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mnandii		#3161 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 9:06:47 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304		mnandii wrote: Safaricom appears to be developing an expanded flat ABC where wave A completed at about Kes 21.77. Now I expect the developing wave B to rise to about Kes 36.49 - 38.70. After completion of wave B I will expect Safcom to fall in wave C to significantly below Kes 21.77 (the wave A low). The above scenario is negated if Safcom continues down to below Kes 21.77 immediately. Am still for this sceanrio Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Angelica _ann		#3162 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 11:46:52 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,935		mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: Safaricom appears to be developing an expanded flat ABC where wave A completed at about Kes 21.77. Now I expect the developing wave B to rise to about Kes 36.49 - 38.70. After completion of wave B I will expect Safcom to fall in wave C to significantly below Kes 21.77 (the wave A low). The above scenario is negated if Safcom continues down to below Kes 21.77 immediately. Am still for this sceanrio Still headed to 36??? In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Ericsson		#3163 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 11:54:10 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,809 Location: NAIROBI		Angelica _ann wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: Safaricom appears to be developing an expanded flat ABC where wave A completed at about Kes 21.77. Now I expect the developing wave B to rise to about Kes 36.49 - 38.70. After completion of wave B I will expect Safcom to fall in wave C to significantly below Kes 21.77 (the wave A low). The above scenario is negated if Safcom continues down to below Kes 21.77 immediately. Am still for this sceanrio Still headed to 36??? Current market conditions don't allow. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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xtina		#3164 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 12:30:10 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 6/26/2008 Posts: 399		mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Meaning? Don't buy NOW or don't buy AT ALL?
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cnn		#3165 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 4:32:16 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,627		wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488
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whiteowl		#3166 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 5:20:29 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/16/2014 Posts: 1,420 Location: Bohemian Grove		cnn wrote: wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488 Its only safcom holding the entire index up.If it drops we'll be back to pre Kibaki levels.
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Ericsson		#3167 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 5:28:24 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,809 Location: NAIROBI		whiteowl wrote: cnn wrote: wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488 Its only safcom holding the entire index up.If it drops we'll be back to pre Kibaki levels. And it will be a buying opportunity for gem stocks Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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VituVingiSana		#3168 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 5:32:01 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,351 Location: Nairobi		cnn wrote: wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488 We do not have "new" firms to replace those have become junk in the NSE20. Which were and are the constituents of the NSE20? I think firms like Mumias, KQ and Uchumi were once constituents. Then we had "consolidation" of 4:1 of KQ. Is this neutral in the index? Are bonuses neutral i.e. does the price adjustment also account for the bonus? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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obiero		#3169 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 6:10:49 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,229 Location: nairobi		VituVingiSana wrote: cnn wrote: wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488 We do not have "new" firms to replace those have become junk in the NSE20. Which were and are the constituents of the NSE20? I think firms like Mumias, KQ and Uchumi were once constituents. Then we had "consolidation" of 4:1 of KQ. Is this neutral in the index? Are bonuses neutral i.e. does the price adjustment also account for the bonus? KQ was last month reinstated to the NSE20
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obiero		#3170 Posted : Wednesday, August 21, 2019 6:16:26 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,229 Location: nairobi		VituVingiSana wrote: cnn wrote: wukan wrote: mnandii wrote: obiero wrote: wukan wrote: lochaz-index wrote: NSE20 at 2545 some 185 points shy of the GFC low of 2360. This bear is excruciating to watch...death by a thousand cuts. Some bounce expected but with the global economy skiding precipitously do not expect it to last long. H2 is shaping up to be alot more interesting. Really painful to watch...never thought I would see the index this low. Insurance companies must be gnashing their teeth. On the other hand Tbills yields are low and banks are liquid, you would expect some action on equities. The market is lonely and deserted Nothing is impossible. Few people saw this coming. Its time to buy! DON'T BUY! Looks like NSE20 will go below 2500 today. interesting times And it came to pass .....2488 We do not have "new" firms to replace those have become junk in the NSE20. Which were and are the constituents of the NSE20? I think firms like Mumias, KQ and Uchumi were once constituents. Then we had "consolidation" of 4:1 of KQ. Is this neutral in the index? Are bonuses neutral i.e. does the price adjustment also account for the bonus? KQ was last month reinstated to the NSE20
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