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When is the Next NSE Bus Leaving the Stage
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t-godd
#311 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 1:41:10 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 8/14/2010
Posts: 28
Location: Limuru
Have the Co-op Bank bonus shares began trading yet?
L-TOWNS OWN SINCE '90
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BGL
#312 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 4:23:11 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
t-godd wrote:
Have the Co-op Bank bonus shares began trading yet?


since july 02, 2012
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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t-godd
#313 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 5:12:38 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 8/14/2010
Posts: 28
Location: Limuru
BGL wrote:
t-godd wrote:
Have the Co-op Bank bonus shares began trading yet?


since july 02, 2012


Thank you.
L-TOWNS OWN SINCE '90
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hisah
#314 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 10:31:13 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
the deal wrote:
the deal wrote:
T-Bills are currently offering inflation beating returns thus expect fund managers/foreigners to pack their money there until the t-bills fall below the inflation rate due to over subscriptions, at that point if it comes the NSe would top at 4000-4500 since foreigners would start dumping Kenyan bonds and the low interest rates would pop up imports sending the Kes to new all time lows...inflation would then start picking up forcing CBK to hike CBR...this scenario is likely to occur in Q1/Q2 2013.

Another scenario is for inflation to bottom in the next 1-2 month due to an upward spiral in the crude price due to easing in advanced markets, in that case the pump price would shoot up and inflation would follow...foreigners/fund managers would dump stocks and buy bonds thus forcing stocks to pick at 4000-4500...this scenario is likely to occur in 4Q 2012... Q1/Q2 2013.

Conclusions: A correction is coming...play it safe! The elections will steepen this correction!


The index dropped by 39 points today to closed at 3792 although on small volumes...crude oil continue to climb up.



Is a double top forming?



$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mwekez@ji
#315 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 10:59:09 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah wrote:
the deal wrote:
the deal wrote:
T-Bills are currently offering inflation beating returns thus expect fund managers/foreigners to pack their money there until the t-bills fall below the inflation rate due to over subscriptions, at that point if it comes the NSe would top at 4000-4500 since foreigners would start dumping Kenyan bonds and the low interest rates would pop up imports sending the Kes to new all time lows...inflation would then start picking up forcing CBK to hike CBR...this scenario is likely to occur in Q1/Q2 2013.

Another scenario is for inflation to bottom in the next 1-2 month due to an upward spiral in the crude price due to easing in advanced markets, in that case the pump price would shoot up and inflation would follow...foreigners/fund managers would dump stocks and buy bonds thus forcing stocks to pick at 4000-4500...this scenario is likely to occur in 4Q 2012... Q1/Q2 2013.

Conclusions: A correction is coming...play it safe! The elections will steepen this correction!


The index dropped by 39 points today to closed at 3792 although on small volumes...crude oil continue to climb up.



Is a double top forming?





MPC will tell. Sept 5 it is!
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sparkly
#316 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 10:59:18 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
the deal wrote:
the deal wrote:
T-Bills are currently offering inflation beating returns thus expect fund managers/foreigners to pack their money there until the t-bills fall below the inflation rate due to over subscriptions, at that point if it comes the NSe would top at 4000-4500 since foreigners would start dumping Kenyan bonds and the low interest rates would pop up imports sending the Kes to new all time lows...inflation would then start picking up forcing CBK to hike CBR...this scenario is likely to occur in Q1/Q2 2013.

Another scenario is for inflation to bottom in the next 1-2 month due to an upward spiral in the crude price due to easing in advanced markets, in that case the pump price would shoot up and inflation would follow...foreigners/fund managers would dump stocks and buy bonds thus forcing stocks to pick at 4000-4500...this scenario is likely to occur in 4Q 2012... Q1/Q2 2013.

Conclusions: A correction is coming...play it safe! The elections will steepen this correction!


The index dropped by 39 points today to closed at 3792 although on small volumes...crude oil continue to climb up.



Is a double top forming?





Hope not. That would mean going back to 3700-3800, right?
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#317 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 2:36:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@sparkly - yes. I still see scope of 4000 getting tested, but if this chart behaviour continues, it'll be back to 3700 instead. We need a shocker of a rate cut from MPC on Sept 5th to force things up. The volume on KCB today is eye popping...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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youcan'tstopusnow
#318 Posted : Tuesday, September 04, 2012 1:51:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Equity and KCB making/are at 1 year highs
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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hisah
#319 Posted : Tuesday, September 04, 2012 5:03:29 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@sparkly - new year high on NSE as it closes at 3,895.86, +40.72pts, 1.06% gain. So the double top formation has been negated for now and 4000 is still on target. However note that the index has been overbought since late June with diminishing volumes. A correction is due, but timing it is anybody's guess...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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guru267
#320 Posted : Tuesday, September 04, 2012 6:34:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
However note that the index has been overbought since late June with diminishing volumes.


There are two reasons for diminishing volumes, lack of demand or lack of supply!

Currently I am of the opinion that its the latter due to the very very low valuations at the NSE.. No one wants to sell at these dirt prices!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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