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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
Fyatu
#5171 Posted : Thursday, August 07, 2014 6:20:54 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/20/2011
Posts: 1,820
Location: Nakuru
hisah wrote:
So why has hisah been building a long term energy portfolio since 2011?

http://csis.org/story/af...a-united-states-and-oil

http://www.politico.com/...-14b-africa-109718.html

It's the scramble for energy and infrastructure just like what happened during colonialism. But this time the power shift stays in Africa since for the global econ to survive another 100yrs, Africa MUST be part of it! And Africa MUST get upgraded to 1st world level! The building of the greatest global economy is happening right now, but the continent is in disbelief as well as the rest of the planet. Hot money doesn't gamble. Its actions are deliberate...

Some veterans have boarded the KPLC bus - stockmaster, mwekezaji, deal, myself. Nani wengine? I've started with KPLC. I also mentioned Kengen, KK, cables for now. TCL is also on my radar. I'm scouting more in Africa.

Still holding Africa oil from 2011. @mainat left the bus a while back.

And so I've let out some cats from the bag...

** Because Africa is getting its biggest upgrade since industrialization, global markets will have to get discounted (sold) to raise the money **

#Funding infrastructure 101


ditto.....
Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
DBLyon
#5172 Posted : Friday, August 08, 2014 1:13:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/28/2014
Posts: 149
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell


Maybe we need a new thread - How to tell NSE is boiling over. smile
When you live for others' opinions, you are dead.

- Carlos Slim Helu
murchr
#5173 Posted : Friday, August 08, 2014 8:22:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
DBLyon wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell


Maybe we need a new thread - How to tell NSE is boiling over. smile


There's one named Madness at the NSE

Wk close above 5000 but signs of weakness.

@Mweke any numbers on foreign participation?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
littledove
#5174 Posted : Friday, August 08, 2014 8:34:29 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 927
Location: sky
murchr wrote:
DBLyon wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell


Maybe we need a new thread - How to tell NSE is boiling over. smile


There's one named Madness at the NSE

Wk close above 5000 but signs of weakness.

@Mweke any numbers on foreign participation?

There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
littledove
#5175 Posted : Friday, August 08, 2014 8:35:35 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 927
Location: sky
murchr wrote:
DBLyon wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell


Maybe we need a new thread - How to tell NSE is boiling over. smile


There's one named Madness at the NSE

Wk close above 5000 but signs of weakness.

@Mweke any numbers on foreign participation?

'data from CMA show foreigners cumulatively held 28.03 % of listed stocks as at June 30 nearing levels last seen in 2004 of 29.8%
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
littledove
#5176 Posted : Friday, August 08, 2014 8:41:35 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 927
Location: sky
littledove wrote:
murchr wrote:
DBLyon wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell


Maybe we need a new thread - How to tell NSE is boiling over. smile


There's one named Madness at the NSE

Wk close above 5000 but signs of weakness.

@Mweke any numbers on foreign participation?


' data from CMA show foreigners cumulatively held 28.03% of listed stocks as at June 30 nearing levels last seen in 2004 of 29.8% '
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
Mukiri
#5177 Posted : Saturday, August 09, 2014 1:08:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell

Just on time for the NSE IPO...

The econ fundies (liquidity squeeze, inflation and econ slump) do not support the lofty market valuations. If MSC was still in the NSE20 index component, the gauge would be lower.

The 1yr NSE20 triangle broke lower and I expect this rebound to run out of gas in Sept-Oct 2014.

The last time the mr market ignored econ fundies was back in Q3 2010. From Q4 2013 the same symptoms showed up.

I'm bearish banks and many are at all time highs Think

** All time highs are perfect selling zones smile **

Coincidentally global stocks are also in the all time highs boat.

Perfect storm smile

Why do you keep repeating 'Bearish banks', and yet you'd written you were also holding onto CFC for the long-term?

That 'Bearish Banks' has been going against your prediction for a very long time nowShame on you

Proverbs 19:21
hisah
#5178 Posted : Saturday, August 09, 2014 5:50:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mukiri wrote:
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell

Just on time for the NSE IPO...

The econ fundies (liquidity squeeze, inflation and econ slump) do not support the lofty market valuations. If MSC was still in the NSE20 index component, the gauge would be lower.

The 1yr NSE20 triangle broke lower and I expect this rebound to run out of gas in Sept-Oct 2014.

The last time the mr market ignored econ fundies was back in Q3 2010. From Q4 2013 the same symptoms showed up.

I'm bearish banks and many are at all time highs Think

** All time highs are perfect selling zones smile **

Coincidentally global stocks are also in the all time highs boat.

Perfect storm smile

Why do you keep repeating 'Bearish banks', and yet you'd written you were also holding onto CFC for the long-term?

That 'Bearish Banks' has been going against your prediction for a very long time nowShame on you

@mukiri - I have been very clear about being bearish banks and sold those that I held except CFC which I said was a long term play. Reason is I got in so cheap at 40/- and their long term finance game is yet to fully run its course if you also follow its parent (standard bank).

The reason I'm bearish banks is coz the econ is in a slump and I don't like the way NPLs have refused to shrink since 2012. The profit margins will soon start shrinking. And if the profits shrink when most of them are printing all time highs, the selling pressure will have power.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Mukiri
#5179 Posted : Saturday, August 09, 2014 10:10:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
hisah wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
We crossed 5000 5/8 how long with that hold? Time will tell

Just on time for the NSE IPO...

The econ fundies (liquidity squeeze, inflation and econ slump) do not support the lofty market valuations. If MSC was still in the NSE20 index component, the gauge would be lower.

The 1yr NSE20 triangle broke lower and I expect this rebound to run out of gas in Sept-Oct 2014.

The last time the mr market ignored econ fundies was back in Q3 2010. From Q4 2013 the same symptoms showed up.

I'm bearish banks and many are at all time highs Think

** All time highs are perfect selling zones smile **

Coincidentally global stocks are also in the all time highs boat.

Perfect storm smile

Why do you keep repeating 'Bearish banks', and yet you'd written you were also holding onto CFC for the long-term?

That 'Bearish Banks' has been going against your prediction for a very long time nowShame on you

@mukiri - I have been very clear about being bearish banks and sold those that I held except CFC which I said was a long term play. Reason is I got in so cheap at 40/- and their long term finance game is yet to fully run its course if you also follow its parent (standard bank).

The reason I'm bearish banks is coz the econ is in a slump and I don't like the way NPLs have refused to shrink since 2012. The profit margins will soon start shrinking. And if the profits shrink when most of them are printing all time highs, the selling pressure will have power.

Fair enough, but if you reckon the economy is in a slump, why are you promoting Energy stocks with the declaration that Africa MUST be upgraded to 1st world?

Its suspect when you advocate against stocks(banks) for cash, then a few weeks later for stocks(energy), then... And I remember you regretting having missed the HF bus?d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!

Proverbs 19:21
Aguytrying
#5180 Posted : Sunday, August 10, 2014 12:45:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@mukiri. research what he says and come to your own decision, own the idea to be able to hang on even when it no longer makes sense
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
569 Pages«<516517518519520>»
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