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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
obiero
#7641 Posted : Monday, June 05, 2017 7:33:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,796
Location: nairobi
Impunity wrote:
What?
I wish I exited last week.

LOL.. Do not panic

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
maka
#7642 Posted : Monday, June 05, 2017 10:10:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Impunity wrote:
What?
I wish I exited last week.

LOL.. Do not panic




possunt quia posse videntur
omega
#7643 Posted : Monday, June 05, 2017 10:59:03 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/9/2009
Posts: 85
littledove wrote:
https://ir.citi.com/K48NmnoXhQiTE4FHzCmUD9%2F8fcRugHm76eyZA4lXT9lx5Hml4Yil9g%3D%3D
Equity increase details to be released by July

We continue to model a US$400m (KSh 41.4bn) equity rights issue, which would increase share count 5
-fold at the current share price,more if discounted, heavily diluting existing
shareholders.This would enable Kenya Airways
to repay KSh25bn bridging loan
from the Government and Afreximbank and maintain cash at c.30% of revenue. Our EPS estimates will depend critically
on the terms of the rights issue. We expect the Government
(29.8%holder) and KLM (26.7%) to take up their rights.


2011 Deja vu. I ignored the warning then and had to bail out @13 in mid 2012 after the rights issue.
ArrestedDev
#7644 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 1:38:50 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/29/2016
Posts: 898
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
maka wrote:
Jibabe wrote:
Who's Geoffrey Mugendo hear a parking spot at KQ labeld as such


Really by name?He is in supply chain...



His initiatives saved KQ the most money last year...Sadly today is his last day at the company. Onward to greener pastures...


I am very sure the new CEO will streamline anything related to procurement given that the forensic audit findings were predominantly on this area.

He knows what it takes to reduce the cost base of an Airline. Very confident indeed that he will take action.
obiero
#7645 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 7:25:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,796
Location: nairobi
omega wrote:
littledove wrote:
https://ir.citi.com/K48NmnoXhQiTE4FHzCmUD9%2F8fcRugHm76eyZA4lXT9lx5Hml4Yil9g%3D%3D
Equity increase details to be released by July

We continue to model a US$400m (KSh 41.4bn) equity rights issue, which would increase share count 5
-fold at the current share price,more if discounted, heavily diluting existing
shareholders.This would enable Kenya Airways
to repay KSh25bn bridging loan
from the Government and Afreximbank and maintain cash at c.30% of revenue. Our EPS estimates will depend critically
on the terms of the rights issue. We expect the Government
(29.8%holder) and KLM (26.7%) to take up their rights.


2011 Deja vu. I ignored the warning then and had to bail out @13 in mid 2012 after the rights issue.

@omega lightning never strikes twice at the exact spot.. kaza roho.. upon announcement the share will take a shallow dip followed by a massive rally.. Thank me later

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
maka
#7646 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 7:40:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
omega wrote:
littledove wrote:
https://ir.citi.com/K48NmnoXhQiTE4FHzCmUD9%2F8fcRugHm76eyZA4lXT9lx5Hml4Yil9g%3D%3D
Equity increase details to be released by July

We continue to model a US$400m (KSh 41.4bn) equity rights issue, which would increase share count 5
-fold at the current share price,more if discounted, heavily diluting existing
shareholders.This would enable Kenya Airways
to repay KSh25bn bridging loan
from the Government and Afreximbank and maintain cash at c.30% of revenue. Our EPS estimates will depend critically
on the terms of the rights issue. We expect the Government
(29.8%holder) and KLM (26.7%) to take up their rights.


2011 Deja vu. I ignored the warning then and had to bail out @13 in mid 2012 after the rights issue.

@omega lightning never strikes twice at the exact spot.. kaza roho.. upon announcement the share will take a shallow dip followed by a massive rally.. Thank me later


😊
possunt quia posse videntur
Spikes
#7647 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 7:56:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
obiero wrote:
omega wrote:
littledove wrote:
https://ir.citi.com/K48NmnoXhQiTE4FHzCmUD9%2F8fcRugHm76eyZA4lXT9lx5Hml4Yil9g%3D%3D
Equity increase details to be released by July

We continue to model a US$400m (KSh 41.4bn) equity rights issue, which would increase share count 5
-fold at the current share price,more if discounted, heavily diluting existing
shareholders.This would enable Kenya Airways
to repay KSh25bn bridging loan
from the Government and Afreximbank and maintain cash at c.30% of revenue. Our EPS estimates will depend critically
on the terms of the rights issue. We expect the Government
(29.8%holder) and KLM (26.7%) to take up their rights.


2011 Deja vu. I ignored the warning then and had to bail out @13 in mid 2012 after the rights issue.

@omega lightning never strikes twice at the exact spot.. kaza roho.. upon announcement the share will take a shallow dip followed by a massive rally.. Thank me later

Yes! But accumulation after a dip will take like a year or so.Here now patience pays brother @Obiero.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Pesa Nane
#7648 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 9:49:06 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Ericsson
#7649 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 9:50:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,779
Location: NAIROBI
http://kenyanwallstreet....billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Shak
#7650 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:01:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/22/2009
Posts: 2,449
Location: Africa
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?
maka
#7651 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:13:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


There is no rights issue...isn't that all thelse money they want...govt debt converted to equity then the rest ni loan...
possunt quia posse videntur
ProverB
#7652 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:23:55 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


They need all the money they can get and at the same time, they cannot keep being bridled by financial costs.
So begs the question...what is the cheapest source of long term financing?
Rights Issue..as a matter of prudence..is very much on the table
Issue is, public perception..rights issue might flop horribly.

What of issuing commercial paper on NSE, or even cross listed?

Oh the crap of this counter. Laughing out loudly
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
maka
#7653 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:31:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
ProverB wrote:
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


They need all the money they can get and at the same time, they cannot keep being bridled by financial costs.
So begs the question...what is the cheapest source of long term financing?
Rights Issue..as a matter of prudence..is very much on the table
Issue is, public perception..rights issue might flop horribly.

What of issuing commercial paper on NSE, or even cross listed?

Oh the crap of this counter. Laughing out loudly


Any fixed term note they would want to issue will definetly have a sizeable premium if EABL does 14+% pa what would KQ do...😥😥 Am sure this loans are at a cheap rate...Obiero tafuta details.
possunt quia posse videntur
Spikes
#7654 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 10:34:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
ProverB wrote:
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


They need all the money they can get and at the same time, they cannot keep being bridled by financial costs.
So begs the question...what is the cheapest source of long term financing?
Rights Issue..as a matter of prudence..is very much on the table
Issue is, public perception..rights issue might flop horribly.

What of issuing commercial paper on NSE, or even cross listed?

Oh the crap of this counter. Laughing out loudly

Rights issue wouldn't flop as we've reliable minds at the top of leadership! At least over 80% subscription can be possibly achieved. The 20% untaken rights can be bought later on by international or local institutional inventors. There is so much hope in this stock for now but a rally will take a year or so to start.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
sparkly
#7655 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 12:25:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Spikes wrote:
ProverB wrote:
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


They need all the money they can get and at the same time, they cannot keep being bridled by financial costs.
So begs the question...what is the cheapest source of long term financing?
Rights Issue..as a matter of prudence..is very much on the table
Issue is, public perception..rights issue might flop horribly.

What of issuing commercial paper on NSE, or even cross listed?

Oh the crap of this counter. Laughing out loudly

Rights issue wouldn't flop as we've reliable minds at the top of leadership! At least over 80% subscription can be possibly achieved. The 20% untaken rights can be bought later on by international or local institutional inventors. There is so much hope in this stock for now but a rally will take a year or so to start.


@Spikes how many shares do you have in KQ? You sound too hopeful.
Life is short. Live passionately.
ProverB
#7656 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 12:58:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Spikes wrote:
ProverB wrote:
Shak wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://kenyanwallstreet.com/kenya-airways-gets-govt-approval-seek-sh-77-billion-syndicated-loan

According to Citizen TV, Kenya’s cabinet has approved a proposal by Kenya Airways (KQ) to seek a syndicated loan of Sh77 billion from US Based Export-Import Bank and a group of local banks.

Citizen TV reports that the cabinet met last week and gave the go ahead with assurance that it would act as the airline’s guarantor. In the proposal, KQ will seek Sh54 billion from the export-import bank of the United States while the balance of Sh 23 Billion will be given by a few local banks.

The media house further reported that the Cabinet had also “approved the conversion of its Sh4.2 billion current loan to KQ to be converted into equity, a move that would likely see an increase in its shareholding going forward.”

The loan request by the airline is however expected to go through a final approval by the national assembly in the interest of tax-payers whereby the Government owns 29.8 percent.

So is the Rights issue on course or is this a case of fake news?


They need all the money they can get and at the same time, they cannot keep being bridled by financial costs.
So begs the question...what is the cheapest source of long term financing?
Rights Issue..as a matter of prudence..is very much on the table
Issue is, public perception..rights issue might flop horribly.

What of issuing commercial paper on NSE, or even cross listed?

Oh the crap of this counter. Laughing out loudly

Rights issue wouldn't flop as we've reliable minds at the top of leadership! At least over 80% subscription can be possibly achieved. The 20% untaken rights can be bought later on by international or local institutional inventors. There is so much hope in this stock for now but a rally will take a year or so to start.



Unfortunately.. Hope is not a financial Management principle.
And you do not make make such decisions on hope even with a tiny probability that the market remains non-committal to the KQ turn around going by the share price behavior and public discussions on KQ.

Remember there are people who have the KQ share not because they want to, but are waiting to recoup their investment thus the reason everytime it touches a new high..copious amounts of shares are instantly dumped..like people cannot wait to leave.

The speculation on this counter totally messes up pricing of the rights should there be a rights issue.

..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
VituVingiSana
#7657 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 2:48:30 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,225
Location: Nairobi
One of my best financial decisions I made is not what shares I bought but what I sold. That crown goes to KQ which I sold off between 13-14. Hope is not a strategy.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Kausha
#7658 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 3:12:38 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
VituVingiSana wrote:
One of my best financial decisions I made is not what shares I bought but what I sold. That crown goes to KQ which I sold off between 13-14. Hope is not a strategy.


Surely it was as obvious as daylight these loan guarantees were going to come and bit the minorities asses! KQ was never going to be able to repay those loans. Now we have KQ as a parastatal proper.
omega
#7659 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 6:01:11 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/9/2009
Posts: 85
obiero wrote:
omega wrote:
littledove wrote:
https://ir.citi.com/K48NmnoXhQiTE4FHzCmUD9%2F8fcRugHm76eyZA4lXT9lx5Hml4Yil9g%3D%3D
Equity increase details to be released by July

We continue to model a US$400m (KSh 41.4bn) equity rights issue, which would increase share count 5
-fold at the current share price,more if discounted, heavily diluting existing
shareholders.This would enable Kenya Airways
to repay KSh25bn bridging loan
from the Government and Afreximbank and maintain cash at c.30% of revenue. Our EPS estimates will depend critically
on the terms of the rights issue. We expect the Government
(29.8%holder) and KLM (26.7%) to take up their rights.


2011 Deja vu. I ignored the warning then and had to bail out @13 in mid 2012 after the rights issue.

@omega lightning never strikes twice at the exact spot.. kaza roho.. upon announcement the share will take a shallow dip followed by a massive rally.. Thank me later


I wouldn't touch KQ until after the balance sheet restructuring and/or the rights issue. I have been there and learnt my lesson.
obiero
#7660 Posted : Tuesday, June 06, 2017 6:06:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,796
Location: nairobi
Kausha wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
One of my best financial decisions I made is not what shares I bought but what I sold. That crown goes to KQ which I sold off between 13-14. Hope is not a strategy.


Surely it was as obvious as daylight these loan guarantees were going to come and bit the minorities asses! KQ was never going to be able to repay those loans. Now we have KQ as a parastatal proper.

Some GoK linked business such as Safaricom, KCB, KQ are doing just fine.. @proverb without hope all is lost

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
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