@vvs
You have been a strong defender of Banks even when I stated that they would face dire straits in this bear market and some will likely collapse.
This haircut that KCB is facing will morph into massive defaults soon. The assumption that these restructured loans will be repaid is false - if one cannot suddenly pay his loans due to 'corona' which has been with us for just about 3 months then expect them to default. The financial situation they find themselves in will not just go away even if Corona is managed.
The reason for financial difficulties
does not arise from Corona. This is a key point that people will have to contend with. The financial difficulties arise because in a major bear market (depression) that we find ourselves in makes them reluctant to spend. This reluctance is driven by fear, fear of the unknown. In such a situation money flow is restricted and alas the depression.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.