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Kenya Economy Watch
hisah
#611 Posted : Saturday, March 15, 2014 10:12:19 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
4th consecutive month of fuel price hikes... http://www.businessdaily...76/-/2xmf1z/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#612 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 3:39:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Pleased to see the yout' man joining up to the Capital Markets arm of Kenya Vision 2030 smile Must be highly encouraged!

More youths investing at the NSE http://www.capitalfm.co....d&utm_medium=twitter
mnandii
#613 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 3:47:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Anybody with an idea where I can get data of the NSE 20 share index since its inception to date? Price for the data? I'd like to do an Elliott Wave Analysis of the same. Thanks n regards.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#614 Posted : Thursday, March 20, 2014 5:18:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@murchr The weighted average rate for 91 days Treasury bills is 8.946% Read more... http://goo.gl/ccaiTG

The weighted average rate for 182 days Treasury bills is 10.045% and for 364 days is 10.414%.Read more ... http://goo.gl/QU2qLa

Gush...

91day rates are dropped again in the last auction, but this time the offer was undersubscribed i.e. subscription rate of 34.95%

http://tinyurl.com/oqfol3b

I don't see treasury fighting off the bankers on the tbill rates yet.

And why the heck did CBK remove the yield curve chart. It's been absent since that KES smackdown back in 2011. Wanaficha nini. Bure kabisa.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#615 Posted : Thursday, March 20, 2014 5:42:54 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ghana puts planned US$1bn Eurobond on hold

Tz is also on the handbrake on their eurobond. Angola has been listing theirs since 2009... Is KE going this way?

Ghana has already seen the global market mood is not worth fighting with as well as Poland.

@scubidu - I'm not aware of www.futuresfirst.com. But looks interesting.
As for the eurobond float the back and forth by gok doesn't show any confidence and I expect the domestic bond market to squeeze them properly. The longer they wait the higher the USD rate will get as Fed bank keep the taper pressure on draining off liquidity. Paying a eurobond rate above 8% will be a senseless move. If or when the market senses gok is out of options by budget time, KES will be squeezed at some point and that will shave NSE as domestic bonds hog liquidity.

- inflation is ticking up post VAT (senseless move together with that excise tax on mobi money)
- food security, not as tense as 2011
- industrials fin results are looking bad. 2014 will be tougher if liquidity is hogged.
- if industrials are tapped out how will the banks post rosy results in 2014? How will they deal with the bulging NPLs?
- how will KES maintain strength when the econ starts squeaking loudly.

I'm waiting to see how long this pretext show will last as I see NSE has outpriced the econ should things unravel as per above observations.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#616 Posted : Thursday, March 20, 2014 7:34:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Tourism revenue down 7.5% 2013 clearly was not a good year
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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hisah
#617 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 10:52:23 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Now this debt debate is becoming boring - http://www.businessdaily...32/-/68mp65/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
josimar
#618 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 11:26:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/6/2010
Posts: 242
Quote:
Now this debt debate is becoming boring - http://www.businessdaily...32/-/68mp65/-/index.html


It is a reality we cannot escape from and the Treasury has to be reminded. The debt level is now over 50% of the GDP , add the 13& wage bill and what does the government remain with? The economic meltdown in Greece and still fresh on Our minds , can You imagine if a similar situation occurred in Kenya ?
Pedes
#619 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 11:27:03 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2013
Posts: 659
[quote=hisah]Now this debt debate is becoming boring - http://www.businessdaily...2/-/68mp65/-/index.html[/quote]


How will this impact on the sovereign bond?
If you stay ready, no need to get ready.
mwekez@ji
#620 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 11:53:50 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Pedes wrote:
hisah wrote:
Now this debt debate is becoming boring - http://www.businessdailyafrica....32/-/68mp65/-/index.html


How will this impact on the sovereign bond?


Poor BD reporting!!!

IMF & World Bank have maintained Kenya Debt is sustainable and supported the Eurobond issue.

Read the actual report for self ---> http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2014/cr1474.pdf
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