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2020 Watch List - Buy/Sell
Ericsson
#31 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2020 11:43:24 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
Ebenyo wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


Mention the companies you have got rid of




Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I don't intend to discourage anyone who is still holding what I discard.As you know in this market even dead stocks have owners.So no need to mention.


The Motley Fool
@themotleyfool

When you commit to holding your investments at least 5+ years, here's what happens:

(1) You buy better companies

(2) You study different data and find that the market drops 1 out of 3 years (ho hum)

(3) You make lots more money after taxes

(4) Less stress, more fun & freedom
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#32 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2020 8:28:09 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


Mention the companies you have got rid of




Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I don't intend to discourage anyone who is still holding what I discard.As you know in this market even dead stocks have owners.So no need to mention.


The Motley Fool
@themotleyfool

When you commit to holding your investments at least 5+ years, here's what happens:

(1) You buy better companies

(2) You study different data and find that the market drops 1 out of 3 years (ho hum)

(3) You make lots more money after taxes

(4) Less stress, more fun & freedom
Applause Applause Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Swenani
#33 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2020 10:07:46 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.


If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
Mainat
#34 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2020 10:42:26 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Why not Scangroup?
Sehemu ndio nyumba
babashuge
#35 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2020 8:03:56 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/4/2019
Posts: 69
Location: Nairobi
Swenani wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.




Hmm, why is it too big for long term?
obiero
#36 Posted : Saturday, February 01, 2020 11:33:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,213
Location: nairobi
xtina wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Extraterrestrial wrote:
Locust invasion is the worst in 70 years, almost a Biblical event.

With 34% of the economy relying on the agricultural sector (2018), food security is at risk; food inflation has already blown past a 2 year high.
The cost of corruption .The government doesn't care,country is now on campaign mode courtesy of BBI

Let's hope that the horticultural and tea areas remain safe because a shock reduction in export proceeds, combined with increasingly evident need for food imports will put pressure on the Shilling. Freed up money from bank lending will also increase imports.

On the plus side, bank earnings have the best chance of growing.
Explain how with job losses and auctions the order of the day

Telco is at risk; I just saw Telkom offering 50 GB monthly at 3k. Compare to SafariCON.
What about Telkom kenya data/4G/3G network coverage

FDI inflows fell below Uganda last year, a sad event.

Manufacturing sector continues to grapple with low productivity and high costs.
Manufacturing intentionally been killed,if you want to rule people ruthlessly,make them hungry and desperate first

Reserves will need new debt to replenish and they are already at an almost one year low. With an increasingly critical stance taken by World Bank and IMF on Kenya's debt situation, it will be hard to borrow much at commercial rates externally, concessional loans will come with some very uncomfortable conditions and domestic debt will continue to be in high demand, crowding out private sector.
It will take ten years with a good leader to repair the mess created

Nonetheless, Safaricom and tier one banks are attractive to long-term investors on a forward PE and dividend yield basis. The entry price is what matters as you want to watch your winners play about, not your losers flop around.

Plus counters with low debt and expanded regionally


Dude you are extremely pessimistic

Understatement

KQ ABP 4.26
Swenani
#37 Posted : Monday, February 03, 2020 1:45:44 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
babashuge wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.




Hmm, why is it too big for long term?


Not sure about the value of his portfolios but my thinking is that small traders need not have more than three counters
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
sparkly
#38 Posted : Monday, February 03, 2020 6:55:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Swenani wrote:
babashuge wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.




Hmm, why is it too big for long term?


Not sure about the value of his portfolios but my thinking is that small traders need not have more than three counters


What do you consider a small trader?
Life is short. Live passionately.
Swenani
#39 Posted : Tuesday, February 04, 2020 5:01:08 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
sparkly wrote:
Swenani wrote:
babashuge wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.




Hmm, why is it too big for long term?


Not sure about the value of his portfolios but my thinking is that small traders need not have more than three counters


What do you consider a small trader?

Minority shareholders in any company
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
Ericsson
#40 Posted : Wednesday, February 05, 2020 10:07:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
sparkly wrote:
Swenani wrote:
babashuge wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
After going through some good beatings last year in my portfolio,i have gotten rid of some companies and now it looks like this:
1.kcb
2.Centum
3.Total
4.Carbacid
5.CIC
it's not perfect yet but I'm working work hard to improve.


As an experienced NSE trader and guru, I think your portfolio is too big if you are investing for long term. But if buying for speculation(<2yrs), then the potofolio is okay.




Hmm, why is it too big for long term?


Not sure about the value of his portfolios but my thinking is that small traders need not have more than three counters


What do you consider a small trader?

Someone who is yet to fully understand market dynamics,detail analysis of a company's financial statements.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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