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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
Boris Boyka
#4741 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 11:23:51 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Metasploit wrote:
Kenya airways and ARM are like Afghanistan!No one wants to go there today even on a free ticket!

the 12 support level breaks on KQ!

@Obiero this thing has confused 11 ksh with 19 ksh

@metaspoilt wazuans are hidden in bankers watching through a small open hole to see what arsenal Mr market is hitting them with. nearly every one is affected ur just a composed one. waiting
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
ecstacy
#4742 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 11:42:48 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
PPT, where are we @ next week? :)
hisah
#4743 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:04:41 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
That vacuum sucking sound... As US funds pull out $2.6B from EM stocks a spike similar to Feb 2011. Late comers poleni sana. Corrections are part of the game. It was getting frothy with some crappy counters pretending to shine. Luckily wanjikus are very few at NSE since they're still onto real estate. And I expect those shamba threads to become plenty this year.

Let's see if 2014 will offer the expected discounts (volatile shakeouts) on the value counters for the next attack on 5000 - 5500 resistance forest.

No need for PPT since the Hydrocarbon play is still intact as a long term support for the expected push beyond 6161 to new all time highs as Wanjikus join the party enmass.

@aguy - value stocks (without froothy valuations) that get a haircut should be were to load up. I still fancy the laggards.

Don't fight the trend, let the market do its thing. The dust always settles, but before then the ulcers and the nightmares of the shakeouts can be very testing.

** Just as a reminder, risk management will be key this year as volatility makes a come back.**

Remember, last straw, Eurobond. Bad reception and 2011 is back on the cards...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Metasploit
#4744 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:17:49 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Mwenye macho haambiwi tazama

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
ecstacy
#4745 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:24:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
hisah wrote:
That vacuum sucking sound... As US funds pull out $2.6B from EM stocks a spike similar to Feb 2011. Late comers poleni sana. Corrections are part of the game. It was getting frothy with some crappy counters pretending to shine. Luckily wanjikus are very few at NSE since they're still onto real estate. And I expect those shamba threads to become plenty this year.

Let's see if 2014 will offer the expected discounts (volatile shakeouts) on the value counters for the next attack on 5000 - 5500 resistance forest.

No need for PPT since the Hydrocarbon play is still intact as a long term support for the expected push beyond 6161 to new all time highs as Wanjikus join the party enmass.

@aguy - value stocks (without froothy valuations) that get a haircut should be were to load up. I still fancy the laggards.

Don't fight the trend, let the market do its thing. The dust always settles, but before then the ulcers and the nightmares of the shakeouts can be very testing.

** Just as a reminder, risk management will be key this year as volatility makes a come back.**

Remember, last straw, Eurobond. Bad reception and 2011 is back on the cards...


Interesting perspective.

Meanwhile, one research note review of yesterday indicating we should "expect a more volatile market but the upward trend should be maintained with a 4600 – 5900 trading range for the year."

Please expound on the hydrocarbon play.
mlennyma
#4746 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:30:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
This is when i become a drunkard
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#4747 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:34:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
If the house owner knew,the thief would not have striked and thats how mr.market catches us.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
jerry
#4748 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:43:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
ecstacy wrote:
PPT, where are we @ next week? :)

What's that? PPT! We are saving for the EuroBond...
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
ecstacy
#4749 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:47:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
The big boys must be watching to shake out panic sellers then decide next play next week. The value of shares traded today Vs yesterday should be an indicator when we have the figures.
The Merchant
#4750 Posted : Friday, January 31, 2014 12:47:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
hisah wrote:
Bearish against 180 (double top) on the FTSE NSE15 index weekly chart. The weekly has been toppish since the Nov 24 2013 upthrust week with the roof at 184. Likely for the entire Jan 2014 rally to be erased all the way down to Dec 2013 levels around 165 - 168. If this play out the same will be mirrored on NSE20 which means it'll lose the 5000 handle. Interesting this is happening just before results check in as well as the eurobond uptake. Reminds me of the infamous call back in Feb 2011 when I saw banks selloff hard even after announcing rosy 2010 results and USD went to 90/- and above...



Risk management will be key. Volatility is coming back...

Check post #2 - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...spx?g=posts&t=11082


Actually, if it drops to the 165 level (the neck line), it would confirm a double top. After that a drop equal to the height of the two tops would be seen. A break of 165 if definitely something to worry about.Sad
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