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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,654
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Half of Britain is already infectedQuote:The coronavirus could have infected as much as half of the population of the United Kingdom, according to researchers at the University of Oxford - as the official death toll jumps a record 87 in one day to 422 and confirmed cases leap by 1,427.
The new model from Oxford University suggests the virus was circulating in the UK by mid-January, around two weeks before the first reported case and a month before the first reported death.
This means it could have had enough time to have spread widely, with many Britons acquiring immunity. Sunetra Gupta, a professor of theoretical epidemiology who led the study, said testing was needed to assess the theory.
‘We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys – antibody testing – to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,’ she said.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/1/2011 Posts: 8,804 Location: Nairobi
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Iran will peak next month if the stats are reliable. Any restrictions there will lower from May - June 2020.
Kenya may peak in June - July, and any restrictions are likely to end in October.
If true, MOH needs to consider other serious concerns like the spiking of new HIV cases and non communicable diseases. Teenage pregnancies are also likely to spike.
I wouldn't like to simulate the matter any further...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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wukan wrote:Half of Britain is already infectedQuote:The coronavirus could have infected as much as half of the population of the United Kingdom, according to researchers at the University of Oxford - as the official death toll jumps a record 87 in one day to 422 and confirmed cases leap by 1,427.
The new model from Oxford University suggests the virus was circulating in the UK by mid-January, around two weeks before the first reported case and a month before the first reported death.
This means it could have had enough time to have spread widely, with many Britons acquiring immunity. Sunetra Gupta, a professor of theoretical epidemiology who led the study, said testing was needed to assess the theory.
‘We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys – antibody testing – to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,’ she said. 50%=33M people. With a death toll of 400?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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Lolest! wrote:Quote:Not all governments are structured the same way or have the same level of power to make people do what they want them to do. In West Africa - Sierra Leone has stopped all flights and instituted a state of national emergency... the number of cases there? 0! Stopping international flights sure does slow down this thing immensely. With our last flight tonight, we are a bit late. Like with everything else - each coin has two sides. There are people who are stuck in really bad places right now. Just because you tell people to stay where they are - does not automatically mean they are able to stay where they are or turn around and come with 48 hours notice. Even when they arrive here it becomes tough as I have seen the people who came in yesterday have had to pay between 110k and 140k to be quarantined for 14 days. They stay in hotels where they are asked to fix tea for themselves. They feel like they committed crimes. All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/10/2010 Posts: 2,264
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murchr wrote:mpobiz wrote:How comes nobody is reporting about the 96 people who were in contact with one of the victims and were released from quarantine after testing negative?
This is Africa! If it could have been anywhere else that could be a tsunami.
If you care to listen to Mutahi's statements he's mentioning the number of those tested and those released from testing negative days later. That is happening elsewhere too. Invest in bundles and listen to other country leaders as well. Though you seem to be vague in your reply , it's good you have acknowledged that the rate of infection is far much lower here Look at this https://youtu.be/Xdu-7_OvfXY
Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/8/2013 Posts: 4,068 Location: At Large.
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wukan wrote:Half of Britain is already infectedQuote:The coronavirus could have infected as much as half of the population of the United Kingdom, according to researchers at the University of Oxford - as the official death toll jumps a record 87 in one day to 422 and confirmed cases leap by 1,427.
The new model from Oxford University suggests the virus was circulating in the UK by mid-January, around two weeks before the first reported case and a month before the first reported death.
This means it could have had enough time to have spread widely, with many Britons acquiring immunity. Sunetra Gupta, a professor of theoretical epidemiology who led the study, said testing was needed to assess the theory.
‘We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys – antibody testing – to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,’ she said. I am thinking this could have happened in Kenya too. Consider this:-We started getting abit serious about Corona on 13th March when the first case was reported. COVID was reported in China as early as Dec 2019.People have gone to China and back,guests have come into Kenya without restrictions.Its over 60days since Jan and we dont have a major outbreak. Infact we are hearing of this cases because tunamulika sana.Maybe tuligonjeka na tukapona. Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/1/2011 Posts: 8,804 Location: Nairobi
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/17/2014 Posts: 132 Location: Wherethewindblows
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Think we hope that in this initial stages we have been able to contain it and are testing extensively particularly in the coast region. Social distancing is the best way for us to reduce the spread and work from home for those that can but how do our brothers who live hand to mouth make it? Support from the government?? You have to learn the rules of the game. And then you have to play better than anyone else - Albert Einstein
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/10/2010 Posts: 2,264
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Bigchick wrote:wukan wrote:Half of Britain is already infectedQuote:The coronavirus could have infected as much as half of the population of the United Kingdom, according to researchers at the University of Oxford - as the official death toll jumps a record 87 in one day to 422 and confirmed cases leap by 1,427.
The new model from Oxford University suggests the virus was circulating in the UK by mid-January, around two weeks before the first reported case and a month before the first reported death.
This means it could have had enough time to have spread widely, with many Britons acquiring immunity. Sunetra Gupta, a professor of theoretical epidemiology who led the study, said testing was needed to assess the theory.
‘We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys – antibody testing – to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,’ she said. I am thinking this could have happened in Kenya too. Consider this:-We started getting abit serious about Corona on 13th March when the first case was reported. COVID was reported in China as early as Dec 2019.People have gone to China and back,guests have come into Kenya without restrictions.Its over 60days since Jan and we dont have a major outbreak. Infact we are hearing of this cases because tunamulika sana.Maybe tuligonjeka na tukapona. I keep on saying this but some people here just keep on counting the dead in other coutries and calling it research and being mundu githomo sana. By now we should be seeing scores of people with the said servere symptoms in our hospitals. In my opinion the viral load necessary to infect us is either high or the weather is on our side. Or maybe other unknown factors. But we are not all the same. Let's be vigilant and all government measures must be followed. Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/9/2006 Posts: 1,502
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Prince Charles tests positive of Coronavirus work to prosper
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