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Kenya airways Right Issue
murchr
#621 Posted : Tuesday, October 02, 2012 3:14:40 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Aguytrying wrote:
Unless the margins of this company drastically improve, more planes will mean more money, more profit. However the day they get it wrong(like KK, guru will tell you),the losses that will occur will be ground shattering. And with current management, i cant see them maintaining let alone improving the business that has been on a downward spiral.


They did it in 08/09 and the Fin Director jumped out so fast, I guess he landed in KK smile
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#622 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 11:52:52 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Boeing engineers reject four-year contract offer - http://www.reuters.com/a...e-idUSBRE89110T20121002

As @cde would exclaim... Aicaramba! The global airline industry... Pray Pray

Quote:
Analysts said they did not expect the vote to affect Boeing's operations or share price in the short term, since engineers can continue working under the current contract after it expires on October 6.

Boeing said that should talks go beyond October 6, the contract would terminate on November 25 because Speea had filed a 60-day termination notice.

"No strike can take place until after November 25," Boeing said.


Boeing stock 1yr chart
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#623 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 12:11:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And now IATA goes about-turn on their gloomy 2012 airline industry outlook and now expect the industry to post $4.1 billion by year end!

Airline industry profits taking off - http://www.belfasttelegr...aking-off-16219102.html

Quote:
The global airline business will make more money this year than previously anticipated, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).

It has revised its outlook for 2012, saying carriers are likely to make accumulated profits of $4.1bn (€3.1bn).

That's higher than the $1.1bn to $3bn the IATA had forecast back in June.

"The fall in airline profits from the $8.4bn that the industry earned in 2011 will be cushioned by improved airline performance," said the association.


Oil prices are still high, euroland recession is still unfolding, China is on a slowdown, where will those profits suddenly come from! BS peddling this by IATA...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#624 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 12:19:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
S.Africa offers $600 mln loan backing to state airline - http://af.reuters.com/ar...s/idAFJOE89102P20121002

Quote:
South Africa has agreed to guarantee $600 million in loans for troubled state airline South African Airways over the next two years, a move that could put further pressure on the government's strained budget.

The Department of Public Enterprises said in a statement on Tuesday the 5 billion rand guarantee would require the airline to develop a turnaround strategy to be approved by it and the finance ministry.

"The guarantee will enable SAA to borrow from the financial markets, thus ensuring that the airline continues to operate as a going concern," it said.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#625 Posted : Thursday, October 11, 2012 8:05:11 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Treasury refutes reports of management changes at KQ - http://www.businessdaily...-/12n8yj6z/-/index.html

Meanwhile volume spikes have been hitting the KQ counter this month. Mr. Market is saying something and for now he's supporting 11.50/-
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
VituVingiSana
#626 Posted : Tuesday, December 18, 2012 6:22:27 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
VWAP 10.50 while it careens towards sub-10 slow & sure. 2H is expected to be loss making as well seeing how the retrenchment is going.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#627 Posted : Tuesday, December 18, 2012 6:50:36 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
Treasury refutes reports of management changes at KQ - http://www.businessdaily...-/12n8yj6z/-/index.html

Meanwhile volume spikes have been hitting the KQ counter this month. Mr. Market is saying something and for now he's supporting 11.50/-

Not anymore after the 'retrenchment' ruling. Now at 10.50 & falling!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mibbz
#628 Posted : Tuesday, December 18, 2012 10:20:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
awaiting it at Ksh 5 after they announce a HUGE loss at the end of the financial year coupled with increased competition from the likes of fast jet.
VituVingiSana
#629 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 1:26:32 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
KQ passenger numbers Oct-Dec 2012 not so rosy.

http://www.standardmedia...&utm_medium=twitter

-> The company put into the market capacity totalling 3,613m seat kilometres which was 1.1% above prior year’s level. Slow growth but still excessive when considered vs 'sales'.
- > Traffic measured in revenue passenger kilometres at 2,519m was 1.7% below similar period last year.
Very Important figure & declining
-> The total passenger tally, which closed at 991,149, indicates a growth of 3.6% compared to similar period last year.
-> The resultant cabin factor at 69.7% was lower than prior year’s 71.7%. Ouch! This hurts as it means fewer seats are filled. fixed costs do not change.
-> Cargo capacity dropped 10.7% with a proportionate decline in tonnage during the period. Ouch! Cargo adds variable revenue at fixed costs. The good news seems an increase in Far East cargo but a drop in UK/Europe cargo
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#630 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 1:35:34 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VituVingiSana wrote:
KQ passenger numbers Oct-Dec 2012 not so rosy.

http://www.standardmedia...&utm_medium=twitter

-> The company put into the market capacity totalling 3,613m seat kilometres which was 1.1% above prior year’s level. Slow growth but still excessive when considered vs 'sales'.
- > Traffic measured in revenue passenger kilometres at 2,519m was 1.7% below similar period last year.
Very Important figure & declining
-> The total passenger tally, which closed at 991,149, indicates a growth of 3.6% compared to similar period last year.
-> The resultant cabin factor at 69.7% was lower than prior year’s 71.7%. Ouch! This hurts as it means fewer seats are filled. fixed costs do not change.
-> Cargo capacity dropped 10.7% with a proportionate decline in tonnage during the period. Ouch! Cargo adds variable revenue at fixed costs. The good news seems an increase in Far East cargo but a drop in UK/Europe cargo

Ouch! I even dread more now as I had stated here - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...amp;m=354868#post354868

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Kausha
#631 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 3:33:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
VDIP (Value destruction in progress) - From 14 bob and soon at 10 in less than 12 months! It's a pity the Honorable Justice could not do justice to the VDIP scheme!
VituVingiSana
#632 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 4:05:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
Kausha wrote:
VDIP (Value destruction in progress) - From 14 bob and soon at 10 in less than 12 months! It's a pity the Honorable Justice could not do justice to the VDIP scheme!
I read the chap is now in the Court of Appeal. d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#633 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 7:11:06 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
Kenya's rugby team stranded coz of KQ flight delays
http://www.capitalfm.co....in-travelling-nightmare/
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mibbz
#634 Posted : Monday, January 28, 2013 9:40:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
VituVingiSana wrote:
KQ passenger numbers Oct-Dec 2012 not so rosy.

http://www.standardmedia...&utm_medium=twitter

-> The company put into the market capacity totalling 3,613m seat kilometres which was 1.1% above prior year’s level. Slow growth but still excessive when considered vs 'sales'.
- > Traffic measured in revenue passenger kilometres at 2,519m was 1.7% below similar period last year.
Very Important figure & declining
-> The total passenger tally, which closed at 991,149, indicates a growth of 3.6% compared to similar period last year.
-> The resultant cabin factor at 69.7% was lower than prior year’s 71.7%. Ouch! This hurts as it means fewer seats are filled. fixed costs do not change.
-> Cargo capacity dropped 10.7% with a proportionate decline in tonnage during the period. Ouch! Cargo adds variable revenue at fixed costs. The good news seems an increase in Far East cargo but a drop in UK/Europe cargo



KQ shall definately be making a loss end of year,after a 4.7Bil loss on H1 i dont see how it shall recover making marginal growth in Q3 and possibly Q4.as i said earlier am waiting for it at 5 bob as it was in 1994-1995 when i started this game.
hisah
#635 Posted : Wednesday, January 30, 2013 2:02:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Just like KK, KQ is also a potential candidate for a large price move in coming weeks as per tech readings all of which are in the bearish corner. Downside target 8/-. Currently the price (10.85) is in 2004 territory - such a rollercoaster ride!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#636 Posted : Saturday, February 02, 2013 10:06:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Boeing 787 to be grounded for months as investigations continue - http://www.bloomberg.com...olonging-grounding.html

Yep, one long wait for the patient airlines with 787 orders. Waiting to see some cancel the orders and go airbus!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#637 Posted : Wednesday, February 06, 2013 6:42:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Eurozone crisis hits visitor arrivals at airports - http://www.businessdaily...6/-/l3wgp7/-/index.html

Both JKIA & Moi airports record passenger arrivals drop. Not good seeing African passenger numbers dip.

All that remains now is trying to figure out how huge the KQ loss will be and the way forward to recovery. One fierce AGM coming up...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
eggnest
#638 Posted : Sunday, February 17, 2013 1:19:25 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/11/2011
Posts: 48
this is what Aly Khan has to say about KQ
http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/037NSX2101.pdf
VituVingiSana
#639 Posted : Thursday, February 21, 2013 10:38:04 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
Eurozone crisis hits visitor arrivals at airports - http://www.businessdaily...6/-/l3wgp7/-/index.html

Both JKIA & Moi airports record passenger arrivals drop. Not good seeing African passenger numbers dip.

All that remains now is trying to figure out how huge the KQ loss will be and the way forward to recovery. One fierce AGM coming up...
Not at all. Most KQ shareholders want lunch packs, some freebies & little more. That's why they go for AGMs, not ask probing questions.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#640 Posted : Thursday, February 21, 2013 10:40:50 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,102
Location: Nairobi
[quote=eggnest]this is what Aly Khan has to say about KQ
http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/037NSX2101.pdf[/quote] Does he have shares in KQ or is it a PR push?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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