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whats pushing SCOM
mukiha
#31 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 6:58:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
It has just touched 4.80

Demand = 6million shares

Supply = 2 million shares

Behind the gardens...Behind the wall...Under the tree (Including: Red...Dark Blue...Yellow)
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
njamba
#32 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 7:14:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/30/2007
Posts: 16
4.95 is the highest it can go today (10% rule)
VituVingiSana
#33 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 7:20:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Just a matter of time... 5/- kesho or Wednesday...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Much Know
#34 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 7:37:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Shouldn't those who bought IPO price wait for interest on their investment instead of selling at 5/-? remember 45million shares were sold the other day at 4.2/-,i am quite tempted but will wait for interest to be paid,nikikosa,ni sawa,will wait for 2013.

Ni&ocirc;ne mwisho ya mwezi pliz!
Ras Kienyeji Man
VituVingiSana
#35 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 7:42:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Kenyans are krazy... they will sell out safaricom at 5/- or lower... then when 'foreigners' have bought the shares & the price rises... they will complain how 'foreigners' own Safaricom...

I saw the same thing in EABL... many,many years ago... there was a Rights that Kenyans refused to take up... then Diageo stepped in... now Diageo controls 50%+ of EABL...

Also EABL (around the same time) raised cash by issuing a Scrip Dividend... basically you get shares instead of cash... Diageo took the Scrip... most Kenyans took cash!

Since those days EABL has risen 10x...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Impunity
#36 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 7:58:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
Safcon hitting 5.15 tommorow first thing in the morning.This is crazy.What will be the crest point?Am seeing 7.20 before Xmass................

The Hague...or Local Triburnal ama TJRC.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

mukiha
#37 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 8:30:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
This rally begun on 7th Oct - 30 trading days ago.

In that time,SCOM has risen from 3.65 to 4.95 at 35% jump withing a month and a half.

Averaging geometrically,this is a 1% increment on each trading day,on average.

Extrapolating to Xmas,this stock will probably touch 6.25 on 24th Dec.....and 6.50 on new years eve 31st Dec.

That's my conservative projection.

I will begin selling at 5.20 and stop at 9.60...if we ever get there. At that point I will have recouped my initial investment.

For the optimists,you are looking at 15bob by X-mas....but I think that would be unrealistic!

Behind the gardens...Behind the wall...Under the tree (Including: Red...Dark Blue...Yellow)
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
VituVingiSana
#38 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 8:43:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
9.60??? LOL... not any time soon... that would mean that Safaricom's PAT has to increase substantially to support the 9.60...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mukiha
#39 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 8:47:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
@VVS....that's why I qualified it with 'if we ever get there'. I'm not planning of leaving this bus any time soon...take some profits along the way,yes,but not leaving.....unless.....

Behind the gardens...Behind the wall...Under the tree (Including: Red...Dark Blue...Yellow)
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
sheep
#40 Posted : Monday, November 23, 2009 9:13:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
with the eshanji everything is possible...a p/e of 20 looks probable
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
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