wazua Sat, Jul 4, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

54 Pages«<2829303132>»
Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012
washiku
#291 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 4:47:08 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095
kollabo wrote:
[quote=McReggae]One thing you guys forgot is that the polls show that this election is way too close to call, Mudavadi and PK are neck to neck at 3%!!!!


Hahahahaha Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
githundi
#292 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 4:49:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/19/2010
Posts: 1,308
Location: nairobi metropolitan


Am looking at these figures and the sampling frame is biased
e.g in eastearn they polled 2 counties leaning to cord that is kitui and machakos while only one jubilee leaning to give cord 61% to jubilees 28%. More to follow
Democracy does not belong to the dead
kivairu
#293 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 4:51:19 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/5/2008
Posts: 532
Location: Nairobi
McReggae wrote:
One thing you guys forgot is that the polls show that this election is way too close to call, Mudavadi and PK are neck to neck at 3%!!!!



dying of laughter. Tied @the tail! lol

Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value. –Albert Einstein.
githundi
#294 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:04:56 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/19/2010
Posts: 1,308
Location: nairobi metropolitan
githundi wrote:


Am looking at these figures and the sampling frame is biased
e.g in eastearn they polled 2 counties leaning to cord that is kitui and machakos while only one jubilee leaning (Meru)to give cord 61% to jubilees 28%. More to follow

http://www.infotrakresea...TRAK%20POLL%20FINAL.pdf
The counties sampled for Mombasa did not include Mijikenda counties.
They are also giving Cord 36% in riftvalley as opposed to Jubilees 52%. AM ASKING, FROM WHERE?
I project at least 70 % support for jubilee in Rift and as Angela says round 50 % in nairobi drastically changinging her biased poll. they give cord 54% against Jubilees 37 % in Nairobi.
What i fear is this expectation that the poll creates in cord supporters which are misplaced.
They create false expectations.
I expect Infotrack polls to show a tight race by polling day just to give credibility to their polls as they did in 2007/2008.
They also forget that jubilee leaning zones have traditionally have high turnout compared to corn leaning zones.


Democracy does not belong to the dead
McReggae
#295 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:16:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Problem is you want them to post your tribal permutations yet this is a scientific research on the situation on the ground .......
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Lolest!
#296 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:23:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
McReggae wrote:
@Liv:
The same Infrotak you dismiss had predicted as too close to call the 2007 presidential elections!!!

This is NOTtrue! There were 3 main polsters last time: Steadman, Infotrak and Consumer Insight. The latter two had obvious bias for Raila and Kibaki respectively with both clearly inflating figures of their preferred candidates.

Steadman was more shrewd in their bias and in their last poll proclaimed that it was too close to call.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
Lolest!
#297 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:25:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
McReggae wrote:
One thing you guys forgot is that the polls show that this election is way too close to call, Mudavadi and PK are neck to neck at 3%!!!!


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
Impunity
#298 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:31:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,335
Location: Masada
Lolest! wrote:
McReggae wrote:
One thing you guys forgot is that the polls show that this election is way too close to call, Mudavadi and PK are neck to neck at 3%!!!!


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

simonkabz
#299 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:33:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
McReggae wrote:
One thing you guys forgot is that the polls show that this election is way too close to call, Mudavadi and PK are neck to neck at 3%!!!!


pwahahahaha funda wewe
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
Lolest!
#300 Posted : Friday, January 11, 2013 6:33:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Amores wrote:


Sure,milk ICC issue dry ,make it the main issue. That is the strategy

Uhuru 2013!

This is where the election should be won. A serious issue.

I believe CORD should take up this instead of the divisive hatred that was spread by chungwa btwn 2005-2007.

This is I believe will make them get better numbers. Not this illness that even spreads on to this forum.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
54 Pages«<2829303132>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.