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Goodness!!! Safaricom HY 2011-2012 RESULTS Down 50%
Mainat
#41 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 6:31:43 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Sober wrote:
Losses from unrealised forex as a whooping 1.3 billion! This is pretty high, even if Zain or rather Airtel was listed and had to make public the results i bet they too wouldnt be smiling.

Unhedged foreign loans
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#42 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 6:47:28 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Maybe these are Safaricom Foundation's numbers smile
the deal
#43 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:00:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
NEW BLOGPOST: Safaricom H1 2011/12 Profits Fall Sharply http://www.contrarianinv...rofits-fall-sharply.html
hisah
#44 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:08:57 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
With all these forex losses that NSE firms are suffering from, can't they employ hedges or better forex traders smile

I like this stone-cold results, a sobering moment for the Mr Market. Wanjiku wont survive here.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mozenrat
#45 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:21:01 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/18/2008
Posts: 796
What are you people praising Airtel et al for? In case you missed it, Safaricom voice revenues went down only 5% and total revenues actually went UP 5%... The issue is operating expenses which would have gone up REGARDLESS of Airtel, Yu etc.
muganda
#46 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:28:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
An army is hierachical,
its autocratic leader instills fear,
and many a rival despise its achievements.

A social movement is all-inclusive,
its leader takes time to build consensus,
and goodwill felt on all fronts is welcome.

mlennyma wrote:
The end of an era. Profitability list reads Eabl, KCB, Equity, BBK then Safaricom.

Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Maybe these are Safaricom Foundation's numbers smile

The army excels in Execution
yet a social movement breeds equality.
50% down and shareholder value elusive; I must wonder, Why 'progress' is so painful?


Is it likely that Vodafone is doing better than Safaricom?
For HY Revenue Up 4%
with EBITDA margin 32%
decline in net profit 3%
interim+special dividend up 7% (for a 7% yield)?


Or Vodacom is doing better than Safaricom?
For HY Revenue up 8%
with EBITDA margin of 35%
increase in net profit 3%
interim dividend up 44% (for a 7% yield)


the deal
#47 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:31:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Basically Safaricom at Sh3 is overpriced, fair price is Sh2.30!!
guru267
#48 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:35:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
Basically Safaricom at Sh3 is overpriced, fair price is Sh2.30!!


I second that.. MPESA is slacking in relation to total revenue..

fair value should be from 1.95-2.25... Then ill buy smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
astute
#49 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:36:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 101
Location: Nairobi
For me this was anticipated. Regardless of the forex, cost of doing business, etc. Safaricom has a problem; Taking its clients for granted and greed. They have the capacity for data, Why is their internet the most expensive in the market, they could have comfortably locked in all the individual data users with a lower data prices and superspeeds thus capitalizing on economies of scale. It also has the highest calling rates in the market; why would anyone with an alternative stick with them????
Rollout
#50 Posted : Wednesday, November 09, 2011 7:36:28 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/26/2011
Posts: 759
... A few years ago, I was ask to write a one page analytical report about Safaricom, the report was going to be used by some people to decide whether to invest in Safaricom IPO or not.
... My conclusion then was, Safaricom profitability times were behind and on IPO I concluded that it was going to trade at down to 50% by the close of the trading week. Of course Kenyan investors weren't happy about my analysis because most Kenyan invest in Safaricom because they love the company!
.... Safaricom is like Apple or Google, It is a valued company, it is nolonger in growth phase anymore so if anyone wanna make a retirement investment, Safaricom is the company, if anyone wanna make money, look for growth companies not valued companies. One more thing, Safaricom could infact be overpriced by the market the phenomeno is common for highly branded companies.
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