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Uhuru versus Raila 2017
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FRM2011
#2131 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 12:16:59 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/5/2010
Posts: 2,459
washiku wrote:
Hope none of you, and especially @FRM11, is having sex tonight. Baba alikataza otherwise you wont make it to Canaan.


Hope I was, Nyeri is freezing cold. I am a supporter not a fanatic. Plus I don't do superstitions.
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Shotgun
#2132 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 12:27:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/10/2008
Posts: 480
Disclaimer: Jubilee Googles

Maybe it doesn't matter right now but nevertheless I have done my final statistical simulation which I can compare with the actual poll results in 24-36 hours time.

Assumptions:

-Turnout in NASA Strongholds rise by +10points (from avg. of 83% in 2013 to 93%)

-Turnout in Jubilee Stronghold holds steady at 90% (as 2013)

-NASA takes Nairobi 55-45

-NASA gets extra +20points in Bomet and +10points in Meru

-JP turns Marsabit/Isiolo/Lamu/Mandera/Tana River red.

-JP adds between +10-15points in selected Coast/Ukambani Counties

-Other Presidential Candidates + Spoilt Votes take 1%

Results: Uhuru 50.08%, RAO 48.92%

The Tyranny Lives...

2017 Election Simulation
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Realtreaty
#2133 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 2:05:12 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,389
Uhuru very strong for Raila. He possibly would garner more votes from Ukambani than Raila pitting Kaloser.
Uhuru getting 70% of Eastern votes
Total Country outcome lies between 55-68% for Uhuru and 31-37% for Raila
Raila will face Voter apathy in Nyanza and Nairobi

I prophesy that today is the last day Kalonzo will be with Raila after Kambas vote overwhelmingly for Uhuru. Kalonzo will divorce wiper from Nasa within the next two months

Quote:
VOTE PEACE FIRST, THEN CANDIDATES!!!
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murchr
#2134 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 4:37:02 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
GOOD MORNING!! smile
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Bigchick
#2135 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 4:39:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
Watu waamke sasa.

This is the day that we have been waiting for.We thank God and rejoice in it.

No more simulations,no more guesswork.Tukutane kwa debe.

Whichever way it goes,lets keep the peace and Kenya goes on.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Bigchick
#2136 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 4:42:26 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
murchr wrote:
GOOD MORNING!! smile



Good Morning.Niko inje na firimbi.My 5000 strong are joining in one by one.Its exciting.Watu wamebeba Uji na coffee.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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murchr
#2137 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 4:46:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Bigchick wrote:
murchr wrote:
GOOD MORNING!! smile



Good Morning.Niko inje na firimbi.My 5000 strong are joining in one by one.Its exciting.Watu wamebeba Uji na coffee.


Exciting mpaka hatusikii baridi
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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alma1
#2138 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 5:38:53 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/19/2015
Posts: 2,871
Location: hapo
Bigchick wrote:
Watu waamke sasa.

This is the day that we have been waiting for.We thank God and rejoice in it.

No more simulations,no more guesswork.Tukutane kwa debe.

Whichever way it goes,lets keep the peace and Kenya goes on.


True kabisa. Watu wakutane kwa debe.

Please post your experiences here.
Thieves are not good people. Tumeelewana?
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harrydre
#2139 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 8:04:59 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
alma1 wrote:
Bigchick wrote:
Watu waamke sasa.

This is the day that we have been waiting for.We thank God and rejoice in it.

No more simulations,no more guesswork.Tukutane kwa debe.

Whichever way it goes,lets keep the peace and Kenya goes on.


True kabisa. Watu wakutane kwa debe.

Please post your experiences here.


After 4 yrs of bragging how / why you won't vote, here you are all excited jumping up and down like a 5 yr old Trumplet! NKT!
i.am.back!!!!
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Rahatupu
#2140 Posted : Tuesday, August 08, 2017 8:05:47 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
My polling station is 20m from my hse. Seen the long qeues through the window after glory.....ni karu did ndani ya blanket. Will cast after lunch.
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