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IEBC Official Results - Form 36 - Bomas of Kenya
kyt
#541 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:32:12 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
na si mko wengi hapa, kwani hamna kazi ya kufanya???
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
simonkabz
#542 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:33:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
Rahatupu wrote:


Opinionyetu.com:
Remaining constituencies by region and with total registered voters

Coast (Mvita-81366, Kaloleni-43303)

N. Eastern (Ijara-16521, Balambala-18051)

Eastern (Matungulu-48016, North Horr-24751, Isiolo North-40448, Buuri-53839, Chuka/Igambango'mbe-57562, Tharaka-47269, Manyatta-74820, Mbeere South-50384, Mwingi West-35598, Mwingi Central-43716, Kitui Rural-35146, Kangundo-39065, Mavoko-79996, Mwala-60801, Kibwezi West-56265, Kibwezi East-41252)

Central (Ol'Kalou-50026, Ndaragwa-41725, Kieni-82380, Othaya-47450)

Rift Valley (Turkana South-24035, Loima-18846, Turkana East-11317, Kapenguria-41492, Samburu West-27109, Samburu North-18186, Samburu East-16323, Endebess-29096, Saboti-56023, Turbo-87720, Kesses-50297, Marakwet East-26996, Marakwet West-36205, Tiaty-20622, Baringo North-32833, Baringo South-26922, Molo-50640, Njoro-76304, Bahati-61044, Nakuru Town West-71842, Kilgoris-51223, Emurua Dikirr-28779, Narok North-59849, Narok South-50071, Narok West-44715, Konoin-56059)

Western (Navakholo-41639, Ikolomani-37592, Sabatia-48845, Luanda-36418, Webuye West-38048, Tongaren-53933, Teso North-37468, Teso South-42103, Funyula-32248)

Nyanza (Seme-35972, Rangwe-33650, Ndhiwa-58200, Mbita-37430, Suna East-34433, Suna West-30362, West Mugirango-59956)

Nairobi (Mathare-88213)

Registered Voters are as per IEBC Numbers. Feel free to submit any corrections!





My rough estimate shows circa 1.1m remaining for each. I assumed zero for UK Outside RV and MT kenya.
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
xyzee
#543 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:40:33 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
gregory wrote:
am a cordoshian but i think its time i downloaded the jubilee manifesto from google play. we have to keep them in check for their 100 day promise


@Gregory

Just like in football it's never over till the referee blows the whistle. Case in point Man city lifting the premier league title last year, we have seen winning goals scored at extra time.
Rahatupu
#544 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:42:42 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
simonkabz wrote:
Rahatupu wrote:


Opinionyetu.com:
Remaining constituencies by region and with total registered voters

Coast (Mvita-81366, Kaloleni-43303)

N. Eastern (Ijara-16521, Balambala-18051)

Eastern (Matungulu-48016, North Horr-24751, Isiolo North-40448, Buuri-53839, Chuka/Igambango'mbe-57562, Tharaka-47269, Manyatta-74820, Mbeere South-50384, Mwingi West-35598, Mwingi Central-43716, Kitui Rural-35146, Kangundo-39065, Mavoko-79996, Mwala-60801, Kibwezi West-56265, Kibwezi East-41252)

Central (Ol'Kalou-50026, Ndaragwa-41725, Kieni-82380, Othaya-47450)

Rift Valley (Turkana South-24035, Loima-18846, Turkana East-11317, Kapenguria-41492, Samburu West-27109, Samburu North-18186, Samburu East-16323, Endebess-29096, Saboti-56023, Turbo-87720, Kesses-50297, Marakwet East-26996, Marakwet West-36205, Tiaty-20622, Baringo North-32833, Baringo South-26922, Molo-50640, Njoro-76304, Bahati-61044, Nakuru Town West-71842, Kilgoris-51223, Emurua Dikirr-28779, Narok North-59849, Narok South-50071, Narok West-44715, Konoin-56059)

Western (Navakholo-41639, Ikolomani-37592, Sabatia-48845, Luanda-36418, Webuye West-38048, Tongaren-53933, Teso North-37468, Teso South-42103, Funyula-32248)

Nyanza (Seme-35972, Rangwe-33650, Ndhiwa-58200, Mbita-37430, Suna East-34433, Suna West-30362, West Mugirango-59956)

Nairobi (Mathare-88213)

Registered Voters are as per IEBC Numbers. Feel free to submit any corrections!





My rough estimate shows circa 1.1m remaining for each. I assumed zero for UK Outside RV and MT kenya.
.

Factor in the turnout differential and there in lies the magical difference.
maka
#545 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:43:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
kyt wrote:
na si mko wengi hapa, kwani hamna kazi ya kufanya???

c ni civil servants hadi to ne abscond job ikabidi head count ifanywe
possunt quia posse videntur
mukiha
#546 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:43:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
McReggae
#547 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:44:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Shotgun wrote:
if I were to be a politician, i would want McR to be on my side. Seriously.

Other 'senior cord spin doctors' on the interwebs already conceded and engaged the 'excuses-mode'...but my guy McR still believes in a comeback and have steadfastly ensured the Wazua Cord family maintains hope.

Good work bro.


Upto the finish line this one!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
mnandii
#548 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:52:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mukiha wrote:

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)


Shame on you Same thing. Different names.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
cnn
#549 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:52:40 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,623
Rahatupu wrote:


Opinionyetu.com:
Remaining constituencies by region and with total registered voters

Coast (Mvita-81366, Kaloleni-43303)

N. Eastern (Ijara-16521, Balambala-18051)

Eastern (Matungulu-48016, North Horr-24751, Isiolo North-40448, Buuri-53839, Chuka/Igambango'mbe-57562, Tharaka-47269, Manyatta-74820, Mbeere South-50384, Mwingi West-35598, Mwingi Central-43716, Kitui Rural-35146, Kangundo-39065, Mavoko-79996, Mwala-60801, Kibwezi West-56265, Kibwezi East-41252)

Central (Ol'Kalou-50026, Ndaragwa-41725, Kieni-82380, Othaya-47450)

Rift Valley (Turkana South-24035, Loima-18846, Turkana East-11317, Kapenguria-41492, Samburu West-27109, Samburu North-18186, Samburu East-16323, Endebess-29096, Saboti-56023, Turbo-87720, Kesses-50297, Marakwet East-26996, Marakwet West-36205, Tiaty-20622, Baringo North-32833, Baringo South-26922, Molo-50640, Njoro-76304, Bahati-61044, Nakuru Town West-71842, Kilgoris-51223, Emurua Dikirr-28779, Narok North-59849, Narok South-50071, Narok West-44715, Konoin-56059)

Western (Navakholo-41639, Ikolomani-37592, Sabatia-48845, Luanda-36418, Webuye West-38048, Tongaren-53933, Teso North-37468, Teso South-42103, Funyula-32248)

Nyanza (Seme-35972, Rangwe-33650, Ndhiwa-58200, Mbita-37430, Suna East-34433, Suna West-30362, West Mugirango-59956)

Nairobi (Mathare-88213)

Registered Voters are as per IEBC Numbers. Feel free to submit any corrections!

Jomvu and Kisauni,whose results IEBC have announced a few minutes ago are missing here..
Done in the same briefing was Seme,Mavoko and Balambala.
mnandii
#550 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:54:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Mulei Mulei M ‏@muleim
Mututho is a classic example of how alcohol ruins careers!! #kenyadecides #Choice2013
Followed by Safaricom
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
simonkabz
#551 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:56:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
Impunity
#552 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:56:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,330
Location: Masada
McReggae wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
if I were to be a politician, i would want McR to be on my side. Seriously.

Other 'senior cord spin doctors' on the interwebs already conceded and engaged the 'excuses-mode'...but my guy McR still believes in a comeback and have steadfastly ensured the Wazua Cord family maintains hope.

Good work bro.


Upto the finish line this one!!!


Where will you get the extra tyranny to win the run-off???
This is the question no CORDead is willing to listen to let alone answer...I shudder at the thought if RAO getting humilated kindu 65% to 35%!!!!!
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

mukiha
#553 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:56:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
mnandii wrote:
Mulei Mulei M ‏@muleim
Mututho is a classic example of how alcohol ruins careers!! #kenyadecides #Choice2013
Followed by Safaricom


Laughing out loudly

Sisemi kitu!
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
Behemoth
#554 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:58:53 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/7/2012
Posts: 180
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.



@mukiha Theyu mean the same thing!! - "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!
Eagles don't flock, you have to find them one at a time.
xyzee
#555 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:59:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
mnandii wrote:
Mulei Mulei M ‏@muleim
Mututho is a classic example of how alcohol ruins careers!! #kenyadecides #Choice2013
Followed by Safaricom


ouch
Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
gregory
#556 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 10:59:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/2/2011
Posts: 176
xyzee wrote:
gregory wrote:
am a cordoshian but i think its time i downloaded the jubilee manifesto from google play. we have to keep them in check for their 100 day promise


@Gregory

Just like in football it's never over till the referee blows the whistle. Case in point Man city lifting the premier league title last year, we have seen winning goals scored at extra time.


a friend of mine gave a good analogy. CORD is firing like a machine gun while Jubilee is dropping bombs from their areasLaughing out loudly
xyzee
#557 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:02:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
Impunity wrote:
McReggae wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
if I were to be a politician, i would want McR to be on my side. Seriously.

Other 'senior cord spin doctors' on the interwebs already conceded and engaged the 'excuses-mode'...but my guy McR still believes in a comeback and have steadfastly ensured the Wazua Cord family maintains hope.

Good work bro.


Upto the finish line this one!!!


Where will you get the extra tyranny to win the run-off???
This is the question no CORDead is willing to listen to let alone answer...I shudder at the thought if RAO getting humilated kindu 65% to 35%!!!!!


@Impunity

one step at a time, we'll cross that bridge when we get there.
xyzee
#558 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:05:30 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/9/2009
Posts: 1,262
gregory wrote:
xyzee wrote:
gregory wrote:
am a cordoshian but i think its time i downloaded the jubilee manifesto from google play. we have to keep them in check for their 100 day promise


@Gregory

Just like in football it's never over till the referee blows the whistle. Case in point Man city lifting the premier league title last year, we have seen winning goals scored at extra time.


a friend of mine gave a good analogy. CORD is firing like a machine gun while Jubilee is dropping bombs from their areasLaughing out loudly


But they are diminishing there stock of bombs before they've completely destroyed the target. towards the end they'll start using pistols.
mukiha
#559 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:06:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
simonkabz wrote:
mukiha wrote:
The GAP doesn't matter!!

The important magical figure is 5,884,544

Hit that and you are our next president without a run-off. It won't matter what the other guys get or how many are rejected!

HOW DO I GET THAT?

FACT: there are 14,352,545 voters

ASSUMPTION: the average 82% turnout will be maintained through out.

Therefore: 82% of 14,352,545 is 11,769,086.9 - this will be the total votes cast, including rejected votes.

50% of 11,769,086.9 is 5,884,543.45.

Constitution says winner must get "more than half of all the votes cast in the election" (I don't know where people got "50% plus one" from!!!)

Since fractional votes are not possible, we ROUND UP the 5,884,543.45 to get 5,884,544

Watch the tally and keep that magic number in mind.


They both mean the same. 50% plus 1 vote is much more precise n clear.It is the minimum by which one can win.


Suppose there are 9 votes cast

50% = 4.5
50% + 1 = 5.5
Rounding this to the nearest whole number gives 6

But; "more than half" simply means more than 4.5, which is 5.

Now do you see the difference?
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
radio
#560 Posted : Friday, March 08, 2013 11:08:40 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/9/2009
Posts: 2,003
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