hisah wrote:instinct wrote:what do you mean NBK? is there anything i missed?
Q2 vs Q1 results indicate that risk ratios went down!? While the other banks results so far indicate otherwise. I find those NBK results to be fishy. Dubai bank saga now makes me even more concerned since it was long overdue. The econ is on course to continue slumping. NPLs will obviously bulge. In this macroecon state any bank fudging risk ratios to look rosy I view that as suspect. If all was well, why is mr market not sharply pushing the bank stocks up with the current H1 results? Shady bank. Shady (major) shareholders. Shady capital structure. Shady results.
NBK manages funds for GoK (ministries and institutions) but when GoK is tightening the screws, what happens? [Think interbank borrowing]
What if GoK withdraw its deposits to reduce the need to borrow using T-Bills? [Deposits plummet, loans have to be reduced, interbank borrowing]
NPLs are a joke. The Provisions are a bigger joke. NBK provisioning level is lower than DTB. A bank like DTB has consistently had low NPLs but I think this is of their customer base and loan underwriting standards. NBK had just 1.1% of the Loan Book as provisions. So unless, they wrote off tons of NPLs, the provision is barely above the 1% General Provision required by CBK.
Anyway, I am not in this boat but just watching from the shore!
"When the tide goes out, we will know who was swimming naked"
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett