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NASA :Whats the game plan.
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harrydre
#781 Posted : Wednesday, June 21, 2017 9:33:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
Bigchick wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:
Bigchick wrote:
FRM2011 wrote:

Today someone decided to tweak the numbers a bit and give Jubilee a best case scenario. A nightmare for us but this is a contest we need to be ready. So here we go.

Assumptions.

1. Uhuru will take Nairobi by 53%(He had 48% in 2013).
2. Kiambu will turnout 93% ( up from 91% in 2013).
3. Muranga, Kirinyaga, Nyeri & Nyandarua will average 94% turnout.(2013-92%)
4. Meru will vote Uhuru 92% (2013 - 90%)
5. Kisii (120,000), Machakos (80,000), Mombasa(100,000).

Top ten for Uhuru would look like this.
Kiambu - 980K
Nairobi -910K
Nakuru - 680K
Meru - 560K
Muranga -540K
Nyeri - 410K
Kirinyaga - 310K
Nyandarua - 310K
Kericho - 290K
U.Gishu - 290K

This would result in an extremely close contest with no clear winner. A run-off would have to be done.

49.4%/ 48.8%


Glad to see you are coming back to your senses.At least you can now see a run-off and the 10M strong crap is over.

Please put the same for NASWAS top 10.


Interesting fact. The top ten counties for Uhuru will carry around 65%-68% of his total votes. For Baba, that figure is 56 %.

After the top ten, the other 37 counties will give uhuru an average of 75K-85K. For Baba, that figure is 95K-100K.

In short Baba is not top heavy. His support is broad-based. See his top ten below.

Nairobi
Kakamega
Kisumu
Machakos
Homabay
Bungoma
Siaya
Kitui
Makueni
Kisii

Apart from Nairobi(860K) and Kakamega ( 550K), the rest are below 500K votes.


Be kind please.

Bee specific of the NASWA figures.That below 500k is to general.It could be anything....100k to 499k.

Meanwhile your simulations show that Uhuruto are only popular in 10 counties?The other 37 Joshua & Steve have an edge. Baringo, Bomet, Laikipia,Embu,Nandi na kadhalika belong to NASWA?Please go slow on whatever you are taking.


FRM needs to tell us what has changed since 2013. What new votes has babu added? New voter registration shows Tano Tena registered more voters than babu. Tell us what counties babu has flipped and the numbers!
i.am.back!!!!
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washiku
#782 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 3:42:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095


Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
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Njung'e
#783 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:05:05 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
....and Chebukati says it's one party agent per polling station. NASA may be forced to buy binoculars for the other nine per polling station for this "adopt a poll" to worksmile

http://www.the-star.co.k...ebc-tells-nasa_c1584448

Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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limanika
#784 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:14:40 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/21/2011
Posts: 2,032
Njung'e wrote:
....and Chebukati says it's one party agent per polling station. NASA may be forced to buy binoculars for the other nine per polling station for this "adopt a poll" to worksmile

http://www.the-star.co.k...ebc-tells-nasa_c1584448


They should go a step further - 'if there is such violence in a particular polling station such that the police and agents of some parties or iebc officials are roughed up, evicted, etc, then results of that particular station shall be cancelled'.
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Njung'e
#785 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:19:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
limanika wrote:
Njung'e wrote:



They should go a step further - 'if there is such violence in a particular polling station such that the police and agents of some parties or iebc officials are roughed up, evicted, etc, then results of that particular station shall be cancelled'.



CHECKMATE!!!.....is that the law?


and this is for Maraga

Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:24 PM | Reason: Not specified
Gathige
#786 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:19:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/29/2011
Posts: 2,242
Njung'e wrote:
....and Chebukati says it's one party agent per polling station. NASA may be forced to buy binoculars for the other nine per polling station for this "adopt a poll" to worksmile

http://www.the-star.co.k...ebc-tells-nasa_c1584448



Were the 10 agents to vote first and then remain in the hall as observers or they were not to vote at all? The last place for one to want to hand around is a poling station unless one is an aspirant for a seat
"Things that matter most must never be at the mercy of things that matter least." Goethe
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limanika
#787 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:25:22 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/21/2011
Posts: 2,032
washiku wrote:


Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?

And could someone pliz explain like a 2 year old exactly how printing ballots alone amounts to rigging? Am I missing something?
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Njung'e
#788 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:45:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
limanika wrote:
[quote=washiku]




Case filed this afternoon.IEBC and Ghurair to be served. Parties to appear before court tomorrow for further directions. The judge?........... You are Right!


Now, Now. Jubilee is seeking to be enjoined in the case. What's Jubilee's interest?. I think that isa stupid move especially if NASA succeeds in stopping the entire process.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:49 PM | Reason: Not specified
washiku
#789 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 5:02:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095
limanika wrote:
washiku wrote:


Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?

And could someone pliz explain like a 2 year old exactly how printing ballots alone amounts to rigging? Am I missing something?


Walisema the "compromised" company will print more ballots that will be used to rig.
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madollar
#790 Posted : Thursday, June 22, 2017 5:05:02 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
Njung'e wrote:
limanika wrote:
[quote=washiku]




Case filed this afternoon.IEBC and Ghurair to be served. Parties to appear before court tomorrow for further directions. The judge?........... You are Right!


Now, Now. Jubilee is seeking to be enjoined in the case. What's Jubilee's interest?. I think that isa stupid move especially if NASA succeeds in stopping the entire process.

"The Judiciary will neither interfere with the general election nor make any decision that will see it postponed from August 8, Chief Justice David Maraga has said."
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