Wazua
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Game of numbers. ......
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/2/2009 Posts: 2,458 Location: Nairobi
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When UMK finally makes peace with the Wazee.. jubilee will carry the day
skirmishes at the cost
divide votes in Western & lower nyanza
stuff enough in central, Rift & upper eastern
reduce margins in lower eastern..
nbi 50/50
CORD watalilia chooni
if the prince stays adamant & hot headed... he wont even be on the ballot.. thhe courts, the registrar of parties arbitration... or incessasnt appearances for mentions at the hague..
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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poundfoolish wrote:When UMK finally makes peace with the Wazee.. jubilee will carry the day
skirmishes at the cost
divide votes in Western & lower nyanza
stuff enough in central, Rift & upper eastern
reduce margins in lower eastern..
nbi 50/50
CORD watalilia chooni
if the prince stays adamant & hot headed... he wont even be on the ballot.. thhe courts, the registrar of parties arbitration... or incessasnt appearances for mentions at the hague.. Very true. I hope he listens to himself & as you say,make peace with the wazees...by either steppin down for Madvd or PK. He can then be on the ballot in 2017/2018. Afterall,he's still young compared to Raila! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/31/2008 Posts: 1,076
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:poundfoolish wrote:When UMK finally makes peace with the Wazee.. jubilee will carry the day
skirmishes at the cost
divide votes in Western & lower nyanza
stuff enough in central, Rift & upper eastern
reduce margins in lower eastern..
nbi 50/50
CORD watalilia chooni
if the prince stays adamant & hot headed... he wont even be on the ballot.. thhe courts, the registrar of parties arbitration... or incessasnt appearances for mentions at the hague.. Very true. I hope he listens to himself & as you say,make peace with the wazees...by either steppin down for Madvd or PK. He can then be on the ballot in 2017/2018. Afterall,he's still young compared to Raila! Do you guys still think after the acrimony between the two sides Mudavadi could clinch the Presidency if Uhuru were to cede his position to him! That campaign machinery would be so disjointed and suspicious of one another to deliver any impact on the ground. Dunia ni msongamano..
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/5/2010 Posts: 2,061 Location: Nairobi
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B.Timer wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:poundfoolish wrote:When UMK finally makes peace with the Wazee.. jubilee will carry the day
skirmishes at the cost
divide votes in Western & lower nyanza
stuff enough in central, Rift & upper eastern
reduce margins in lower eastern..
nbi 50/50
CORD watalilia chooni
if the prince stays adamant & hot headed... he wont even be on the ballot.. thhe courts, the registrar of parties arbitration... or incessasnt appearances for mentions at the hague.. Very true. I hope he listens to himself & as you say,make peace with the wazees...by either steppin down for Madvd or PK. He can then be on the ballot in 2017/2018. Afterall,he's still young compared to Raila! Do you guys still think after the acrimony between the two sides Mudavadi could clinch the Presidency if Uhuru were to cede his position to him! That campaign machinery would be so disjointed and suspicious of one another to deliver any impact on the ground. UK's grip on Central is highly over-estimated ..he is commanding a following but if he ceded the spot to Madvd things would become very interesting.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/7/2007 Posts: 11,935 Location: Nairobi
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[quote=madollar]A must read for TNA strategists on why they should not just rely on numbers infact CORD will soon roll out its propaganda machine with historical injustices being on topIt’s unsafe to rely on raw numbers to win elections in today’s world http://www.nation.co.ke/...2/-/kw81vo/-/index.html[/quote]  And the propaganda machine will be headed by our very own Goebbels??......Anyway,desperate times calls for desperate measures! Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/18/2010 Posts: 503 Location: Kenya
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simonkabz wrote:C&P
Final update by IEBC
R. VALLEY: 3,373,853-------
assume 100% UHURU
CENTRAL: 2,190,477---------
ASSUME 100% UHURU
EASTERN: 2,092,883---------
ASSUME 10% Uhuru REST
RAILA
NYANZA: 1,954,756----------
Assume 3% Uhuru ''
NAIROBI: 1,778,903 --------
Assume 50% Uhuru ''
WESTERN: 1,434,987-------
Assume 5% UHURU ''
COAST: 1,164,083----------
Assume 10% Uhuru ''
NORTH EAST:347,457-------
Assume 5% Uhuru ''
TOTAL: 14,337,399
>>>>>>>>>>>>UHURU =6.9M
''
n/b (This is a PURE
assumption !!)
Lets try this ..ASSUMING ITS
A TWO HORSE RACE
RAILA Vs UHURU MARCH
2013
CASE ONE >>> UHURU
1.R.VALLEY & CENTRAL
VOTING FOR UHURU =5.5M
ADD 50% NAIROBI (889,451)
..ADD 10% EASTERN (209,288)
..ADD 10% COAST (116,408)
..ADD 10% NORTH EASTERN
(34,745)..ADD 5% WESTERN
(71,749)..ADD 3% NYANZA
(97,737)
TOTAL VOTES=6.9M
CASE TWO>>>RAILA
2.14.3M-7M=7M(UHURU)
Approximately...
(((CASE 3>>> OTHER
PRES.CANDIDATES + SPOILT
VOTES =300K)))
Meaning that it will be a tie
and i predict a RE-RUN in June
2013..
Let's discuss. Who told you that this is how the voting will proceed. There are people in Central who will vote for Raila and others in Nyanza who will vote for Uhuru. So I dont think this has any bearing at all to the outcome of the elections.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 2,038 Location: GA
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Njung'e wrote:[quote=madollar]A must read for TNA strategists on why they should not just rely on numbers infact CORD will soon roll out its propaganda machine with historical injustices being on topIt’s unsafe to rely on raw numbers to win elections in today’s world http://www.nation.co.ke/...2/-/kw81vo/-/index.html[/quote] And the propaganda machine will be headed by our very own Goebbels??......Anyway,desperate times calls for desperate measures! and this could be the one and only..............  if so jubiliee will spend alot of money to counter this propaganda also will they use his services which will be critical during entire campaign period few can match his reach 
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/24/2009 Posts: 5,909 Location: Nairobi
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HOW THEY CAMPAIGN
SHAHABAN in Taita Taveta - all I want is you people to vote for me. For the presidency, you know what to do. Si mnakumbuka hapa Taveta hatuna mashamba baada zikunyakuliwe na mtu mmoja?
CHARLY KETEHR in Keiyo Marakwet - najua nyote mnasema ACHICHA. We understand you very well. All we want is for you to give the other seats to URP but for the presidency mtumie akili. Hatujasahau what they did to us...
ADEN DOOWALE in Garissa - I am not going to force a certain presidential candidate down your throats. Lakini mimi pia ni mtoto wenu, msinitupe.
ALI MWAHKWEREH in Kwale - shida zetu hapa Pwani ni mengi. I know who can solve them and who can not. Vote me in, I will continue championing for your interests. But I need a president who has coastal and Muslims need at heart. You know what to do.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/19/2010 Posts: 1,308 Location: nairobi metropolitan
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nostoppingthis wrote:HOW THEY CAMPAIGN
SHAHABAN in Taita Taveta - all I want is you people to vote for me. For the presidency, you know what to do. Si mnakumbuka hapa Taveta hatuna mashamba baada zikunyakuliwe na mtu mmoja?
CHARLY KETEHR in Keiyo Marakwet - najua nyote mnasema ACHICHA. We understand you very well. All we want is for you to give the other seats to URP but for the presidency mtumie akili. Hatujasahau what they did to us...
ADEN DOOWALE in Garissa - I am not going to force a certain presidential candidate down your throats. Lakini mimi pia ni mtoto wenu, msinitupe.
ALI MWAHKWEREH in Kwale - shida zetu hapa Pwani ni mengi. I know who can solve them and who can not. Vote me in, I will continue championing for your interests. But I need a president who has coastal and Muslims need at heart. You know what to do. propaganda;-) Democracy does not belong to the dead
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/5/2009 Posts: 597
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nostoppingthis wrote:HOW THEY CAMPAIGN
SHAHABAN in Taita Taveta - all I want is you people to vote for me. For the presidency, you know what to do. Si mnakumbuka hapa Taveta hatuna mashamba baada zikunyakuliwe na mtu mmoja?
CHARLY KETEHR in Keiyo Marakwet - najua nyote mnasema ACHICHA. We understand you very well. All we want is for you to give the other seats to URP but for the presidency mtumie akili. Hatujasahau what they did to us...
ADEN DOOWALE in Garissa - I am not going to force a certain presidential candidate down your throats. Lakini mimi pia ni mtoto wenu, msinitupe.
ALI MWAHKWEREH in Kwale - shida zetu hapa Pwani ni mengi. I know who can solve them and who can not. Vote me in, I will continue championing for your interests. But I need a president who has coastal and Muslims need at heart. You know what to do. What??? if true then some people crunching numbers will be so surprised.As well the winning president will work extra mile like obama to contain the senate and the other house. The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
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Game of numbers. ......
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