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enyands
#21 Posted : Tuesday, March 15, 2016 10:27:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,301
Location: kenya
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.
Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis





http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715

I was absolutely correct with my prophecy.




I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir.
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Spikes
#22 Posted : Wednesday, March 16, 2016 7:29:02 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
enyands wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.
Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis





http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715

I was absolutely correct with my prophecy.




I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir.





Thread #437.


It is amazing that Wazuans have a powerful memory if you can still remember Ericsson advising me.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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hisah
#23 Posted : Wednesday, March 16, 2016 11:40:08 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.
Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Nice to see more TA fans smile

10 handle has been my target for this golden handcuff. This is one stock that has instilled a very valuable lesson to the utopia greed party riders. Pop went the bubble and the carnage was awesome! Below the 10 handle level the better the trade as the washout completes.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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karasinga
#24 Posted : Sunday, March 20, 2016 9:32:54 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
Keno
First I want to revise our wave count following last week events. Feel free to criticize. I am still learning.


Then kindly let me bring to our attention something I missed to mention in the last analysis that could be is not obvious. If we go back to the end of wave 1(of c or 5), keno had a RSI(14) bearish divergence as shown below that resulted to corrective wave 2( of c or of 5). I want you to look keenly on the blue vertical line. The 1st line had a low price of 8.5 while RSI(14) was @ 47.79. on the 2nd line,the price low was 8.6(a bit higher that the 8.5) and RSI(14) @ 47.23( a bit lower than 47.79). that was a positive reversal sign that defined end of correction wave 2.The red lines are showing divergence.


closer look rsi


closer look price


Then let us look at what happened last week. The same sign was even present by the time we had the last analysis. If you can recall “in wave 4 correction,this should be in mind. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. so do we have wave 4 of 3 or 4 of c in place already? could be yes could be no. “ wave 4(of c or of 3) made a triangle correction as evident on the chart


Where are we? wave 5 (of c or 3) is in the making.

Expectation
Our targets on the chart still remain. So far we have passed target 1 and 2. Let see what happens at or around target 3 of 12.2. remember we still have the following possibilities;
(a) wave 4 that will correct after end of 5 of 3 and then the last wave that will complete the first 5 impulse(high probability) or
(b) a wave in a downtrend after end of 5 of c

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Sunday, March 20, 2016 9:39 AM | Reason: Not specified
murchr
#25 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 5:07:29 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Aguytrying
#26 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:57:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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VituVingiSana
#27 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:12:55 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,371
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y.
I am in the same boat as @Aguy
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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karasinga
#28 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:15:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,147
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
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  | | Edit by user: Monday, March 21, 2016 10:27 PM | Reason: Not specified
murchr
#29 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:33:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
karasinga wrote:
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts


Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking.

On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Boris Boyka
#30 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:43:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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