Grove		Waiting for 8 bob to load up some more might turn out to be a pipe dream.
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mlennyma		#800 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2016 10:03:41 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,194 Location: nairobi		whiteowl wrote: Waiting for 8 bob to load up some more might turn out to be a pipe dream. The most threatening factor is political violence going forward "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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