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mumias sugar H1 down 22%
MaichBlack
#41 Posted : Tuesday, February 01, 2011 8:33:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,869
kenmac wrote:
it must be scotish...

this talk of 6 bob and 3 bob nerve wrecking

Hiyo ni porojo! Kwani mumias ni samaki aliyeharibika? Look at the fundamentals. What has fundamentally changed in a couple of weeks to warrant such a huge drop?

As @Aguytrying is saying, this is the time for anyone [speculator] with balls of steel to make money. Let people drive the price down with their panic, and watch the volumes keenly. Once the supply starts drying out, dive in. In a couple of weeks the price heads north - somewhere in between the low and the original price. Again watch the volumes and exit.

Kenyans never learn. This scenario played itself a couple of times last year. A company announces a profit warning, the price falls by a huge percentage, guys come back to their senses and the price heads north - somewhere in between the unreasonable low and the original price. And in all madness speculators make their 30% in a couple of weeks.

For investors it's abviously a different ball game.

I'm not a speculator so I rarely participate in the madness. But if I have been eying a stock, the madness is a God send.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
youcan'tstopusnow
#42 Posted : Tuesday, February 01, 2011 8:56:37 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
For Sport wrote:
3 bob? Suggesting that sugar can be compared with batteries?? Shame on you

Laughing out loudlyLaughing out loudlyLaughing out loudly If it goes that low, Merali and Kidero will start hanging out. Whoever manages Kenya Orchards should probably join them too
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
the deal
#43 Posted : Tuesday, February 01, 2011 10:13:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Contrarian investors where art thou...below 6 bob...MSC is a buy...
guru267
#44 Posted : Wednesday, February 02, 2011 8:07:03 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
kenmac wrote:
it must be scotish...

this talk of 6 bob and 3 bob nerve wrecking

Hiyo ni porojo! Kwani mumias ni samaki aliyeharibika? Look at the fundamentals. What has fundamentally changed in a couple of weeks to warrant such a huge drop?


@maichblack mumias can fall to 6bob because there is absolutely no avenue for them to raise profits in the short term... This was evident when they announced their full year profits

I would buy at 6bob because of the 7% dividend yield but not for profit growth...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Paul Kukubo
#45 Posted : Wednesday, February 02, 2011 8:15:40 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/19/2009
Posts: 3,142
tardda project is dead. munias can only survive if it buys all western province sugar producers to reduce competition. Six bob is fair price for this company before comesa market kills it.
VituVingiSana
#46 Posted : Wednesday, February 02, 2011 8:34:33 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
Paul Kukubo wrote:
tardda project is dead. munias can only survive if it buys all western province sugar producers to reduce competition. Six bob is fair price for this company before comesa market kills it.
@paulkukubo ya ICT Board?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Jamani
#47 Posted : Wednesday, February 02, 2011 8:52:20 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/12/2006
Posts: 1,554
Paul Kukubo wrote:
tardda project is dead. munias can only survive if it buys all western province sugar producers to reduce competition. Six bob is fair price for this company before comesa market kills it.


@Paul Kukubo check this out http://www.standardmedia...ke/videos/?id=2000028055
mlennyma
#48 Posted : Thursday, February 03, 2011 12:53:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Mumias seems to have be gaining support contrary to guru's gospel.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Tommy
#49 Posted : Thursday, February 03, 2011 4:59:35 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/9/2010
Posts: 894
Location: Nairobi
sometimes i fail to understand this market, i thought that the bad results will mean mumias is a no go zone. but the demand/support is too much to let it fall. The bargain hunters are many
Don't wait for the Last Judgment. It happens every day. ~Albert Camus, The Fall, 1956
MaichBlack
#50 Posted : Thursday, February 03, 2011 5:00:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,869
MaichBlack wrote:
kenmac wrote:
it must be scotish...

this talk of 6 bob and 3 bob nerve wrecking

Hiyo ni porojo! Kwani mumias ni samaki aliyeharibika? Look at the fundamentals. What has fundamentally changed in a couple of weeks to warrant such a huge drop?

As @Aguytrying is saying, this is the time for anyone [speculator] with balls of steel to make money. Let people drive the price down with their panic, and watch the volumes keenly. Once the supply starts drying out, dive in. In a couple of weeks the price heads north - somewhere in between the low and the original price. Again watch the volumes and exit.

Kenyans never learn. This scenario played itself a couple of times last year. A company announces a profit warning, the price falls by a huge percentage, guys come back to their senses and the price heads north - somewhere in between the unreasonable low and the original price. And in all the madness speculators make their 30% in a couple of weeks.

For investors it's abviously a different ball game.

I'm not a speculator so I rarely participate in the madness. But if I have been eying a stock, the madness is a God send.

@kenmack - You see what I was telling you? Don't listen to porojo na 'siasa ya pesa nane'

Did you follow the trading today? Did mumias look like a share headed to 3/-?
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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