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murchr		#5041 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 2:18:54 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980		Aguytrying wrote: during the interest rate spike in 2011 I expected NPL s to spike in 2012. they didn't. interest rates normalized in 2012, then now we have NPLs spiking in 2013-2014. this makes no sense. shouldn't NPLs have spike in 2012 and be normalizing now???? My theory is that the law is the cause these NPL....just a theory* "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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hisah		#5042 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 4:05:00 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		Meanwhile UG CB cuts interest rate by 50bps from 11.50 to 11% - http://af.reuters.com/ar...s/idAFKBN0EF0R420140604 @aguy - exactly my point. The ghost is appearing in 2013-2014 instead of 2012. So was citi right in their report about KE banks overstating their profits? It is this "cooking" that has made me averse banks. @mkono - if the anti-liquidity camp wins, then equities will deflate. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mainat		#5043 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 5:01:19 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/21/2006 Posts: 1,590		Forbearance Sehemu ndio nyumba
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hisah		#5044 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 5:29:51 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		Mainat wrote: Forbearance Deferment cannot be rolled over forever... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah		#5045 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 6:06:32 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		If the pererabond doesn't spark the equity revival then KE getting loaded on MSCI will do the trick. Same script to that of Nigeria might be used... Which explains the jumbo trades... Just to explain the script - pererabond then - NSE IPO - then GDP rebasing - then MSCI loading (likely) $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Angelica _ann		#5046 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 6:46:47 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,935		National rebasing looks likely by 2016 In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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murchr		#5047 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 7:21:03 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980		hisah wrote: If the pererabond doesn't spark the equity revival then KE getting loaded on MSCI will do the trick. Same script to that of Nigeria might be used... Which explains the jumbo trades... Just to explain the script - pererabond then - NSE IPO - then GDP rebasing - then MSCI loading (likely) MSCI being? "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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hisah		#5048 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 8:17:51 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		murchr wrote: hisah wrote: If the pererabond doesn't spark the equity revival then KE getting loaded on MSCI will do the trick. Same script to that of Nigeria might be used... Which explains the jumbo trades... Just to explain the script - pererabond then - NSE IPO - then GDP rebasing - then MSCI loading (likely) MSCI being? MSCI inc upgraded Nigeria in their indices. http://uk.reuters.com/ar...s-idUKL6N0OJ3FC20140602 $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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murchr		#5049 Posted : Wednesday, June 04, 2014 8:36:25 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980		hisah wrote: murchr wrote: hisah wrote: If the pererabond doesn't spark the equity revival then KE getting loaded on MSCI will do the trick. Same script to that of Nigeria might be used... Which explains the jumbo trades... Just to explain the script - pererabond then - NSE IPO - then GDP rebasing - then MSCI loading (likely) MSCI being? MSCI inc upgraded Nigeria in their indices. http://uk.reuters.com/ar...s-idUKL6N0OJ3FC20140602 Muchas gracias "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Mainat		#5050 Posted : Thursday, June 05, 2014 6:29:59 AM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/21/2006 Posts: 1,590		hisah wrote: Mainat wrote: Forbearance Deferment cannot be rolled over forever... Kicking the can down the street is the new economic paradigm. Same script in Europe hence why RBS won't be better anytime soon Sehemu ndio nyumba
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