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Cde Monomotapa
#4091 Posted : Saturday, January 18, 2014 3:05:30 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
How about Alcoa (Base metal: Aluminium, longtime barometer of the NYSE earnings season) being ejected out the Index? That was a loud but hush-hushed signal too Sad
hisah
#4092 Posted : Monday, January 20, 2014 10:30:02 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Quote:
The fact that central bankers around the world have cut interest rates 515 times in the past six years times, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, is also very unusual.

Back in 1987, yields on the 10-year Treasury note rose sharply, from around 7% at the start of the year to 8% and then 9% that summer as stocks kept rising. By the time the Dow crashed that October the yield on the 10-year Treasury note had topped 10%.


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#4093 Posted : Monday, January 20, 2014 1:26:46 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
"I have scoured the major global stock market indices to uncover candidates for the title “Breakout Kings”. These are the select few that have or are just about to break above their consolidation phases most of which have prevailed from the Dot Com Bubble.

First on stage is the S&P 500 Index. The breakout was affirmed in August 2014 because the monthly closing figure was just above the blue breakout line. We could witness a retest of the breakout line, a consolidation and blast off thereafter..."

Read more:

http://www.scribd.com/do...00854766/Breakout-Kings

hisah
#4094 Posted : Friday, January 24, 2014 10:58:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Watching this movie silently...


Uptrend broken...

All US indices in the red in 2014...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#4095 Posted : Saturday, January 25, 2014 5:12:12 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Watching this movie silently...


Uptrend broken...

All US indices in the red in 2014...



http://www.cnbc.com/id/101361746
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#4096 Posted : Saturday, January 25, 2014 6:29:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@murchr - I expect S.Korea to feature in the headlines this year...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#4097 Posted : Saturday, January 25, 2014 6:48:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
@murchr - I expect S.Korea to feature in the headlines this year...


I guess that is where the money is going to
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#4098 Posted : Sunday, January 26, 2014 8:18:25 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
@murchr - I expect S.Korea to feature in the headlines this year...


I guess that is where the money is going to

Nop. Their money masters will likely go the india way as the won gets hammered vs USD. Kospi too will selloff properly...

Emerging markets ccys will probably get a proper hammering as volatility makes a comeback this yr. The rupee and rand got it in the chin last yr. Still very weak to date. Now turkish lira, argentine peso, skorea won, thai baht, indonesian ccy etc are getting whacked. Frontier markets those without enough fx reserves will suddenly join the party. KE already saw the preview in 2011.

I'll repeat again, risk management is key this year as volatility presents its ugliness...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4099 Posted : Sunday, January 26, 2014 8:28:07 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@kk - Have you been following the withdrawal restrictions drama unfolding since a certain govt shutdown in Oct last yr?

JPM then now HSBC... Cyprus bail in was a solid sneak preview.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-25861717

Are bank runs about to pop up soon on a wide scale?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#4100 Posted : Sunday, January 26, 2014 9:42:29 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
"The previous article Breakout Kings provided the 22nd of January as a turning point for the DOW Jones Industrial Index. On the 23rd, the Argentine Peso experienced its largest one-day decline in 12 years. The country’s central bank did not step in to cushion the decline as it sought to preserve its dwindling foreign currency reserves. Argentina’s sneeze caused a flu outbreak in Turkey, South Africa, Ukraine and Venezuela...."

Read more:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/202290060/Falling-Stars

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