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When is the Next NSE Bus Leaving the Stage
Mukiri
#411 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 11:26:51 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
guru267 wrote:
We may close 2012 @4,000 but whatever correction comes i still maintain that provided Uhuru does not win and elections go smoothly we will close 2013 @5,500-6,000 on the 20 index!


Interesting perspective, I might just adopt it.

What is the investor behavior in Dec? With the festivities, January school fees?

Proverbs 19:21
dunkang
#412 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 11:31:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Mukiri wrote:
Interesting perspective, I might just adopt it.
What is the investor behavior in Dec? With the festivities, January school fees?


Am also trying to look for info on the same too. Share if u analyse the behaviour faster than us.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

Aguytrying
#413 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 11:40:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@hisah. nice rap sheet. but do u say? of the following stocks i think it would be wise to take profits now. theres no harm done, if they do go up they can still be bought later. eabl, saf, kcb. nmg , arm,

i dont imagine those prices upheld in the next 5 months. on hfck i dont see much downside, but biased as i own shares there(happily)

ive been looking at neglected companies total, nbk, cfc bank, knre . food for thought
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
guru267
#414 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 11:41:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Mukiri wrote:
guru267 wrote:
We may close 2012 @4,000 but whatever correction comes i still maintain that provided Uhuru does not win and elections go smoothly we will close 2013 @5,500-6,000 on the 20 index!


Interesting perspective, I might just adopt it.

What is the investor behavior in Dec? With the festivities, January school fees?


The NSE tends to fall during December as people cash out their gains for holidays and school fees!

Fund managers like myself also prefer to end the year with cash balances!

From beginning of Jan to the 15th the market usually shoots up and then stagnates until the results announcement in march/April!

This doesn't happen every year!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Mukiri
#415 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 1:00:47 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
guru267 wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
guru267 wrote:
We may close 2012 @4,000 but whatever correction comes i still maintain that provided Uhuru does not win and elections go smoothly we will close 2013 @5,500-6,000 on the 20 index!


Interesting perspective, I might just adopt it.

What is the investor behavior in Dec? With the festivities, January school fees?


The NSE tends to fall during December as people cash out their gains for holidays and school fees!

Fund managers like myself also prefer to end the year with cash balances!

From beginning of Jan to the 15th the market usually shoots up and then stagnates until the results announcement in march/April!

This doesn't happen every year!


Cash vis-ä-vis 3 month TBills? Considering elections

Proverbs 19:21
hisah
#416 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 2:19:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Neveready trades 4M shares today?? Can't recall such huge volume on this counter - not evident on the 5yr chart too!

The foreigner purchases today on mpesa bank, KCB and EABL with no selling...! I thought as we approach December and with elections near term we would be seeing profit taking. Instead the bids are pressing on the gas!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
dunkang
#417 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 2:22:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Mpesa's 70 Million is definitely a shocker.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

dunkang
#418 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 3:01:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
85.8 million shares traded as of now for MPESA. This is not Wanjiku volumez.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

hisah
#419 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 4:06:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
dunkang wrote:
85.8 million shares traded as of now for MPESA. This is not Wanjiku volumez.

Turnover hit almost half a billion i.e. 428M on this counter today! Yep, not wanjiku volume this...

EABL and KCB also finished with turnover above 100M.

At this rate when wanjikus come rushing, they'll be buying at dear heights as they get out-priced. By then it will be too late.

But what is keeping me dazed is the fact that December is a few days away and elections just around the corner, but volumes keep piling up! I can't recall seeing this before.

@wazee vvs/njunge do you recollect such a period?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#420 Posted : Friday, November 23, 2012 4:53:52 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Btw mpesa bank traded 173M shares this week. If you take an average price of 4.70/- for the week it translates to 813M in turnover.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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