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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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murchr wrote:mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:Out of curiosity, Mnandii, do you own any shares in NSE? Your pessimism of this market is as devoted as the thorough analysis of the same... I sold my holdings. The thing is, Elliott Wave is an objective approach to analysing a market. If there was short selling existent in the NSE I'd be happy to sell. Imagine my call for NSE to drop below 4900 when it was still at about 5100? Today the target has been met. That is a 200 point move! I concentrate more on forex now. The index is down mainly due to the profit taking on Safcom. Once that is taken care of the wave will def show an upward trend. If you can, please generate last year's chart. Esp from Mar 2014 At first I also thought it was a correction. but some signs of a bear started popping up. safaricom price dipping after announcing record +30% profits and dividend. foreigners being on sell side the whole of this year . HFCK and NIC trading close and below rights issue price! despite stellar results. barclays trading at 15.00, find out the last time that happened NMG threatening to go below 200. in the last bear it was at 150. ARM sinking to 74. This is the darling of NSE previously flirting with 90. A Broker even gave a buy recommendation to 150 recently. the spike of the kshs. remember that was there in 2011 too. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Quote:The “million dollars” that a wealthy investor might have thought he had in his bond portfolio or at a stock’s peak value can quite rapidly become $50,000 or $5000 or $50. The rest of it just disappears. You see, he never really had a million dollars; all he had was IOUs or stock certificates. The idea that it had a certain financial value was in his head and the heads of others who agreed. When the point of agreement changed, so did the value. Poof! Gone in a flash of aggregated neurons. Conquer the Crash, third edition Read more: http://www.elliottwave.c...rchives/2015/05/22/Poof!-How-Stock-Market-Gains-Can-Rapidly-Evaporate.aspx#ixzz3awM3bDud Follow us: @elliottwaveintl on Twitter | ElliottWaveInternational on Facebook Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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winmak wrote:Sometimes I think these policy makers don't care what their actions have on stability of the market Aaaah.. Their actions have no effect on the stability of the market! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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mkonomtupu wrote:@growing what you are seeing above is the intermediate and minor wave. Its a wave within a wave (yaani unaona mawimbi na tsunami yaja). If you go Post#1 in this thread you will see the Cycle wave(yaani tsunami) represented by upper case Roman numerals(I, II, III,IV,V, a,b,c) where I-V are the basic 5 wave impulse sequence(tukienda juu) and a,b,c is the 3 wave corrective sequence(tukirudi chini). What @mnandii is telling you we are about to hit wave c corrective sequence. Nice to find a fellow Elliottician in wazua! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/1/2007 Posts: 539 Location: Nakuru
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mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:Sometimes I think these policy makers don't care what their actions have on stability of the market Aaaah.. Their actions have no effect on the stability of the market! Imposing CGT in a predicted bear year contributes to the instability... For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Aguytrying wrote:murchr wrote:mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:Out of curiosity, Mnandii, do you own any shares in NSE? Your pessimism of this market is as devoted as the thorough analysis of the same... I sold my holdings. The thing is, Elliott Wave is an objective approach to analysing a market. If there was short selling existent in the NSE I'd be happy to sell. Imagine my call for NSE to drop below 4900 when it was still at about 5100? Today the target has been met. That is a 200 point move! I concentrate more on forex now. The index is down mainly due to the profit taking on Safcom. Once that is taken care of the wave will def show an upward trend. If you can, please generate last year's chart. Esp from Mar 2014 At first I also thought it was a correction. but some signs of a bear started popping up. safaricom price dipping after announcing record +30% profits and dividend. This was expected here on wazua, we all knew the mad rally was guys buying the rumor waiting to peddle the news. That 30+% profit was already factored in the price at 17.9
foreigners being on sell side the whole of this year. Foreigners are seeing better opportunities in NG after elections, after they make their money there they will definitely come back HFCK and NIC trading close and below rights issue price! despite stellar results. Speculators are causing this, i've seen this before and its exaggerated by low trade volumes. A buy for mebarclays trading at 15.00, find out the last time that happened This counter's 52 wk high is 18.xy, hii ni correction tu
NMG threatening to go below 200. in the last bear it was at 150. It will, investors dont have confidence on the business books closure was yesterdayARM sinking to 74. This is the darling of NSE previously flirting with 90. A Broker even gave a buy recommendation to 150 recently. This one even at 70 its overvaluedthe spike of the kshs. remember that was there in 2011 too. The shilling will continue to lose value against the dollar for quite a while until we change our import quotas. Obama land economy is on fire..So far i dont see anything stopping that These are just my opinions and they may not hold water. But we saw this happen in 2013 if we're analyzing behaviors #423 Posted : Saturday, May 11, 2013 7:20:10 AMCde Monomotapa wrote:SittingPretty wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:Ericsson wrote:We are heading for a bear run which is starting Scom broke from the pack. Let it carry its own cross  though some weakness is being observed else where too. Next week will be interesting. I like the 'personification' of the counter!  http://wazua.co.ke/forum...sts&t=21259&p=22"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Member Joined: 6/15/2013 Posts: 301
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enyands wrote:mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:Out of curiosity, Mnandii, do you own any shares in NovYour pessimism of this market is as devoted as the thorough analysis of the same... I sold my holdings. The thing is, Elliott Wave is an objective approach to analysing a market. If there was short selling existent in the NSE I'd be happy to sell. Imagine my call for NSE to drop below 4900 when it was still at about 5100? Today the target has been met. That is a 200 point move! I concentrate more on forex now. When will this bear pass mnadii . Do you have an approximate time when it will be over @enyands....Looks like you are newbie in stock trading..we are no where near a bear...in a bear market prices will be half what they are now...the social mood will be so depressive even most of those saying they can't wait for the bear to start buying will stay out...when the bear is here no one will be talking stocks...lakini waerevu and strong at mind and heart will take positions because it will be a long time before the chickens come home to roost.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/25/2014 Posts: 2,301 Location: kenya
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mulla wrote:enyands wrote:mnandii wrote:winmak wrote:Out of curiosity, Mnandii, do you own any shares in NovYour pessimism of this market is as devoted as the thorough analysis of the same... I sold my holdings. The thing is, Elliott Wave is an objective approach to analysing a market. If there was short selling existent in the NSE I'd be happy to sell. Imagine my call for NSE to drop below 4900 when it was still at about 5100? Today the target has been met. That is a 200 point move! I concentrate more on forex now. When will this bear pass mnadii . Do you have an approximate time when it will be over @enyands....Looks like you are newbie in stock trading..we are no where near a bear...in a bear market prices will be half what they are now...the social mood will be so depressive even most of those saying they can't wait for the bear to start buying will stay out...when the bear is here no one will be talking stocks...lakini waerevu and strong at mind and heart will take positions because it will be a long time before the chickens come home to roost. @mulla I agree I'm newbie . I believe and more less if someone has something to say , they don't necessarily mean to mislead. I do ask questions to seek reasons. In tthis case with well displayed graphs iv never seen before and well analysis prompts me to believe . I need people like you to question my reason to believe and show me otherwise . For now I'm in between @munadii and @mulla. The real juror is out there I believe
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,211 Location: nairobi
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stock prices follow performance and right now going by results being released, most firms are not well.. esp manufacturing, tourism, real estate KQ ABP 4.26
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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obiero wrote:stock prices follow performance and right now going by results being released, most firms are not well.. esp manufacturing, tourism, real estate It will be clear quite soon. Performance, financial or otherwise, follow the stock market which is a register of man's productive capacity. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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