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Ksh at its weakest since it floated in 1994
hisah
#741 Posted : Monday, June 11, 2012 8:50:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Treasury fiscal policy review, the right things to do to safeguard KES. CBK dollar selling is unsustainable business and a lazy shortcut!

www.businessdailyafrica....4/-/j3040iz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#742 Posted : Monday, June 11, 2012 8:54:49 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
QW25091985 wrote:
you can also look at it as the below diagram is showing we are in a congestion area . what that means is that price doesn't have a direction. ans when we breakout of either of the red lines i expect some volatility ( huge price movements).
this are just the different scenarios that would play out !


And the congestion is pressing upwards... About 88s next stop is 95s before testing 100. Then the recent 107 high and off to wherever after that! It wont be funny for the econ & consumers. At least oil's nosedive is a saving grace for now smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#743 Posted : Tuesday, June 12, 2012 1:40:44 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Today trading @85.65 - almost a shilling down vs USD or 1.19% down as well as against the rest of the majors (euro, pound, swissie etc) where KES is also bleeding more than 1% at the moment.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#744 Posted : Tuesday, June 19, 2012 12:14:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19bbvNiTYgA
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#745 Posted : Wednesday, June 20, 2012 7:02:13 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Derivatives market aka futures market coming next to you in KE. Currency swaps, options blamed by CBK for wild KES swings last year. Very funny.

If this market is truly coming online soon, best bet would be SCBK, BBK & CFC. As for the derivatives tradable funds, I hope they'll be well disclosed. I'm sure CBK & CMA wouldn't want to experience the derivatives bomb out like the CDOs of GFC...

First trade, shortselling interest rates. That will be a onesided trade for a long time. That will also see equities lift off. I'm beginning to like insurance stocks in anticipation...


www.businessdailyafrica....0/-/4mc5kqz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
QW25091985
#746 Posted : Wednesday, June 20, 2012 7:36:51 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/24/2012
Posts: 1,675
Location: In Da Hood
QW25091985 wrote:
indeed things are Bad for KES . cbk did a 'good' job though as we didnt make a new recent low for the kes but with the 61.8% fib level holding as of close of Friday i would expect new lows to be challenged .Look at below chart
obviously a move above 88 will be bad for the local currency




WOW . we broke the 84.40 ( 61.8% fib level). i think we maybe headed to 80-81 level . lets see.
definitely thats what cbk wants
hisah
#747 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2012 2:18:33 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Current account snapshot since 70s to 2010. 2011 was bad and nothing has improved.

But USDKES as well as other fx currencies have been kicked by a 'strong' KES. This manipulation will bite hard when it comes due.

www.indexmundi.com/facts.../current-account-balance
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#748 Posted : Monday, June 25, 2012 6:06:39 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
CBK still investigating why USDKES rallied to 107 months later. Still pretending they could see it coming. 87.90 was tested recently, 90 is coming. Market price manipulation has never been an effective policy. Mr market eventually has his way and he's currently flashing alerts in current tbill & bond auctions yield fall reversal.

www.businessdailyafrica....1/-/kpbb1uz/-/index.html

www.businessdailyafrica..../-/15ucm4lz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#749 Posted : Monday, June 25, 2012 6:30:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Good article by Sunny Bindra - www.businessdailyafrica....4/-/7qpr6jz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#750 Posted : Monday, June 25, 2012 6:49:38 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Good idea for gok to borrow from brasilia. The less they borrow from WB/IMF the better chance they stand with econ stability.

www.standardmedia.co.ke/...loan-from-Brazilian-bank
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
86 Pages«<7374757677>»
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