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IEBC Official Results - Form 36 - Bomas of Kenya
kingfisher
#601 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:09:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
mukiha wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
11:58 BREAKING: Civil Society group files case in High Court seeking to stop tallying of presidential votes, argues process not credible


Irritants!

vibaraka....
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
nakujua
#602 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:09:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/17/2009
Posts: 3,583
Location: Kenya
mukiha wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
11:58 BREAKING: Civil Society group files case in High Court seeking to stop tallying of presidential votes, argues process not credible


Irritants!

Civil Society group ni nani
alma
#603 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:10:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/20/2007
Posts: 4,432
mukiha wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
11:58 BREAKING: Civil Society group files case in High Court seeking to stop tallying of presidential votes, argues process not credible


Irritants!


Hopefully its thrown out on national interest.
Jose: If I make it through this thug life, I'll see you one day. The Lord is the only way to stop the hurt.
mukiha
#604 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:10:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
radio wrote:
mukiha wrote:
maka wrote:
Art 138 on due process and specifically sub article (2)(c)


Article 138(2)(c) does NOT exist in Constitution of Kenya 2010!!!!!!!!!

Ama ni katiba gani unatumia?


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

But @mukiha on the numbers I think the easier way to explain it is that the winner should have more votes that the sum of all other candidates' votes plus rejected ones.


Why rephrase something that is crystal clear in the constitution:

Article 138(4): "A candidate shall be declared elected as President if the candidate receives—
(a) more than half of all the votes cast in the election...
"

what is so difficult to understand in "more than half"?


And by the way; in a race this tight, the exact phrase must be applied!
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
simonkabz
#605 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:11:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
Lolest! wrote:
11:58 BREAKING: Civil Society group files case in High Court seeking to stop tallying of presidential votes, argues process not credible



oh my my.......under the able leadership of Omar Hassan and Maina Kiai......If I were to lead this nation, I think life would be really tough for these fellows. Wangeniita tiktetaLaughing out loudly
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
Much Know
#606 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:15:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,568
Candidate Votes %
Uhuru 4835482 49.40316504
Raila 4316005 44.09577108
Madvd 358435 3.662059638
PK 59456 0.607450215
Dida 44784 0.457549287
Karua 35195 0.359580367
Kiyapi 30983 0.316547195
Muite 10812 0.11046407
Reject/S 96646
Total 9787798
223 Constituencies
Time 12:14pm
Ras Kienyeji Man
maka
#607 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:17:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
holycow wrote:
mukiha wrote:
maka wrote:
Art 138 on due process and specifically sub article (2)(c)


Article 138(2)(c) does NOT exist in Constitution of Kenya 2010!!!!!!!!!

Ama ni katiba gani unatumia?


Article 2 (c)and (d) is about the Supremacy of the constitution over conflicting legislation
Article 138 is about electoral process

thats a typo...nkt kuweni wapole
possunt quia posse videntur
Shotgun
#608 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:20:19 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/10/2008
Posts: 480
Lolest! wrote:
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
[quote=mukiha]The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?[/
quote]

Mukiva you are too good!Applause Applause



So not all Wazuans know @Mukiha's side job smile
Don't argue with the man on numbers/figures.

Btw, what is the difference between numbers and figures?
mukiha
#609 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:21:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
Much Know wrote:
Candidate Votes %
Uhuru 4835482 49.40316504
Raila 4316005 44.09577108
Madvd 358435 3.662059638
PK 59456 0.607450215
Dida 44784 0.457549287
Karua 35195 0.359580367
Kiyapi 30983 0.316547195
Muite 10812 0.11046407
Reject/S 96646
Total 9787798
223 Constituencies
Time 12:14pm


Now you understand why we must abandon talk of "50% + 1" and stick to the constitutional "more than half".

The winning/losing margin could well be just that one vote!
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
Rahatupu
#610 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:21:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
simonkabz wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
11:58 BREAKING: Civil Society group files case in High Court seeking to stop tallying of presidential votes, argues process not credible



oh my my.......under the able leadership of Omar Hassan and Maina Kiai......If I were to lead this nation, I think life would be really tough for these fellows. Wangeniita tiktetaLaughing out loudly



enemies of stability.
Lolest!
#611 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:23:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Shotgun wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
[quote=mukiha]The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?[/
quote]

Mukiva you are too good!Applause Applause



So not all Wazuans know @Mukiha's side job smile
Don't argue with the man on numbers/figures.

Btw, what is the difference between numbers and figures?

I know...
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
QD
#612 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:25:15 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/5/2009
Posts: 597
mukiha wrote:
Much Know wrote:
Candidate Votes %
Uhuru 4835482 49.40316504
Raila 4316005 44.09577108
Madvd 358435 3.662059638
PK 59456 0.607450215
Dida 44784 0.457549287
Karua 35195 0.359580367
Kiyapi 30983 0.316547195
Muite 10812 0.11046407
Reject/S 96646
Total 9787798
223 Constituencies
Time 12:14pm


Now you understand why we must abandon talk of "50% + 1" and stick to the constitutional "more than half".

The winning/losing margin could well be just that one vote!


Ok now i hear the argument.
The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts while the stupid ones are full of confidence
holycow
#613 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:25:53 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
Hehehe, how many decimal places do we use. So far i am seeing 2 on TV. What if the leading candidate gets 49.946%
Behemoth
#614 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:30:46 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/7/2012
Posts: 180
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?


In comparing the two, you should have either rounded off to the nearest whole number for BOTH or left BOTH in decimal. Pls do it it & share the result.

Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
(Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 4.5 + 1 as the least unit is 1. = 5.5 (Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

Now do you see there is no difference?
Eagles don't flock, you have to find them one at a time.
mnandii
#615 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:32:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Lolest! wrote:
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
[quote=mukiha]The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?[/
quote]

Mukiva you are too good!Applause Applause

@Mukiha is right but in all cases the difference will only be 1. i.e whether you use 9,99,999,9999,99999 the difference btw more than half and 50% +1 is still the figure 1.

However as the no. of votes cast increases this 1 difference becomes insignificant i.e.
1/9=11.1%
1/99=1.01%
1/999=0.1%
1/9999=0.01%
1/99999=0.001%

Hence, for simplicity, 50%+1 and more than half are, for practical purposes, the same thing.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
kingfisher
#616 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:33:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
holycow wrote:
Hehehe, how many decimal places do we use. So far i am seeing 2 on TV. What if the leading candidate gets 49.946%


wewe hachana na maneno ya decimal places... stick to "gets more than half" and you are safe.
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
Behemoth
#617 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:36:47 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/7/2012
Posts: 180
mukiha wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?


Shame on you In comparing the two, you should have either rounded off to the nearest whole number for BOTH or left BOTH in decimal. Pls do it it & share the result.

Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
(Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 4.5 + 1 as the least unit is 1. = 5.5 (Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

Now do you see there is no difference?
Eagles don't flock, you have to find them one at a time.
mnandii
#618 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:41:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
xyzee wrote:
nakujua wrote:
Jus Blazin wrote:
Funny how PK and Martha got paltry votes in their respective constituencies, yet UK got over 100K votes in the two constituencies combined.

I think had they gone for governor or senator seats in the respective counties - they would have won comfortably, the party notwithstanding.


What exactly goes on in the mind of a politician? if PK had gone for Nairobi governor he would have easilly won (didn't he say he was born and brought up in baha).

With his development credentials iam sure he would have been an inch closer to presidency.

was it really that hard to figure out?

Maybe pride got the better of him. I understand the Old Starehian society had promised to support him for governor of Nairobi. Now even if he tries for presidency in 2017 this failure in 2013 will be a blot on his otherwise clean image.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
kingfisher
#619 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:41:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/9/2008
Posts: 2,824
Quote:
Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
(Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 4.5 + 1 as the least unit is 1. = 5.5 (Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

Now do you see there is no difference?


All this struggle for what now?

50% of 9 = 4.5

"more than half" is 4.5 + any positive number not greater than 4.5

so 4.6 is sufficient.. even 4.51 inatosha. then round to the nearest whole number and this gives us 5.... kweli au rongo??
When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
limanika
#620 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 12:45:01 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/21/2011
Posts: 2,032
kingfisher wrote:
Quote:
Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
(Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 4.5 + 1 as the least unit is 1. = 5.5 (Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6)

Now do you see there is no difference?


All this struggle for what now?

50% of 9 = 4.5

"more than half" is 4.5 + any positive number not greater than 4.5

so 4.6 is sufficient.. even 4.51 inatosha. then round to the nearest whole number and this gives us 5.... kweli au rongo??


Why complicate something that is so simple? Total votes cast must be a whole number, so assume total votes cast is 10,999,999. Half of total votes cast in this case is 5,499,999.5. Since all votes must be whole numbers, the winner in this case must garner 5,500,000. This is 50.0000045%. As simple as a,b,c
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