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Why Jubilee is assured of a first Round win
Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2007 Posts: 8,776 Location: Cameroon
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poundfoolish wrote:McReggae wrote:a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. How much and the umpire???? @4archs final percentage is a bit high.. Mine comes to 51% for Jubilee in the first round @McReggae... not that i saw what i wanted.. its just the simplicity of numbers and turnout.. All Uhuruto need is a good turn out 85% in Central province counties and 65% in strong RV areas and the Maths is done.. If we take a 100% turnout, and break it down county by county. give 99% of votes in Central and 70% of votes in RV (Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kajiado) to Jubilee. Then give 60% to the other counties remaining from RV to Jubilee.. you have a gameshot.. 50% + 1 Kwani ulihama? Ama naona marudurudu? TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/22/2010 Posts: 11,522 Location: Nairobi
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a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. ...am in,its going 2nd round and if it does CORD takes it so how much is the bet? possunt quia posse videntur
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/8/2006 Posts: 104
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Reading these posts...starting to really believe that people see and hear what they want to (on both sides BTW). Regarding Mutahi's "Tyranny of Numbers", he simply said that Uhuru would get more votes, but no-one will win outright, and that was ASSUMING 100% Tribal voting pattern behaviour (which is in no way guaranteed, though with some limited historical precedent). Next, he said for Round 2, Raila would have to work much harder than Uhuru ("4 times as hard"). That's it....and you know Raila is not averse to hard work! So Jubilants, just means one person has an easier run than others. Corded folk, just means OAR needs to sweat.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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simonkabz wrote:a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. We bet. PK 52.5 Safina 45. The rest share out 2.5 Dida is taking it round 1. I am giving the full analysis tomorrow! 57%!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/2/2009 Posts: 2,458 Location: Nairobi
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simonkabz wrote:poundfoolish wrote:McReggae wrote:a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. How much and the umpire???? @4archs final percentage is a bit high.. Mine comes to 51% for Jubilee in the first round @McReggae... not that i saw what i wanted.. its just the simplicity of numbers and turnout.. All Uhuruto need is a good turn out 85% in Central province counties and 65% in strong RV areas and the Maths is done.. If we take a 100% turnout, and break it down county by county. give 99% of votes in Central and 70% of votes in RV (Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kajiado) to Jubilee. Then give 60% to the other counties remaining from RV to Jubilee.. you have a gameshot.. 50% + 1 Kwani ulihama? Ama naona marudurudu? Thimioni... bado niko na PK.. rakini ni ithafu rii haha bringing wanas... na gutiri typing errors... kana marudurudu.... nikukutwo ni ukweri wa numbers.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,941
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Lolest! wrote:simonkabz wrote:a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. We bet. PK 52.5 Safina 45. The rest share out 2.5 Dida is taking it round 1. I am giving the full analysis tomorrow! 57%!! miracles do happen but not in Kenya elections. In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2011 Posts: 4,824 Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
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An opinion poll released by Consumer Insight research firm says Jubilee Alliance Uhuru Kenyatta emerged the main gainer, while Peter Kenneth and Martha Karua were losers in Monday night’s presidential debate. The poll after the debate says that Kenyatta scored 33 percent while Cord’s Raila Odinga scored 25 percent points. Kenneth came in third at 18 percent, Mohammed Dida 10 percent and Karua 7 percent. The firm’s Research Analyst says Kenyatta was the only candidate who converted a significant number of viewers into his voters. http://www.capitalfm.co....rged-top-in-debate-poll/ Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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CORD should forget Meru Njuri Ncheke is Meru Votes!!!!i.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2007 Posts: 8,776 Location: Cameroon
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poundfoolish wrote:simonkabz wrote:poundfoolish wrote:McReggae wrote:a4architect.com wrote:anyone willing to bet with me on the win? My bet is that Jubilee will win with 52% against CORD 43%. How much and the umpire???? @4archs final percentage is a bit high.. Mine comes to 51% for Jubilee in the first round @McReggae... not that i saw what i wanted.. its just the simplicity of numbers and turnout.. All Uhuruto need is a good turn out 85% in Central province counties and 65% in strong RV areas and the Maths is done.. If we take a 100% turnout, and break it down county by county. give 99% of votes in Central and 70% of votes in RV (Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kajiado) to Jubilee. Then give 60% to the other counties remaining from RV to Jubilee.. you have a gameshot.. 50% + 1 Kwani ulihama? Ama naona marudurudu? Thimioni... bado niko na PK.. rakini ni ithafu rii haha bringing wanas... na gutiri typing errors... kana marudurudu.... nikukutwo ni ukweri wa numbers. Kaa kali bro. TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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Alfie has been campaigning for UK. Ukambani results will be a shocker for CORD. i.am.back!!!!
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Why Jubilee is assured of a first Round win
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