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Price Control Act for essential commodities
Njung'e
#21 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 5:54:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
South Africa has fuel control too and they are hosting the world.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
mukiha
#22 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 6:20:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
@the Deal; there is no VAT on food stuff in Kenya. In fact thesae are zero-rated, meaning that food processors claim the VAT paid for inputs like electricity.

@kadonye; yes, even petrol. I wrote a very comprehensive proposal to ERC on how to regulate (rather than control) the petroleum market.

This was around the same time that they proposed a pricing formula. My basic idea was to have price change date when all dealers are allowed to vary their prices. Once fixed, these should not be changed (either up or down) until the next changed date the following month. That way, if a station puts its price too high, it has to live with it for 30 days.

ERC are still thinking about it.
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
the deal
#23 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 6:30:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Rise above your own interests of owning shares of Kenol and look at the masses out there,people in Kenya are suffering due to this oil cartels...some pals of mine in campus cant afford that Unga u are talking about...they have to go to shags n take maize which they take to private millers.
BGL
#24 Posted : Thursday, June 24, 2010 6:56:04 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
Once upon a time there was a man called Joe Donde the architect of the Donde Act.

The Donde Act provided that the maximum interest rate chargeable on all loans and advances from 1st January 2001 is
“the 91-day Treasury-Bill rate published by the Central Bank of Kenya on the last Friday of each month, or the latest published 91-day Treasury Bill rate, plus 4 per centum”.
It went further, by way of proviso, to provide that
“Provided that the maximum interest chargeable shall not exceed the principal sum, and that the section should only apply to loans and advances made or renewed after commencement of the Act’.

I will wait and see how far this one will go!!! However, IMHO this is a populist move though loaded with good intentions.
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
mukiha
#25 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 9:48:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
the deal wrote:
Rise above your own interests of owning shares of Kenol and look at the masses out there,people in Kenya are suffering due to this oil cartels...some pals of mine in campus cant afford that Unga u are talking about...they have to go to shags n take maize which they take to private millers.

This appears like a tough choice: Available but expensive OR Cheap but not available.

If you control the price of a commodity, you must also control the cost of producing it. Otherwise, producers will go to something else that is not controlled....why sell controlled maize and make 5% margin while I can make 20% from bananas?

There is a fallacy that has been peddled for many years to the effect that petrol companies operate as a cartel thus fixing prices unfairly high.

I attended the open forum at ERC during the time they were planning to "regulate" petrol prices. The data presented by ERC showed that the prices are not actually "too high".

If you want to know, look at the GROSS margins of Total and KenolKobil as announced to shareholders.

Total/Kenol etc do not fix the consumer prices. They let their station operators decide how much to charge. The operators are "ordinary Kenyans". This is why you will find the TOTAL on Dennis Pritt Rd selling at 93.90, while the one at Argwins Kodhek is 91.90
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
KulaRaha
#26 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 10:44:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
the deal wrote:
Rise above your own interests of owning shares of Kenol and look at the masses out there,people in Kenya are suffering due to this oil cartels...some pals of mine in campus cant afford that Unga u are talking about...they have to go to shags n take maize which they take to private millers.


What you earn with your little holdings in KK and Total is measly compared to what you will save if this government regulates (not controls) the oil cartels.

And dont be scared of multinationals leaving, India has all local oil cos working under strict controls and they are all profitable. In fact,as a nation, India was a net importer of refined oil, but now due to good business, has become an exporter of refined. And I dont think think they have many/any oil wells there, so really they are not controlling the production.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
VituVingiSana
#27 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 8:10:59 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
KulaRaha wrote:
India has fuel price control, and is doing better economically than we ever will.

Malaysia had fuel price control until 2008, and they are also better off than we are.


What a load of crap!

India is doing better than us but it is NOT coz of fuel price controls but the other factors like dynamism & entrepreneurship... Many world-class companies from India including Bharti Airtel buying Zain in Africa.

BTW, the Indian government heavily subsidizes the Oil Marketers. Also India does produce some of its own oil in the NW region (google).

Kenya produces ZERO oil
.

Malaysia is an even WORSE example!!! It is a NET oil exporter!!! So it simply does not TAX the oil/fuel like Kenya!!! Fuel is very cheap in UAE (net oil exporter) coz little or no taxes...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#28 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 8:13:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
Rise above your own interests of owning shares of Kenol and look at the masses out there,people in Kenya are suffering due to this oil cartels...some pals of mine in campus cant afford that Unga u are talking about...they have to go to shags n take maize which they take to private millers.


How many siblings are they in the family? At some point the parents have to learn to have small families. The days of having 5-6-7-10-15 kids has gone. 2 kids shud be the norm...

BTW, aren't these the same farmers who want a MINIMUM price for their maize?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#29 Posted : Friday, June 25, 2010 8:19:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
KulaRaha wrote:
the deal wrote:
Rise above your own interests of owning shares of Kenol and look at the masses out there,people in Kenya are suffering due to this oil cartels...some pals of mine in campus cant afford that Unga u are talking about...they have to go to shags n take maize which they take to private millers.


What you earn with your little holdings in KK and Total is measly compared to what you will save if this government regulates (not controls) the oil cartels.

And dont be scared of multinationals leaving, India has all local oil cos working under strict controls and they are all profitable. In fact,as a nation, India was a net importer of refined oil, but now due to good business, has become an exporter of refined. And I dont think think they have many/any oil wells there, so really they are not controlling the production.


Stop lying to us. All I did was a simple google search... Your argument is BULLCRAP... "they are all profitable" Don't take this the wrong way but a little research will do wonders for your credibility

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/10419371.stm [India to cut subsidies]

Subsidy and corruption in the Indian petroleum industry
http://www.monstersandcr...dian_petroleum_industry

"The government-owned oil companies are bleeding and the private companies find it difficult to survive. The government
is not allowing the oil companies to pass through the increasing cost of high crude oil prices. There is no urgency on the part of the government
or opposition parties to reform energy pricing policy."
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Rahatupu
#30 Posted : Monday, June 28, 2010 4:30:18 PM
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Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
WE should look at South America and their experimentation on "pure capitalisitic" systems where regulation is nil. Conclusion massive economic failure of the economies and success of the multinational firms there. This is what we don't see because of our "ties" to exploitative KK, Total, Unga etc.

The case of petroleum and electricity deserve regulation. In any case monopoly in the former and cartels in the later are good enough reasons for regulation.
StatMeister
#31 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 8:38:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/23/2010
Posts: 868
Location: La Islas Galápagos
how can they regulate maize prices without regulating fertilizer? and when weather fails, farmers overprice commodities to break even. stop that and they will move to unregulated products e.g. barley, tea, floriculture, et al. kenya will be twice as hungry or food twice as expensive
A bad day fishing is better than a good day at work
Sasha
#32 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 9:16:42 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/5/2007
Posts: 627
The only way price controls will work is if the government buys these commodities from the farmer at the market price and sell to the manufacturers at a subsidised cost. Say maize for example, if the market price for a bag maize is Kshs 1,000/-, the government can buy the maize at that price from the farmer and sell it to the millers at say Kshs 600/- or at the price the miller will be able to continue milling profitably. The miller can then be enforced to sell at a regulated price. Same thing for sugar! Problem here comes where mukiha was talking about how this will be enforced.

For fuel, it is more tricky. Keeping in mind that these marketers make a very small portion of the price we pay for fuel, again it is down to the government to reduce these 'taxes' they impose on the fuel. We know the prices of crude. The ordinary mwananchi running a petrol station will only sell at the price he/she will make reasonable profit. And that price is informed by the price they get from the marketers!

I believe price controls can work, but the problem is enforcement and the government's will to help the mwananchi. Seeing the way our government works, can we trust them to have our best interests at heart?
mukiha
#33 Posted : Tuesday, June 29, 2010 10:14:23 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
Sasha wrote:
The only way price controls will work is if the government buys these commodities from the farmer at the market price and sell to the manufacturers at a subsidised cost. Say maize for example, if the market price for a bag maize is Kshs 1,000/-, the government can buy the maize at that price from the farmer and sell it to the millers at say Kshs 600/- or at the price the miller will be able to continue milling profitably. The miller can then be enforced to sell at a regulated price. Same thing for sugar! Problem here comes where mukiha was talking about how this will be enforced.

The idea of buying at a high price and selling at a low one was tried before and it failed in the face of corruption and opportunism. Firs by Simeon Nyachae in the 1990s and recently by Bill Ruto.

In the 90s, GoK was buying grain at 600 and selling at 400. Traders saw the loophole and they bought and sold back to NCPB making a cool 200bob per bag! And you didn't any connections to do that! Those with connections to the high and mighty simply moved delivery notes and purchase orders without moving any grain.

What we need is MARKET REGULATION; not PRICE CONTROL.

The two are totally different.

Regulation of grain market can be done by NCPB; buying to stabilise the farmers prices when they go too low and selling to millers when prices go too high. The same thing that CBK does with forex. But for that to work, we need to inject money into NCPB for it to build up proper reserves.

Similar regulation can be done in petroleum by NOCK. But a look at their prices will tell you that Total, KK etc are not way off the mark.

Still; the question remains: who will determine what the fair prices are?
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
the sage
#34 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 11:04:08 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/20/2008
Posts: 367
@KulaRaha, taxes are 50-60% of the cost of petroleum. There is only one outdated refinery that cannot refine cheaper crude and a dilapidated railway forces marketers to use tankers which are more expensive.
Point: Fix the infrastructure and distribution system and costs will come down.
2012
#35 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 11:28:20 AM
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Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Kibaki is an economist and I'll be shocked if he assents.

BBI will solve it
:)
Sasha
#36 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 12:56:45 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/5/2007
Posts: 627
@mukiha: The flaw in that 90s scheme was that anyone could buy from NCPB. What the govt can do is exclusively sell to licensed millers. The millers would not want to buy from third parties who are after a profit.

However, I agree with you on the need for market regulation rather than price controls. In addition to pumping money into NCPB, it (NCPB) would need to be run as efficiently as humanly possible! Tall order if you ask me!
mukiha
#37 Posted : Wednesday, June 30, 2010 1:24:10 PM
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Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
2012 wrote:
Kibaki is an economist and I'll be shocked if he assents.

Yeah! And you forget that he was the one who perfected the art of price controls when he was Finance Minister in the 1970s. His budgets (Finance Bills) were virtually a list of prices of various commodities.

This lead Kenyans to believe that budgets are are the days when new prices are announced. Every time prices were changed outside the budget day, we called it a "mini-budget".

In a bid to reduce the practice of hoarding by traders in the run-up to budget day, Saitoti slowly moved the price announcements away from the budget day. People complained because he had many "mini-budgets"!
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
VituVingiSana
#38 Posted : Saturday, July 10, 2010 2:37:41 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
Rahatupu wrote:
WE should look at South America and their experimentation on "pure capitalisitic" systems where regulation is nil. Conclusion massive economic failure of the economies and success of the multinational firms there. This is what we don't see because of our "ties" to exploitative KK, Total, Unga etc.

The case of petroleum and electricity deserve regulation. In any case monopoly in the former and cartels in the later are good enough reasons for regulation.

What a load of CRAP... Screw being polite... At some point we have to tackle idiocy head on!

Which country in S.America experimented with "pure capitalisitic" (sic) systems?

The best managed economy is Chile which is also the 'freest' economy. Much better than Kenya.

How is KK, Total or Unga 'exploitative'? [There are multiple millers. Don't buy Unga products buy Mombasa Millers' products]

We need competition but I don't go to shady petrol stations like Hashi... but I have a choice. There is government subdsidized NOCK too...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#39 Posted : Saturday, July 10, 2010 2:40:36 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
@sasha - Get real... Even the Communist+Socialist countries with command & control failed... WHY???

They produced low quality goods for consumption... There was no competition... If not for the brilliant Jews + German engineers (captured/abducted after WW2)... Russia/USSR would have collapsed much earlier...

BTW, China may be communist but it is not socialist!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#40 Posted : Saturday, July 10, 2010 5:29:33 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mukiha wrote:
2012 wrote:
Kibaki is an economist and I'll be shocked if he assents.

Yeah! And you forget that he was the one who perfected the art of price controls when he was Finance Minister in the 1970s. His budgets (Finance Bills) were virtually a list of prices of various commodities.

This lead Kenyans to believe that budgets are are the days when new prices are announced. Every time prices were changed outside the budget day, we called it a "mini-budget".

In a bid to reduce the practice of hoarding by traders in the run-up to budget day, Saitoti slowly moved the price announcements away from the budget day. People complained because he had many "mini-budgets"!


Kibaki only did this because he was a wimp (still is,by the way) and followed everything 'Nyayo' said. I don't believe it was his call.
Kibaki (like any person with a hint of basic economics) knows the adverse effects of price controls.
Now he's the one calling the shots. He'll do what he wants and no one will tell him anything (as the swearing in at night shows)
And his 'buddies' won't let him sign this thing
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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