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Ksh at its weakest since it floated in 1994
kizee1
#711 Posted : Tuesday, May 22, 2012 3:47:26 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
USDKES - Tested 85 and heading up... http://www.forexpros.com/currencies/usd-kes

Is CBK going to cut CBR in the next seating?


some idiots calling for a hike, but what good would that do?the problem is cbks activity to support the dollar when it flirted with the 82.5 line in the sand, now the chicken have come home to roost
hisah
#712 Posted : Tuesday, May 22, 2012 4:04:44 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
kizee1 wrote:
hisah wrote:
USDKES - Tested 85 and heading up... http://www.forexpros.com/currencies/usd-kes

Is CBK going to cut CBR in the next seating?


some idiots calling for a hike, but what good would that do?the problem is cbks activity to support the dollar when it flirted with the 82.5 line in the sand, now the chicken have come home to roost

Another hike on CBR??? Madness. And if it happens, oh dear KE econ and the banking stocks...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#713 Posted : Friday, May 25, 2012 9:46:20 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Will KE benefit from this oil nosedive at the pump stations? The price plunge is huge and definitely the oil marketers will not reduce prices accordingly. A reduction of at least 8/- should be fair. But ERC might just come for my neck for price manipulation smile

Such a reduction and no power tariff hike would force inflation below 10%. But with USDKES moving in the opposite direction I wonder if CBK will have the balls to slash CBR down to 10% in coming months with weakening Ksh. Tough call here for treasury...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#714 Posted : Friday, May 25, 2012 11:57:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@hisah In light of the +ve developments in rain making, USD600M external funding (pending disbursement) & energy markets I still advocate for CBR @ 18% untill proper feed-through sets in sometime in Q3.
Cde Monomotapa
#715 Posted : Friday, May 25, 2012 12:00:14 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Rest assured Counties devt.will create fertile absorption ground for the next round of Monetary easing. HOLD & or Accumulate banks smile
hisah
#716 Posted : Monday, May 28, 2012 5:55:38 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
73 per cent of Kenyans unhappy with economic performance. That's what wananchi feel and not those pathetic KNBS economy fudged figures esp inflation as well as CBK smashing Tbill rates and supporting a weak KES to no avail...

These are classic wage inflation signals and I would be very concerned as MoF. But do they even know what they're doing. NKT!

Quote:
The survey found that 73 per cent of respondents said Kenya's economy was in a bad situation despite a decline in inflation.


http://bit.ly/K6n4IF
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#717 Posted : Thursday, May 31, 2012 1:16:44 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
USDKES was on course to test 88 today. Then a huge anvil was dropped on it and fell it to 85.35. Definitely CBK is in the market selling dollars with a bang!

Finally let the game begin, we are back to Aug 2011 and I expect this thing to fly past 88 then 95 then 100. By the time it tests 107 a lot of protests will be the order of the day... Last year I called the USDKES to hit 90 and it flew past 100! This time it won't be funny and globally CBs are struggling to stem the USD tide. On the monthly dollar index, the technicals are getting stronger pointing to a huge USD squeeze coming soon. The USD demand can only be crashed by the FED, that is if they decide to flood another USD tsunami like back in 2009.

Get ready for the USD squeeze.


http://www.shareimages.c...lpymlp6SmqI-usdkes05.png
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#718 Posted : Thursday, May 31, 2012 1:20:06 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I can see BD also captured it - http://www.businessdaily.../-/oqy1tkz/-/index.html

As well as reuters - http://af.reuters.com/ar...ws/idAFL5E8GV1JT20120531
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#719 Posted : Thursday, May 31, 2012 1:26:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Quote:
Kenyan Finance Minister Robinson Githae said on Wednesday the shilling's slide was "temporary" as it was due to banks paying dividends to overseas investors and he was confident the pressure would ease soon.


This is absolute bullcrap from the KE Fin Min. Come on you can do better than this when KE is facing a worsening BoP by the day! Idiot!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
the deal
#720 Posted : Thursday, May 31, 2012 2:09:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Enjoying CBK's running battles with the markets...KES touched 87.9 early this morning...CBK intervened to send it to 85.3 now its back to 86.45...wooow...who will be the last man standing??? Grab some pop corns....this battle is way better than the one in Somalia...
86 Pages«<7071727374>»
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